Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
Red Corner
16-66 UFCLast1.1yr ago
Kickboxer
High Variance
Output Builds Late
5'10"+3"ht·72"+4"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Josiah Harrell
“The Muscle Hamster”
11-11 UFCLast7mo ago
Finisher
5'7"ht·68"reach·Southpawstance·27age
◈
Uneven DataHarrell has 1 UFC fight on record.
Signals2 signals
STRIKING DEFENSE
Harrell absorbs an unusually high share of incoming strikes. Against a volume striker like Brener, that's a structural vulnerability. KO finishes are meaningfully more common in matchups like this.
WC DEBUT
Harrell is making their UFC debut at Lightweight, moving down from Welterweight.
CQ Core Edges
Brener
-1.10
Harrell
+2.21
Brener
Opponent data thin
Harrell
Too few fights
Brener
25%
Harrell
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Brener
61
AverageHarrell
32
Low1 KO lossKO losses1 KO loss
0.33KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Brener4.76SLpM
+SLpM2.32Harrell
7.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
BrenerOutput Builds Late+37% R1→R3
HarrellToo few fights
Finish History
Brener
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Harrell
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
—
—
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
1/1
Fighter Context
Brener·UFC 3-3·2 KO · 1 Dec·1 KO loss · 2 Dec loss
Harrell·UFC 0-1·1 KO loss
Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.
Pre-UFC11-0
Win method
6 KO/TKO4 Sub1 Dec
Avg opponent wins8.2
Wins finished10 of 11
Opposition Quality
Brener3–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3
Record (5)
-0.6
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Harrell0–1UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Division Percentile Ranks
BrenerLightweightHarrell
14th
Striking Differential
—28th
Grappling Threat
—5th
Round Win Rate
—77th
TD Defense
—38th
Durability
—68th
Finishing Rate
—— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Brener
Stat
Harrell
4.844.76 career
↑0.08
SLpMOutput
—
6.475.86 career
↑0.61
SApMAbsorbed
—
6.885.93 career
↑0.95
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
BrenerHarrell1 fight
Div avgSig. Strikes / Min
4.76
2.32
Str. Accuracy
47%
50%
Sig. Absorbed / min
5.86
0.11
Str. Defense
50%
29%
CQ KO Power
0.55
—
BrenerStrike DistributionHarrell
By Target
57%
14%
19%
43%
24%
43%
By Position
92%
100%
3%
0%
5%
0%
Sig Strikes
Brener
60avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
12.7 min
Goes Dist
50%
Harrell
7avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
3.0 min
Goes Dist
0%
Historical Context
Brener — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
118 SS (47%)·122 abs·0/9 td
45 SS (46%)·95 abs·0/5 td·22s ctrl·1 kd taken
48 SS (53%)·65 abs·3/6 td·5 td taken·175s ctrl·1 kd taken
16 SS (48%)·8 abs·1 kd
65 SS (49%)·85 abs·2/7 td·1 td taken·168s ctrl·1 kd
69 SS (44%)·70 abs·0/3 td
Harrell — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·1 fight
7 SS (50%)·33 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Bekmyrza Dosmatov13-2
KO/TKOR3Jan 2026
W
Kegan Gennrich9-4
DECAug 2025
W
Melvin Guillard32-22
SUBR1May 2025
W
Quinton Parks Jr.9-4
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Mike Roberts9-8
KO/TKOR3Jun 2023