UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

12-1

67"

5' 9"

22-5

67"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO KNOCK OUTBarcelos

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.21

KO finish rate17%

Barcelos's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.20

KO loss rate25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins6

Barcelos's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses4

BarcelosTO KNOCK OUTRosas

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.38

KO finish rate18%

Rosas's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins11

Rosas's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO SUBMITBarcelos

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.90

Sub win rate33%

Barcelos's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins2

Total UFC wins6

Barcelos's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses4

BarcelosTO SUBMITRosas

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.70

Sub win rate18%

Rosas's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins2

Total UFC wins11

Rosas's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Rosas84%

Barcelos54%

Rosas wins a higher share of rounds scored.

MiddleweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-5

73"

6' 0"

18-7

75"

6' 0"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO KNOCK OUTBryczek

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.13

KO finish rate0%

Bryczek's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.33

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins6

Bryczek's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses2

BryczekTO KNOCK OUTVieira

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.36

KO finish rate100%

Vieira's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.18

KO loss rate20%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins1

Vieira's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO SUBMITBryczek

Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.90

Sub win rate83%

Bryczek's Risk *

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins5

Total UFC wins6

Bryczek's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses2

BryczekTO SUBMITVieira

Low

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Vieira's Risk

Sub loss rate20%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins1

Vieira's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Vieira56%

Bryczek22%

Vieira wins a higher share of rounds scored.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-1

—

11-3

—

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Osmanli—

Akylbek—

No round-level data for either fighter.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-0

—

8-3

63"

5' 4"

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Amaya—

Black—

No round-level data for either fighter.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-2

71"

5' 8"

10-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO KNOCK OUTNakamura

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.00

KO finish rate33%

Nakamura's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.20

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins3

Nakamura's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

NakamuraTO KNOCK OUTHiestand

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.97

KO finish rate50%

Hiestand's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.75

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins4

Hiestand's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO SUBMITNakamura

Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min1.10

Sub win rate33%

Nakamura's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins3

Nakamura's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

NakamuraTO SUBMITHiestand

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min1.40

Sub win rate0%

Hiestand's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins4

Hiestand's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Hiestand67%

Nakamura82%

Nakamura wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Light HeavyweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3-1

75"

6' 3"

8-5

78"

6' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO KNOCK OUTEdwards

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.32

KO finish rate100%

Edwards's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins2

Edwards's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

EdwardsTO KNOCK OUTBellato

Elevated

Striking Threat *

KDs per 15 min0.00

KO finish rate0%

Bellato's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.40

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins0

Bellato's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO SUBMITEdwards

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.20

Sub win rate0%

Edwards's Risk *

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins2

Edwards's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

EdwardsTO SUBMITBellato

Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Bellato's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins0

Bellato's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Bellato40%

Edwards—

Bellato wins 40% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

LightweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

16-6

72"

5' 10"

11-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BrenerTO KNOCK OUTHarrell

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.40

KO finish rate67%

Harrell's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate100%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins3

Harrell's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses1

HarrellTO KNOCK OUTBrener

Elevated

Striking Threat *

KDs per 15 min0.00

KO finish rate0%

Brener's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.33

KO loss rate33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins0

Brener's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Brener25%

Harrell—

Brener wins 25% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

15-4

75"

5' 10"

22-7-1

69"

5' 6"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO KNOCK OUTSimon

Elite

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min1.26

KO finish rate33%

Simon's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.29

KO loss rate33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins3

Total UFC wins9

Simon's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses2

Total UFC losses6

SimonTO KNOCK OUTJackson

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.35

KO finish rate20%

Jackson's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins10

Jackson's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO SUBMITSimon

Minimal

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.30

Sub win rate11%

Simon's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins9

Simon's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses6

SimonTO SUBMITJackson

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.30

Sub win rate30%

Jackson's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins3

Total UFC wins10

Jackson's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Jackson77%

Simon48%

Jackson wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3

67"

5' 7"

13-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO KNOCK OUTPerez

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.17

KO finish rate0%

Perez's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins9

Perez's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

PerezTO KNOCK OUTDumont

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.17

KO finish rate0%

Dumont's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.17

KO loss rate33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins6

Dumont's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses3

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO SUBMITPerez

Low

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Perez's Risk

Sub loss rate100%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins9

Perez's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses1

PerezTO SUBMITDumont

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.20

Sub win rate17%

Dumont's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins6

Dumont's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Dumont69%

Perez72%

Neither fighter holds a clear edge on the cards.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

21-8-1

71"

5' 6"

17-10-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO KNOCK OUTAlatengheili

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.52

KO finish rate25%

Alatengheili's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins4

Alatengheili's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses3

AlatengheiliTO KNOCK OUTCastaneda

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.12

KO finish rate20%

Castaneda's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.33

KO loss rate25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins5

Castaneda's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO SUBMITAlatengheili

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.10

Sub win rate25%

Alatengheili's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins4

Alatengheili's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses3

AlatengheiliTO SUBMITCastaneda

Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Castaneda's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins5

Castaneda's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Castaneda58%

Alatengheili32%

Castaneda wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-8

59"

5' 2"

11-2

64"

5' 3"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DemopoulosTO KNOCK OUTJauregui

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.12

KO finish rate0%

Jauregui's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.60

KO loss rate50%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins5

Jauregui's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses2

JaureguiTO KNOCK OUTDemopoulos

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.71

KO finish rate33%

Demopoulos's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.10

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins3

Demopoulos's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DemopoulosTO SUBMITJauregui

High

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.40

Sub win rate20%

Jauregui's Risk

Sub loss rate50%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins5

Jauregui's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses2

JaureguiTO SUBMITDemopoulos

Low

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Demopoulos's Risk

Sub loss rate20%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins3

Demopoulos's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Demopoulos15%

Jauregui70%

Jauregui wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Bantamweight5RMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

12-1

67"

5' 9"

22-5

67"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO KNOCK OUTBarcelos

26Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.21

KO Finish17%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.20

KO Loss25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins6

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses4

BarcelosTO KNOCK OUTRosas

22Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.38

KO Finish18%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins11

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO SUBMITBarcelos

19Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.90

Sub Win33%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions2

Total Wins6

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses4

BarcelosTO SUBMITRosas

20Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.70

Sub Win18%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions2

Total Wins11

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Rosas84%

Barcelos54%

Rosas wins a higher share of rounds scored.

MiddleweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-5

73"

6' 0"

18-7

75"

6' 0"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO KNOCK OUTBryczek

20Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.13

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.33

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins6

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses2

BryczekTO KNOCK OUTVieira

40High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.36

KO Finish100%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.18

KO Loss20%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins1

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO SUBMITBryczek

35Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.90

Sub Win83%

Risk *

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions5

Total Wins6

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses2

BryczekTO SUBMITVieira

21Low

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss20%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins1

Sub Losses

Sub Losses1

Total Losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Vieira56%

Bryczek22%

Vieira wins a higher share of rounds scored.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-1

—

11-3

—

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Osmanli—

Akylbek—

No round-level data for either fighter.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-0

—

8-3

63"

5' 4"

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Amaya—

Black—

No round-level data for either fighter.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-2

71"

5' 8"

10-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO KNOCK OUTNakamura

28Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.00

KO Finish33%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.20

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins3

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

NakamuraTO KNOCK OUTHiestand

53High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.97

KO Finish50%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.75

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins4

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO SUBMITNakamura

26Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 151.10

Sub Win33%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins3

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

NakamuraTO SUBMITHiestand

20Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 151.40

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins4

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Hiestand67%

Nakamura82%

Nakamura wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Light HeavyweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3-1

75"

6' 3"

8-5

78"

6' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO KNOCK OUTEdwards

43High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.32

KO Finish100%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins2

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

EdwardsTO KNOCK OUTBellato

28Elevated

Striking Threat *

KD / 150.00

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.40

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins0

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO SUBMITEdwards

12Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.20

Sub Win0%

Risk *

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins2

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

EdwardsTO SUBMITBellato

11Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins0

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Bellato40%

Edwards—

Bellato wins 40% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

LightweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

16-6

72"

5' 10"

11-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BrenerTO KNOCK OUTHarrell

49High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.40

KO Finish67%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss100%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins3

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses1

HarrellTO KNOCK OUTBrener

35Elevated

Striking Threat *

KD / 150.00

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.33

KO Loss33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins0

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Brener25%

Harrell—

Brener wins 25% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

15-4

75"

5' 10"

22-7-1

69"

5' 6"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO KNOCK OUTSimon

58Elite

Striking Threat

KD / 151.26

KO Finish33%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.29

KO Loss33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO3

Total Wins9

KO Losses

KO/TKO2

Total Losses6

SimonTO KNOCK OUTJackson

18Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.35

KO Finish20%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins10

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO SUBMITSimon

10Minimal

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.30

Sub Win11%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins9

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses6

SimonTO SUBMITJackson

19Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.30

Sub Win30%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions3

Total Wins10

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Jackson77%

Simon48%

Jackson wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3

67"

5' 7"

13-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO KNOCK OUTPerez

13Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.17

KO Finish0%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins9

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

PerezTO KNOCK OUTDumont

26Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.17

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.17

KO Loss33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins6

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses3

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO SUBMITPerez

16Low

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss100%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins9

Sub Losses

Sub Losses1

Total Losses1

PerezTO SUBMITDumont

13Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.20

Sub Win17%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins6

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Dumont69%

Perez72%

Neither fighter holds a clear edge on the cards.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

21-8-1

71"

5' 6"

17-10-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO KNOCK OUTAlatengheili

24Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.52

KO Finish25%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins4

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses3

AlatengheiliTO KNOCK OUTCastaneda

34Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.12

KO Finish20%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.33

KO Loss25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins5

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO SUBMITAlatengheili

18Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.10

Sub Win25%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins4

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses3

AlatengheiliTO SUBMITCastaneda

5Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins5

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Castaneda58%

Alatengheili32%

Castaneda wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-8

59"

5' 2"

11-2

64"

5' 3"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DemopoulosTO KNOCK OUTJauregui

30Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.12

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.60

KO Loss50%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins5

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses2

JaureguiTO KNOCK OUTDemopoulos

31Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.71

KO Finish33%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.10

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins3

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DemopoulosTO SUBMITJauregui

49High

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.40

Sub Win20%

Risk

Sub Loss50%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins5

Sub Losses

Sub Losses1

Total Losses2

JaureguiTO SUBMITDemopoulos

18Low

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss20%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins3

Sub Losses

Sub Losses1

Total Losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Demopoulos15%

Jauregui70%

Jauregui wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Bantamweight5RMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

12-1

67"

5' 9"

22-5

67"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO KNOCK OUTBarcelos

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.21

KO finish rate17%

Barcelos's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.20

KO loss rate25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins6

Barcelos's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses4

BarcelosTO KNOCK OUTRosas

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.38

KO finish rate18%

Rosas's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins11

Rosas's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO SUBMITBarcelos

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.90

Sub win rate33%

Barcelos's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins2

Total UFC wins6

Barcelos's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses4

BarcelosTO SUBMITRosas

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.70

Sub win rate18%

Rosas's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins2

Total UFC wins11

Rosas's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Rosas84%

Barcelos54%

Rosas wins a higher share of rounds scored.

MiddleweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-5

73"

6' 0"

18-7

75"

6' 0"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO KNOCK OUTBryczek

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.13

KO finish rate0%

Bryczek's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.33

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins6

Bryczek's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses2

BryczekTO KNOCK OUTVieira

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.36

KO finish rate100%

Vieira's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.18

KO loss rate20%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins1

Vieira's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO SUBMITBryczek

Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.90

Sub win rate83%

Bryczek's Risk *

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins5

Total UFC wins6

Bryczek's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses2

BryczekTO SUBMITVieira

Low

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Vieira's Risk

Sub loss rate20%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins1

Vieira's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Vieira56%

Bryczek22%

Vieira wins a higher share of rounds scored.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-1

—

11-3

—

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Osmanli—

Akylbek—

No round-level data for either fighter.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-0

—

8-3

63"

5' 4"

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Amaya—

Black—

No round-level data for either fighter.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-2

71"

5' 8"

10-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO KNOCK OUTNakamura

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.00

KO finish rate33%

Nakamura's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.20

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins3

Nakamura's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

NakamuraTO KNOCK OUTHiestand

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.97

KO finish rate50%

Hiestand's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.75

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins4

Hiestand's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO SUBMITNakamura

Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min1.10

Sub win rate33%

Nakamura's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins3

Nakamura's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

NakamuraTO SUBMITHiestand

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min1.40

Sub win rate0%

Hiestand's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins4

Hiestand's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Hiestand67%

Nakamura82%

Nakamura wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Light HeavyweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3-1

75"

6' 3"

8-5

78"

6' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO KNOCK OUTEdwards

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.32

KO finish rate100%

Edwards's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins2

Edwards's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

EdwardsTO KNOCK OUTBellato

Elevated

Striking Threat *

KDs per 15 min0.00

KO finish rate0%

Bellato's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.40

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins0

Bellato's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO SUBMITEdwards

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.20

Sub win rate0%

Edwards's Risk *

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins2

Edwards's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

EdwardsTO SUBMITBellato

Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Bellato's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins0

Bellato's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Bellato40%

Edwards—

Bellato wins 40% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

LightweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

16-6

72"

5' 10"

11-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BrenerTO KNOCK OUTHarrell

High

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.40

KO finish rate67%

Harrell's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate100%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins3

Harrell's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses1

HarrellTO KNOCK OUTBrener

Elevated

Striking Threat *

KDs per 15 min0.00

KO finish rate0%

Brener's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.33

KO loss rate33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins0

Brener's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Brener25%

Harrell—

Brener wins 25% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

15-4

75"

5' 10"

22-7-1

69"

5' 6"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO KNOCK OUTSimon

Elite

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min1.26

KO finish rate33%

Simon's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.29

KO loss rate33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins3

Total UFC wins9

Simon's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses2

Total UFC losses6

SimonTO KNOCK OUTJackson

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.35

KO finish rate20%

Jackson's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins2

Total UFC wins10

Jackson's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO SUBMITSimon

Minimal

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.30

Sub win rate11%

Simon's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins9

Simon's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses6

SimonTO SUBMITJackson

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.30

Sub win rate30%

Jackson's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins3

Total UFC wins10

Jackson's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Jackson77%

Simon48%

Jackson wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3

67"

5' 7"

13-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO KNOCK OUTPerez

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.17

KO finish rate0%

Perez's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins9

Perez's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses1

PerezTO KNOCK OUTDumont

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.17

KO finish rate0%

Dumont's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.17

KO loss rate33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins6

Dumont's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses3

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO SUBMITPerez

Low

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Perez's Risk

Sub loss rate100%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins9

Perez's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses1

PerezTO SUBMITDumont

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.20

Sub win rate17%

Dumont's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins6

Dumont's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Dumont69%

Perez72%

Neither fighter holds a clear edge on the cards.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

21-8-1

71"

5' 6"

17-10-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO KNOCK OUTAlatengheili

Low

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.52

KO finish rate25%

Alatengheili's Chin *

KDs absorbed/fight0.00

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins4

Alatengheili's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses3

AlatengheiliTO KNOCK OUTCastaneda

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.12

KO finish rate20%

Castaneda's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.33

KO loss rate25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins5

Castaneda's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO SUBMITAlatengheili

Low

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.10

Sub win rate25%

Alatengheili's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins4

Alatengheili's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses3

AlatengheiliTO SUBMITCastaneda

Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Castaneda's Risk

Sub loss rate0%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins5

Castaneda's Sub Losses

Sub losses0

Total UFC losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Castaneda58%

Alatengheili32%

Castaneda wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-8

59"

5' 2"

11-2

64"

5' 3"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DemopoulosTO KNOCK OUTJauregui

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.12

KO finish rate0%

Jauregui's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.60

KO loss rate50%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins0

Total UFC wins5

Jauregui's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses1

Total UFC losses2

JaureguiTO KNOCK OUTDemopoulos

Elevated

Striking Threat

KDs per 15 min0.71

KO finish rate33%

Demopoulos's Chin

KDs absorbed/fight0.10

KO loss rate0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO wins1

Total UFC wins3

Demopoulos's KO Losses

KO/TKO losses0

Total UFC losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DemopoulosTO SUBMITJauregui

High

Sub Threat

Sub att / 15 min0.40

Sub win rate20%

Jauregui's Risk

Sub loss rate50%

Sub Wins

Submission wins1

Total UFC wins5

Jauregui's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses2

JaureguiTO SUBMITDemopoulos

Low

Sub Threat *

Sub att / 15 min0.00

Sub win rate0%

Demopoulos's Risk

Sub loss rate20%

Sub Wins

Submission wins0

Total UFC wins3

Demopoulos's Sub Losses

Sub losses1

Total UFC losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Demopoulos15%

Jauregui70%

Jauregui wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Bantamweight5RMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

12-1

67"

5' 9"

22-5

67"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO KNOCK OUTBarcelos

26Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.21

KO Finish17%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.20

KO Loss25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins6

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses4

BarcelosTO KNOCK OUTRosas

22Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.38

KO Finish18%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins11

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

RosasTO SUBMITBarcelos

19Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.90

Sub Win33%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions2

Total Wins6

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses4

BarcelosTO SUBMITRosas

20Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.70

Sub Win18%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions2

Total Wins11

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Rosas84%

Barcelos54%

Rosas wins a higher share of rounds scored.

MiddleweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-5

73"

6' 0"

18-7

75"

6' 0"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO KNOCK OUTBryczek

20Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.13

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.33

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins6

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses2

BryczekTO KNOCK OUTVieira

40High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.36

KO Finish100%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.18

KO Loss20%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins1

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses5

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

VieiraTO SUBMITBryczek

35Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.90

Sub Win83%

Risk *

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions5

Total Wins6

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses2

BryczekTO SUBMITVieira

21Low

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss20%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins1

Sub Losses

Sub Losses1

Total Losses5

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Vieira56%

Bryczek22%

Vieira wins a higher share of rounds scored.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-1

—

11-3

—

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Osmanli—

Akylbek—

No round-level data for either fighter.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-0

—

8-3

63"

5' 4"

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Amaya—

Black—

No round-level data for either fighter.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

9-2

71"

5' 8"

10-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO KNOCK OUTNakamura

28Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.00

KO Finish33%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.20

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins3

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

NakamuraTO KNOCK OUTHiestand

53High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.97

KO Finish50%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.75

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins4

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

HiestandTO SUBMITNakamura

26Elevated

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 151.10

Sub Win33%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins3

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

NakamuraTO SUBMITHiestand

20Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 151.40

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins4

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Hiestand67%

Nakamura82%

Nakamura wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Light HeavyweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3-1

75"

6' 3"

8-5

78"

6' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO KNOCK OUTEdwards

43High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.32

KO Finish100%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins2

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

EdwardsTO KNOCK OUTBellato

28Elevated

Striking Threat *

KD / 150.00

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.40

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins0

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BellatoTO SUBMITEdwards

12Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.20

Sub Win0%

Risk *

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins2

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

EdwardsTO SUBMITBellato

11Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins0

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses1

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Bellato40%

Edwards—

Bellato wins 40% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

LightweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

16-6

72"

5' 10"

11-1

68"

5' 7"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

BrenerTO KNOCK OUTHarrell

49High

Striking Threat

KD / 150.40

KO Finish67%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss100%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins3

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses1

HarrellTO KNOCK OUTBrener

35Elevated

Striking Threat *

KD / 150.00

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.33

KO Loss33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins0

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Brener25%

Harrell—

Brener wins 25% of rounds scored. No data for their opponent.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

15-4

75"

5' 10"

22-7-1

69"

5' 6"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO KNOCK OUTSimon

58Elite

Striking Threat

KD / 151.26

KO Finish33%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.29

KO Loss33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO3

Total Wins9

KO Losses

KO/TKO2

Total Losses6

SimonTO KNOCK OUTJackson

18Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.35

KO Finish20%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO2

Total Wins10

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

JacksonTO SUBMITSimon

10Minimal

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.30

Sub Win11%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins9

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses6

SimonTO SUBMITJackson

19Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.30

Sub Win30%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions3

Total Wins10

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Jackson77%

Simon48%

Jackson wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

13-3

67"

5' 7"

13-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO KNOCK OUTPerez

13Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.17

KO Finish0%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins9

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses1

PerezTO KNOCK OUTDumont

26Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.17

KO Finish0%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.17

KO Loss33%

KO Wins

KO/TKO0

Total Wins6

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses3

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

DumontTO SUBMITPerez

16Low

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss100%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins9

Sub Losses

Sub Losses1

Total Losses1

PerezTO SUBMITDumont

13Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.20

Sub Win17%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins6

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses3

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Dumont69%

Perez72%

Neither fighter holds a clear edge on the cards.

BantamweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

21-8-1

71"

5' 6"

17-10-2

66"

5' 5"

Finish Risk

KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO KNOCK OUTAlatengheili

24Low

Striking Threat

KD / 150.52

KO Finish25%

Chin *

KD Absorbed0.00

KO Loss0%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins4

KO Losses

KO/TKO0

Total Losses3

AlatengheiliTO KNOCK OUTCastaneda

34Elevated

Striking Threat

KD / 150.12

KO Finish20%

Chin

KD Absorbed0.33

KO Loss25%

KO Wins

KO/TKO1

Total Wins5

KO Losses

KO/TKO1

Total Losses4

Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK

CastanedaTO SUBMITAlatengheili

18Low

Sub Threat

Sub Att / 150.10

Sub Win25%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions1

Total Wins4

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses3

AlatengheiliTO SUBMITCastaneda

5Minimal

Sub Threat *

Sub Att / 150.00

Sub Win0%

Risk

Sub Loss0%

Sub Wins

Submissions0

Total Wins5

Sub Losses

Sub Losses0

Total Losses4

* Score leans on a prior estimate where UFC sample is thin.

Decision AdvantageRound Win Rate

Castaneda58%

Alatengheili32%

Castaneda wins a higher share of rounds scored.

Women's StrawweightMatchup

Record

Reach

Height

11-8

59"

5' 2"