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Kyle Nelson absorbs 4.6 and lands 3.6 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Kyle Nelson's takedown attempts are present but not a primary weapon.

Kyle Nelson wins 41% of rounds across 27 scored. Concedes more rounds than wins across fights on record.

Kyle Nelson has 4 KO/TKO losses in 6 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.08 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 28 out of 99, low for the division.

Kyle Nelson is 35 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“The Monster”

Kyle Nelson

17-7-112 UFC
Balanced
Form
Declining
High Wear
5'11"ht·71"reach·Switchstance·35age
Last fightLTerrance McKinney·KO/TKO·R1·3mo ago
Fighter Context
5–6–1UFC·
2KO
·
0Sub
·
3Dec
·
9.6min/fight
·
115UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–4(9 fights)
·
40%finish rate
·
-0.7str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.98
Deficit
18%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.088
Average
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
28
Low
12%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
41%
Passive
23%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Kyle Nelson — 3.60 significant strikes per minute, 45% striking accuracy, absorbs 4.58 strikes per minute.

Nelson
Distance Striker
Body Attacker
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.60
Str. Accuracy45%
413UFC landed/902attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+0.4 vs avg4.58
Str. Defense53%
KD Rate / fight0.08
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.08
CQ KO Power
Below Avg9%ile0.24
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
56%
Body
26%
Leg
18%
By Position
Distance84%
/
Clinch13%
/
Ground3%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 112 rounds
Round 28 rounds
Round 37 rounds
Avg. Landed161811
Avg. Absorbed232113
Avg. Net-7-3-2
Grappling

Kyle Nelson — 1.2 takedowns per 15 minutes, 23% takedown accuracy, 0.5 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 66% takedown defense.

Nelson
Control Wrestler
·118s ctrlActive Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.18
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.10
TD Accuracy23%
9UFC landed/39attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50
0UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense66%
12UFC defended/18opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Holds Ground
Finishing

Kyle Nelson — 5 UFC wins (2 KO/TKO, 3 decision), 40% finish rate.

Finish Rate
40%
Average
div avg 52%
How They Lose
6UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 5
Submission0 / 5
Decision3 / 5
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO4 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision1 / 6
Loss Pattern
3 of 6 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
2.0pts
W2 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 10 more in second half of career
0+24+47+71+94avg↗↵↗↗D20182019202020222023202420252026

12 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.12.03.8R1R2R3
R1n=12
R2n=8
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
3.8
4.0
2.7
Absorbedsig strikes / min
5.4
4.6
3.1
Diff
-1.6
-0.6
-0.4

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Absorbed-33%L3
-13%50%113%LDWWWLWL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Nelson — 12 UFC Fights

Kyle Nelson — UFC fight record: 5 wins, 6 losses, 1 draw.

Result
Method
12 fights
L
Terrance McKinney
LW
KO/TKO R1 · 0:24Mar '26
-12
·1 SS (33%)·13 abs
W
Matt Frevola
LW
U-DEC R3Oct '25
+20
·63 SS (47%)·43 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·191s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Steve Garcia
FW
KO/TKO R1 · 3:59Sep '24
-21
·1 SS (50%)·22 abs·133s ctrl
W
Bill Algeo
FW
KO/TKO R1 · 4:00Mar '24
+2
·32 SS (54%)·30 abs·48s ctrl
W
Fernando Padilla
FW
U-DEC R3Sep '23
+10
·82 SS (45%)·72 abs·0/3 td
W
Blake Bilder
FW
U-DEC R3Jun '23
+14
·59 SS (47%)·45 abs·0/1 td·141s ctrl
D
Dooho Choi
FW
M-DEC R3Feb '23
-30
·20 SS (34%)·50 abs·5/10 td·334s ctrl
L
Jai Herbert
LW
U-DEC R3Jul '22
+5
·41 SS (66%)·36 abs·0/4 td·186s ctrl
↵ 22mo layoff
L
Billy Quarantillo
FW
KO/TKO R3 · 0:07Sep '20
-23
·56 SS (49%)·79 abs·0/4 td·2 td taken·87s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Marco Polo Reyes
FW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:36Sep '19
+6
·12 SS (75%)·6 abs·0/2 td·50s ctrl
All Fighters
Lightweight
“The Monster”

Kyle Nelson

17-7-112 UFC
Form
5'11"ht·71"reach·Switchstance·35age
Last fightLTerrance McKinney·KO/TKO·3mo ago
Fighter Context
5–6–1UFC·
2KO
·
0Sub
·
3Dec
·
9.6min/fight
·
115UFC min
vs. Winning Record5–4
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.98
18%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.088
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
28
12%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
41%
23%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Nelson
Lightweight avg
Distance StrikerBody Attacker
Sig. Strikes / Min3.60
Str. Accuracy45%
413UFC landed/902attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+0.4 vs avg4.58
Str. Defense53%
KD Rate / Fight0.08
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.08
CQ KO Power
Below Avg9%ile0.24
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
56%
Body
26%
Leg
18%
By Position
Dist84%
Clinch13%
Ground3%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=12
R2
n=8
R3
n=7
Landed161811
Absorbed232113
Net-7-3-2
Grappling
Nelson
Lightweight avg
Control Wrestler
118s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.18
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.10
TD Accuracy23%
9UFC landed/39attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50
0UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense66%
12UFC defended/18opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 2 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
40%
Average
Win Methods
2KO/TKO
0Sub
3Dec
Loss Methods
4KO/TKO
1Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.0pts
W2 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.12.03.8R1R2R3
R1n=12
R2n=8
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
3.8
4.0
2.7
Absorbedsig strikes / min
5.4
4.6
3.1
Diff
-1.6
-0.6
-0.4

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Nelson — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Terrance McKinneyLW
KO/TKO·R1·Mar '26
1 SS (33%)·13 abs
W
Matt FrevolaLW
U-DEC·R3·Oct '25
63 SS (47%)·43 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·191s ctrl·1 kd
L
Steve GarciaFW
KO/TKO·R1·Sep '24
1 SS (50%)·22 abs·133s ctrl
W
Bill AlgeoFW
KO/TKO·R1·Mar '24
32 SS (54%)·30 abs·48s ctrl
W
Fernando PadillaFW
U-DEC·R3·Sep '23
82 SS (45%)·72 abs·0/3 td
W
Blake BilderFW
U-DEC·R3·Jun '23
59 SS (47%)·45 abs·0/1 td·141s ctrl
D
Dooho ChoiFW
M-DEC·R3·Feb '23
20 SS (34%)·50 abs·5/10 td·334s ctrl
L
Jai HerbertLW
U-DEC·R3·Jul '22
41 SS (66%)·36 abs·0/4 td·186s ctrl
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X