Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
Red Corner
35-17-1(1 NC)30 UFCLast2mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Aging Threat
2× Title
2× 5R
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'10"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·39age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Terrance McKinney
“T. Wrecks”
18-813 UFCLast3mo ago
Complete Fighter
High Variance
Early Chaos
High Wear
5'10"ht·73"+2"reach·Switchstance·318yrage
Signals2 signals
SUBMISSION
McKinney actively hunts submissions on the ground.
AGE GAP
Green is 8 years older than McKinney.
CQ Core Edges
Green
+2.91
McKinney
+3.08
Green
0.37
McKinney
0.93
Green
85%
McKinney
67%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Green
63
AverageMcKinney
48
Average5 KO lossesKO losses3 KO losses
0.20KD / fight0.31
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Green6.46SLpM
+SLpM6.53McKinney
13.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
GreenOutput Builds Late+38% R1→R3
McKinneyEarly Finisher
Finish History
Green
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
44%
7/16
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
6/12
McKinney
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
100%
8/8
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
5/5
Edge & Exposure
Green
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
ExposureMileage Risk
Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.
McKinney
EdgeKO Threat
Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
ExposureWear Concern
High accumulated UFC fight volume. Susceptible to opponents who apply pressure in later rounds.
Opposition Quality
Green16–12UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
11–12
Record (24)
+2.6
Str Diff/Min
55%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)+16% step-up
6–5
Record (11)
+4.4
Str Diff/Min
67%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
4–0
Record (4)
+7.6
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
McKinney8–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–5
Record (7)
+0.1
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
Not enough qualifying fights
Division Percentile Ranks
GreenLightweightMcKinney
99th
Striking Differential
99th58th
Grappling Threat
88th97th
Round Win Rate
86th63rd
TD Defense
63rd40th
Durability
25th28th
Finishing Rate
92ndRecent Form
Green
Stat
McKinney
7.116.46 career
↑0.65
SLpMOutput
—
1.783.55 career
↓1.77
SApMAbsorbed
—
3.082.79 career
↑0.29
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Green53% distance
Finish 47%Decision 53%
McKinney0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Green 30 UFC fights·McKinney 13 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Green
10.6min
McKinney
2.3min
Combined Distance Rate
37%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
GreenTO KNOCK OUTMcKinney
50
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins16
McKinney's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses3
Total UFC losses5
McKinneyTO KNOCK OUTGreen
65
Elite
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins5
Total UFC wins8
Green's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses5
Total UFC losses12
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
GreenTO SUBMITMcKinney
56
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins16
McKinney's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses5
McKinneyTO SUBMITGreen
48
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins8
Green's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses12
GreenWin MethodMcKinney
25%
KO / TKO
63%
19%
Submission
38%
56%
Decision
0%
16 UFC wins · 4 KO · 3 Sub · 9 Dec8 UFC wins · 5 KO · 3 Sub
Green
Loss Method
McKinney42%
KO / TKO
60%
8%
Submission
40%
50%
Decision
0%
12 UFC losses · 5 KO · 1 Sub · 6 Dec5 UFC losses · 3 KO · 2 Sub
Green14 stoppages · 9 KO · 4 Sub
R1
10
R2
2
R3
2
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WSubJeremy StephensR1 · 4:20
WKODaniel ZellhuberR2 · 4:55
LKOMauricio RuffyR1 · 2:07
LSubPaddy PimblettR1 · 3:22
LKOJalin TurnerR1 · 2:49
McKinney13 stoppages · 8 KO · 5 Sub
R1
11
R2
2
R30
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOKyle NelsonR1 · 0:24
LSubChris DuncanR1 · 2:30
WSubViacheslav BorshchevR1 · 0:55
WKODamir HadzovicR1 · 2:01
LKOEsteban RibovicsR1 · 0:37
Historical Context
Green — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·30 fights
57 SS (66%)·5 abs·1/1 td·94s ctrl·1 sub att
86 SS (64%)·17 abs·3/3 td·125s ctrl·1 kd
65 SS (46%)·30 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·44s ctrl
4 SS (27%)·4 abs·1 kd taken
15 SS (71%)·8 abs·1/1 td·34s ctrl
186 SS (58%)·57 abs·1/1 td·54s ctrl·1 kd
McKinney — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·13 fights
13 SS (48%)·1 abs·13s ctrl
31 SS (54%)·38 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
1 SS (50%)·2 abs·1/1 td·47s ctrl·2 sub att
54 SS (78%)·4 abs·1 td taken·60s ctrl·1 sub att
5 SS (28%)·5 abs·1 kd taken
14 SS (67%)·1 abs·15s ctrl·1 kd
Common Opponents
Drew DoberSame result
L
Green
KO/TKO·R2·2022
L
McKinney
KO/TKO·R1·2022