Matchup Analysis·Bantamweight
Red Corner
Raul Rosas Jr.
“El Nino Problema”
12-17 UFCLast7mo ago
Wrestler
Hot Streak
Early Chaos
5'9"+2"ht·67"reach·Switchstance·2117yrage
VS
Bantamweight135 lbs
5R
Blue Corner
22-515 UFCLast5mo ago
Complete Fighter
Hot Streak
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'7"ht·67"reach·Orthodoxstance·39age
Signals1 signal
AGE GAP
Barcelos is 18 years older than Rosas.
CQ Core Edges
Rosas
+0.10
Barcelos
+0.41
Rosas
0.79
Barcelos
1.88
Rosas
84%
Barcelos
54%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Rosas
92
IroncladBarcelos
85
Durable0 KO lossesKO losses1 KO loss
0.00KD / fight0.20
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Rosas1.34SLpM
+SLpM4.65Barcelos
6.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
RosasOutput Drops Late-39% R1→R3
BarcelosOutput Builds Late+92% R1→R3
Finish History
Rosas
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
50%
3/6
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Barcelos
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
36%
4/11
Stopped rate (losses)
25%
1/4
Edge & Exposure
Rosas
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
ExposureTakedown Vulnerable
Division-low TD defense rate. Opponents with an active takedown game have a clear structural path.
Barcelos
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
ExposureMileage Risk
Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.
Opposition Quality
Rosas6–1UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Barcelos11–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–3
Record (9)
-0.6
Str Diff/Min
17%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)-39% step-up
3–0
Record (3)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
RosasBantamweightBarcelos
49th
Striking Differential
59th99th
Grappling Threat
67th98th
Round Win Rate
48th2nd
TD Defense
95th87th
Durability
72nd43rd
Finishing Rate
20thRecent Form
Rosas
Stat
Barcelos
1.531.34 career
↑0.19
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.54
3.114.65 career
1.091.24 career
↓0.15
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.35
2.894.24 career
11.0012.46 career
⚠↓1.46
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑4.42
12.337.91 career
0.000.90 career
↓0.90
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.03
0.670.70 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Rosas57% distance
Finish 43%Decision 57%
Barcelos67% distance
Finish 33%Decision 67%
Rosas 7 UFC fights·Barcelos 15 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Rosas
10.1min
Barcelos
13.2min
Combined Distance Rate
64%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
RosasTO KNOCK OUTBarcelos
26
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins6
Barcelos's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses4
BarcelosTO KNOCK OUTRosas
22
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins11
Rosas's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
RosasTO SUBMITBarcelos
19
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins6
Barcelos's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses4
BarcelosTO SUBMITRosas
20
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins11
Rosas's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
RosasWin MethodBarcelos
17%
KO / TKO
18%
33%
Submission
18%
50%
Decision
64%
6 UFC wins · 1 KO · 2 Sub · 3 Dec11 UFC wins · 2 KO · 2 Sub · 7 Dec
Rosas
Loss Method
Barcelos0%
KO / TKO
25%
0%
Submission
0%
100%
Decision
75%
1 UFC loss · 1 Dec4 UFC losses · 1 KO · 3 Dec
Rosas3 stoppages · 1 KO · 2 Sub
R1
2
R2
1
R30
KO Win
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubRicky TurciosR2 · 2:22
WKOTerrence MitchellR1 · 0:54
WSubJay PerrinR1 · 2:44
Barcelos5 stoppages · 3 KO · 2 Sub
R1
1
R2
2
R3
2
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubCristian QuinonezR3 · 2:04
LKOUmar NurmagomedovR1 · 4:40
WKOCarlos HuachinR2 · 4:49
WSubChris GutierrezR2 · 4:12
WKOKurt HolobaughR3 · 1:29
Historical Context
Rosas — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·7 fights
8 SS (24%)·10 abs·16/18 td·605s ctrl
20 SS (51%)·17 abs·4/8 td·1 td taken·578s ctrl
41 SS (44%)·22 abs·3/7 td·452s ctrl
3 SS (33%)·7 abs·4/7 td·349s ctrl·1 sub att
18 SS (60%)·6 abs·17s ctrl·1 kd
2 SS (11%)·29 abs·3/16 td·1 td taken·290s ctrl·1 sub att
Barcelos — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
21 SS (55%)·35 abs·6/18 td·465s ctrl·1 kd taken·2 sub att
82 SS (44%)·67 abs·1/8 td·9s ctrl
37 SS (44%)·28 abs·1/11 td·146s ctrl
62 SS (73%)·49 abs·8/15 td·1 td taken·583s ctrl·2 sub att
43 SS (58%)·29 abs·2/12 td·2 td taken·62s ctrl·2 sub att
46 SS (40%)·72 abs·3/11 td·1 td taken·102s ctrl·1 kd taken