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Myktybek Orolbai lands 2.7 and absorbs 2.5 significant strikes per minute. Output and absorption are close.

Myktybek Orolbai's takedown threat ranks in the top 10% of the division. Takedown volume and opponent defense rate both point to a credible wrestling threat.

Myktybek Orolbai wins 88% of rounds across 16 scored. Consistently wins rounds by a clear margin.

Myktybek Orolbai has 0 KO/TKO losses in 2 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.14 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 90 out of 99, high for the division.

Myktybek Orolbai finishes 60% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Welterweight

Myktybek Orolbai

16-3-17 UFC
Wrestler
Form
Early Chaos
5'10"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
Last fightLJeremiah Wells·SUB·R3·this month
Fighter Context
5–2UFC·
1KO
·
2Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.4min/fight
·
73UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–2(6 fights)
·
50%finish rate
·
-0.0str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.21
Neutral
47%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
1.615
Elite
98%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
90
Ironclad
81%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
88%
Dominant
95%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Myktybek Orolbai — 2.70 significant strikes per minute, 52% striking accuracy, absorbs 2.49 strikes per minute.

Orolbai
Ground & Pound
Head Hunter
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.70
Str. Accuracy52%
197UFC landed/377attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.2 vs avg2.49
Str. Defense52%
KD Rate / fight0.29
2UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.14
CQ KO Power
Above Avg69%ile1.02
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
76%
Body
13%
Leg
11%
By Position
Distance61%
/
Clinch3%
/
Ground36%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 17 rounds
Round 25 rounds
Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed14129
Avg. Absorbed121111
Avg. Net+2+2-2
Grappling

Myktybek Orolbai — 8.2 takedowns per 15 minutes, 59% takedown accuracy, 0.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 36% takedown defense.

Orolbai
G&P Threat
·337s ctrlElite Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min8.22
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY13.78
TD Accuracy59%
40UFC landed/67attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
2UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense36%
4UFC defended/11opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Tapped Once
Finishing

Myktybek Orolbai — 5 UFC wins (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision), 60% finish rate.

Finish Rate
60%
Strong Finisher
div avg 53%
How They Lose
2UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 5
Submission2 / 5
Decision2 / 5
KD → Finish
1/2Moderate
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 2
Submission1 / 2
Decision1 / 2
Loss Pattern
1 of 2 losses by finish in R3+
Fast and versatile. 3 of 3 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
20%
1 of 5 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
2.5pts
W2 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 29 less in second half of career
0+19+37+56+75avg2023202420252026

7 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.51.73.0R1R2R3
R1n=7
R2n=5
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
3.1
2.6
2.1
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.6
2.2
2.7
Diff
+0.5
+0.4
-0.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 7 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Absorbed-40%L3
15%77%138%WWLWWWL

Last 7 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Orolbai — 7 UFC Fights

Myktybek Orolbai — UFC fight record: 5 wins, 2 losses.

Result
Method
7 fights
L
Jeremiah Wells
WW
SUB R3 · 1:24Aug '26
+10
·26 SS (74%)·16 abs·4/6 td·1 td taken·380s ctrl
W
Chris Curtis
WW
U-DEC R3Mar '26
+8
·20 SS (71%)·12 abs·19/24 td·753s ctrl
W
Jack HermanssonVeteran
WW
KO/TKO R1 · 2:46Nov '25
-4
·15 SS (45%)·19 abs·1 kd landed
W
Tofiq Musayev
Catch Weight
SUB R1 · 4:35Jun '25
0
·2 SS (29%)·2 abs·3/5 td·220s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Mateusz Rebecki
Catch Weight
S-DEC R3Oct '24
-10
·61 SS (45%)·71 abs·2/5 td·3 td taken·125s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Elves Brener
LW
U-DEC R3May '24
+17
·65 SS (55%)·48 abs·5/17 td·3 td taken·432s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Uros Medic
WW
SUB R2 · 4:12Nov '23
-6
·8 SS (40%)·14 abs·7/10 td·446s ctrl·1 sub att
All Fighters
Welterweight

Myktybek Orolbai

16-3-17 UFC
Form
5'10"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
Last fightLJeremiah Wells·SUB·this month
Fighter Context
5–2UFC·
1KO
·
2Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.4min/fight
·
73UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–2
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.21
47%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
1.615
98%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
90
81%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
88%
95%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Orolbai
Welterweight avg
Ground & PoundHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min2.70
Str. Accuracy52%
197UFC landed/377attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.2 vs avg2.49
Str. Defense52%
KD Rate / Fight0.29
2UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.14
CQ KO Power
Above Avg69%ile1.02
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
76%
Body
13%
Leg
11%
By Position
Dist61%
Clinch3%
Ground36%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=7
R2
n=5
R3
n=4
Landed14129
Absorbed121111
Net+2+2-2
Grappling
Orolbai
Welterweight avg
G&P Threat
337s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min8.22
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY13.78
TD Accuracy59%
40UFC landed/67attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
2UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense36%
4UFC defended/11opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 1 attempt
Finishing
Finish Rate
60%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
2Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
0KO/TKO
1Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
20%1 of 5 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.5pts
W2 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.51.73.0R1R2R3
R1n=7
R2n=5
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
3.1
2.6
2.1
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.6
2.2
2.7
Diff
+0.5
+0.4
-0.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Orolbai — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Jeremiah WellsWW
SUB·R3·Aug '26
26 SS (74%)·16 abs·4/6 td·1 td taken·380s ctrl
W
Chris CurtisWW
U-DEC·R3·Mar '26
20 SS (71%)·12 abs·19/24 td·753s ctrl
W
Jack HermanssonVeteranWW
KO/TKO·R1·Nov '25
15 SS (45%)·19 abs·1 kd
W
Tofiq MusayevCatch Weight
SUB·R1·Jun '25
2 SS (29%)·2 abs·3/5 td·220s ctrl·1 sub
L
Mateusz RebeckiCatch Weight
S-DEC·R3·Oct '24
61 SS (45%)·71 abs·2/5 td·3 td taken·125s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Elves BrenerLW
U-DEC·R3·May '24
65 SS (55%)·48 abs·5/17 td·3 td taken·432s ctrl·1 kd
W
Uros MedicWW
SUB·R2·Nov '23
8 SS (40%)·14 abs·7/10 td·446s ctrl·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X