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Matchup Analysis·Light Heavyweight
↑UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 26 / 14
←Green vs McKinneySteveson vs Ellison→
Red Corner

Nikita Krylov

“The Miner”
31-1121 UFCLast5mo ago
Complete Fighter
Declining
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Front-Loaded
High Wear
6'3"+3"ht·77"+4"reach·Orthodoxstance·34age
VS
Light Heavyweight205 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Robert Whittaker

“The Reaper”
27-924 UFCLast11mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Declining
10× Title
10× 5R
High Wear
6'0"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingNo edge
KO Adv.KrylovClear edge
Sub Adv.KrylovDominant
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
1 signal
WC DEBUT

Whittaker is making their UFC debut at Light Heavyweight, moving up from Middleweight.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Krylov
+1.77
Whittaker
+1.03
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No edge
Krylov
0.37
Whittaker
0.34
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Krylov
73%
Whittaker
67%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Krylov
68
Average
Whittaker
74
Durable
3 KO lossesKO losses3 KO losses
0.14KD / fight0.33
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Krylov4.36SLpM
+
SLpM4.39Whittaker
8.8
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Whittaker
KrylovOutput Drops Late-27% R1→R3
WhittakerOutput Holds Steady+5% R1→R3
Finish History
Krylov
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×5
Finish rate (wins)
83%
10/12
Stopped rate (losses)
78%
7/9
Whittaker
KO/TKO ×6
Finish rate (wins)
35%
6/17
Stopped rate (losses)
57%
4/7
Edge & Exposure
Krylov
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

ExposureWear Concern

High accumulated UFC fight volume. Susceptible to opponents who apply pressure in later rounds.

Whittaker
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

ExposureWear Concern

High accumulated UFC fight volume. Susceptible to opponents who apply pressure in later rounds.

Opposition Quality
Krylov12–9UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–8
Record (17)
+2.7
Str Diff/Min
78%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+18% step-up
4–2
Record (6)
+4.5
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Whittaker17–7UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
15–7
Record (22)
+1.4
Str Diff/Min
40%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+3% step-up
6–1
Record (7)
+2.8
Str Diff/Min
17%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
KrylovLight HeavyweightWhittaker
88th
Striking Differential
73rd
74th
Grappling Threat
34th
91st
Round Win Rate
80th
28th
TD Defense
82nd
59th
Durability
66th
64th
Finishing Rate
14th
Recent Form
Krylov
Stat
Whittaker
4.254.36 career
↓0.11
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.69
2.704.39 career
3.282.59 career
↑0.69
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.89
2.473.36 career
2.775.54 career
⚠↓2.77
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
0.001.20 career
⚠↓1.20
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Krylov19% distance
Finish 81%Decision 19%
Whittaker58% distance
Finish 42%Decision 58%
Krylov 21 UFC fights·Whittaker 24 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Krylov
7.0min
Whittaker
13.6min
Combined Distance Rate
40%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
KrylovTO KNOCK OUTWhittaker
61
Elite
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins5
Total UFC wins12
Whittaker's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses3
Total UFC losses7
WhittakerTO KNOCK OUTKrylov
48
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins6
Total UFC wins17
Krylov's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses3
Total UFC losses9
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
KrylovTO SUBMITWhittaker
58
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins5
Total UFC wins12
Whittaker's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses7
WhittakerTO SUBMITKrylov
14
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins17
Krylov's Sub Losses
Sub losses4
Total UFC losses9
KrylovWin MethodWhittaker
42%
KO / TKO
35%
42%
Submission
0%
17%
Decision
65%
12 UFC wins · 5 KO · 5 Sub · 2 Dec17 UFC wins · 6 KO · 11 Dec
Krylov
Loss Method
Whittaker
33%
KO / TKO
43%
44%
Submission
14%
22%
Decision
43%
9 UFC losses · 3 KO · 4 Sub · 2 Dec7 UFC losses · 3 KO · 1 Sub · 3 Dec
Krylov17 stoppages · 8 KO · 9 Sub
R1
11
R2
4
R3
2
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOModestas BukauskasR3 · 4:57
LKOBogdan GuskovR1 · 4:18
LKODominick ReyesR1 · 2:24
WSubRyan SpannR1 · 3:38
WKOAlexander GustafssonR1 · 1:07
Whittaker10 stoppages · 9 KO · 1 Sub
R1
5
R2
4
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LSubKhamzat ChimaevR1 · 3:34
WKOIkram AliskerovR1 · 1:49
LKODricus Du PlessisR2 · 2:23
LKOIsrael AdesanyaR2 · 3:33
WKOJacare SouzaR2 · 3:28
Historical Context
Krylov — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Modestas BukauskasLHW
KO/TKO
R34:57
Jan '26
72 SS (53%)·40 abs·1/4 td·157s ctrl·1 kd
L
Bogdan GuskovLHW
KO/TKO
R14:18
Jul '25
16 SS (47%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Dominick ReyesVeteranLHW
KO/TKO
R12:24
Apr '25
4 SS (18%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Ryan SpannVeteranCatch Weight
SUB
R13:38
Mar '23
7 SS (58%)·5 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·159s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Volkan OezdemirLHW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '22
57 SS (47%)·42 abs·7/20 td·1 td taken·557s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Alexander GustafssonVeteranLHW
KO/TKO
R11:07
Jul '22
26 SS (59%)·5 abs·9s ctrl·2 kd
View full fight log →
Whittaker — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Reinier de RidderTITLEMW
S-DEC
R5
Jul '25
66 SS (46%)·67 abs·2 td taken·36s ctrl·1 kd
L
Khamzat ChimaevTITLEMW
SUB
R13:34
Oct '24
2 SS (100%)·3 abs·2 td taken
W
Ikram AliskerovTITLEMW
KO/TKO
R11:49
Jun '24
14 SS (67%)·5 abs·1 kd
W
Paulo CostaMW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '24
95 SS (54%)·67 abs·0/1 td
L
Dricus Du PlessisMW
KO/TKO
R22:23
Jul '23
31 SS (44%)·62 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Marvin VettoriVeteranMW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '22
74 SS (45%)·33 abs·1/1 td·12s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·LHW·3R
↑UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
6/14←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Nikita Krylov

“The Miner”
31-1121 UFC5mo ago
6'3"+3"ht77"+4"reachOrthodox34 yrs
VS·LHW·3R
Blue Corner

Robert Whittaker

“The Reaper”
27-924 UFC11mo ago
6'0"ht73"reachOrthodox35 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingNo edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.KrylovClear edge
Sub Adv.KrylovDominant
Signals
1
WC DEBUTWhittaker is making their UFC debut at Light Heavyweight, moving up from Middleweight.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Krylov+1.77
Whittaker+1.03
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No edge
Krylov0.37
Whittaker0.34
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Krylov73%
Whittaker67%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Krylov
68Average
Whittaker
74Durable
Stats
Krylov
Whittaker
Striking
4.36SS Landed / min4.39
54%Str Acc43%
2.59SS Absorbed / min3.36
47%Str Def59%
0.29KD / fight0.50
Grappling
2.05TD / min0.73
53%TD Def82%
1.20Sub Att · /15m0.00
64%Sub Def50%
Finish History
Krylov
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×5
Finish Rate (Wins)
83%
10/12
Stopped Rate (Losses)
78%
7/9
Whittaker
KO/TKO ×6
Finish Rate (Wins)
35%
6/17
Stopped Rate (Losses)
57%
4/7
Krylov19% distance
Finish 81%Decision 19%
Whittaker58% distance
Finish 42%Decision 58%
Krylov 21 UFC fights·Whittaker 24 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Krylov
7.0min
Whittaker
13.6min
Combined Distance Rate
40%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
KrylovWinWhittaker
42%
KO
35%
42%
Sub
0%
17%
Dec
65%
12 wins5 KO5 Sub2 Dec
11 Dec6 KO17 wins
KrylovLossWhittaker
33%
KO
43%
44%
Sub
14%
22%
Dec
43%
9 losses3 KO4 Sub2 Dec
3 Dec1 Sub3 KO7 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Krylov
to knock out
Whittaker
61Elite
Whittaker
to knock out
Krylov
48High
Krylov
to submit
Whittaker
58Elite
Whittaker
to submit
Krylov
14Low
Recent Form
Krylov
Stat
Whittaker
4.25
4.36 career
↓0.11
SLpMOutput
↓1.69
2.70
4.39 career
3.28
2.59 career
↑0.69
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.89
2.47
3.36 career
2.77
5.54 career
↓2.77
TD AttAtt/15m
—
0.00
1.20 career
↓1.20
SubAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Krylov—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Modestas BukauskasLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 4:57 · Jan '26
72 SS (53%)·40 abs·1/4 td·157s ctrl·1 kd
L
Bogdan GuskovLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:18 · Jul '25
16 SS (47%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Dominick ReyesVeteranLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:24 · Apr '25
4 SS (18%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Ryan SpannVeteranCatch Weight Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:38 · Mar '23
7 SS (58%)·5 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·159s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Volkan OezdemirLHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '22
57 SS (47%)·42 abs·7/20 td·1 td taken·557s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Alexander GustafssonVeteranLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:07 · Jul '22
26 SS (59%)·5 abs·9s ctrl·2 kd
View full fight log →
Whittaker—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Reinier de RidderTITLEMW Bout
S-DEC · R5 · Jul '25
66 SS (46%)·67 abs·2 td taken·36s ctrl·1 kd
L
Khamzat ChimaevTITLEMW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:34 · Oct '24
2 SS (100%)·3 abs·2 td taken
W
Ikram AliskerovTITLEMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:49 · Jun '24
14 SS (67%)·5 abs·1 kd
W
Paulo CostaMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '24
95 SS (54%)·67 abs·0/1 td
L
Dricus Du PlessisMW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:23 · Jul '23
31 SS (44%)·62 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Marvin VettoriVeteranMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '22
74 SS (45%)·33 abs·1/1 td·12s ctrl
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X