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Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit8 / 13
←Dober vs DuncanJohnson vs Almeida→
Red Corner

Jim Miller

“A-10”
39-19(1 NC)47 UFCLast6mo ago
Balanced
Aging Threat
Title Fight
2× 5R
High Variance
Early Chaos
High Wear
5'8"ht·71"reach·Southpawstance·43age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Terrance McKinney

“T. Wrecks”
18-914 UFCLast4mo ago
Complete Fighter
High Variance
Early Chaos
High Wear
5'10"+2"ht·73"+2"reach·Switchstance·3211yrage
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingMcKinneyDominant
DecisionMcKinneySlight edge
GrapplingMcKinneyDominant
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.MillerClear edge
DurabilityMiller
Signals
2 signals
GRAPPLING + SUB

McKinney has a clear takedown edge and actively hunts submissions. Every trip to the mat is a potential finish.

AGE GAP

Miller is 11 years older than McKinney.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
McKinney
Miller
-0.51
McKinney
+2.76
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
McKinney
Miller
0.42
McKinney
1.73
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
McKinney
Miller
45%
McKinney
63%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Miller
Miller
100
Ironclad
McKinney
35
Low
2 KO lossesKO losses4 KO losses
0.06KD / fight0.36
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Miller2.92SLpM
+
SLpM6.83McKinney
9.8
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
MillerOutput Holds Steady-16% R1→R3
McKinneyEarly Finisher
Finish History
Miller
KO/TKO ×6Sub ×14
Finish rate (wins)
71%
20/28
Stopped rate (losses)
28%
5/18
McKinney
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
100%
8/8
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
6/6
Edge & Exposure
Miller
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeSub Threat

Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.

ExposureMileage Risk

Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.

McKinney
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

ExposureWear Concern

High accumulated UFC fight volume. Susceptible to opponents who apply pressure in later rounds.

Opposition Quality
Miller28–18UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
17–17
Record (34)
-0.7
Str Diff/Min
59%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+29% step-up
7–8
Record (15)
-0.8
Str Diff/Min
57%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
2–0
Record (2)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
McKinney8–6UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–6
Record (8)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)

Not enough qualifying fights

Division Percentile Ranks
MillerLightweightMcKinney
27th
Striking Differential
98th
59th
Grappling Threat
89th
32nd
Round Win Rate
78th
16th
TD Defense
68th
99th
Durability
15th
69th
Finishing Rate
90th
Recent Form
Miller
Stat
McKinney
1.512.92 career
⚠↓1.41
SLpMOutput
—
2.073.43 career
↓1.36
SApMAbsorbed
—
0.713.31 career
⚠↓2.60
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
2.831.70 career
↑1.13
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Miller45% distance
Finish 55%Decision 45%
McKinney0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Miller 47 UFC fights·McKinney 14 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Miller
9.6min
McKinney
2.5min
Combined Distance Rate
34%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MillerTO KNOCK OUTMcKinney
45
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins6
Total UFC wins28
McKinney's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses4
Total UFC losses6
McKinneyTO KNOCK OUTMiller
38
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins5
Total UFC wins8
Miller's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses18
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MillerTO SUBMITMcKinney
89
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins14
Total UFC wins28
McKinney's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses6
McKinneyTO SUBMITMiller
65
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins8
Miller's Sub Losses
Sub losses3
Total UFC losses18
MillerWin MethodMcKinney
21%
KO / TKO
63%
50%
Submission
38%
29%
Decision
0%
28 UFC wins · 6 KO · 14 Sub · 8 Dec8 UFC wins · 5 KO · 3 Sub
Miller
Loss Method
McKinney
11%
KO / TKO
67%
17%
Submission
33%
72%
Decision
0%
18 UFC losses · 2 KO · 3 Sub · 13 Dec6 UFC losses · 4 KO · 2 Sub
Miller26 stoppages · 8 KO · 17 Sub
R1
15
R2
7
R3
4
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WSubJared GordonR1 · 3:29
WSubDamon JacksonR1 · 2:44
WSubGabriel BenitezR3 · 3:25
WKOJesse ButlerR1 · 0:23
WSubDonald CerroneR2 · 1:32
McKinney14 stoppages · 9 KO · 5 Sub
R1
12
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOKing GreenR1 · 4:59
WKOKyle NelsonR1 · 0:24
LSubChris DuncanR1 · 2:30
WSubViacheslav BorshchevR1 · 0:55
WKODamir HadzovicR1 · 2:01
Historical Context
Miller — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Jared GordonVeteranLW
SUB
R13:29
May '26
9 SS (53%)·7 abs·2 td taken·1 sub att
L
Chase HooperVeteranLW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '25
13 SS (37%)·21 abs·1/1 td·8 td taken·99s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Damon JacksonLW
SUB
R12:44
Nov '24
10 SS (42%)·16 abs·1 sub att
L
King GreenVeteranLW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '24
57 SS (40%)·186 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Gabriel BenitezLW
SUB
R33:25
Jan '24
80 SS (57%)·80 abs·2/2 td·235s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jesse ButlerLW
KO/TKO
R10:23
Jun '23
3 SS (60%)·1 abs·1 kd
View full fight log →
McKinney — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·14 fights
L
King GreenEliteLW
KO/TKO
R14:59
Jul '26
45 SS (56%)·43 abs·1/1 td·132s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Kyle NelsonLW
KO/TKO
R10:24
Mar '26
13 SS (48%)·1 abs·13s ctrl
L
Chris DuncanLW
SUB
R12:30
Dec '25
31 SS (54%)·38 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Viacheslav BorshchevLW
SUB
R10:55
Jun '25
1 SS (50%)·2 abs·1/1 td·47s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Damir HadzovicLW
KO/TKO
R12:01
Feb '25
54 SS (78%)·4 abs·1 td taken·60s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Esteban RibovicsLW
KO/TKO
R10:37
May '24
5 SS (28%)·5 abs·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Erick GonzalezSame result
W
Miller
KO/TKO·R2·2021
W
McKinney
Sub·R1·2022
King GreenSame result
L
Miller
UD·R3·2024
L
McKinney
KO/TKO·R1·2026
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
8/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Jim Miller

“A-10”
39-19(1 NC)47 UFC6mo ago
5'8"ht71"reachSouthpaw43 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Terrance McKinney

“T. Wrecks”
18-914 UFC4mo ago
5'10"+2"ht73"+2"reachSwitch32 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingMcKinneyDominant
DecisionMcKinneySlight edge
GrapplingMcKinneyDominant
DurabilityMiller
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.MillerClear edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPMiller is 11 years older than McKinney.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
McKinney
Miller-0.51
McKinney+2.76
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
McKinney
Miller0.42
McKinney1.73
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
McKinney
Miller45%
McKinney63%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
Miller
Miller
100Ironclad
McKinney
35Low
Stats
Miller
McKinney
Striking
2.92SS Landed / min6.83
42%Str Acc55%
3.43SS Absorbed / min4.07
56%Str Def42%
0.13KD / fight0.21
Grappling
1.49TD / min3.27
47%TD Def72%
1.70Sub Att · /15m1.80
82%Sub Def0%
Finish History
Miller
KO/TKO ×6Sub ×14
Finish Rate (Wins)
71%
20/28
Stopped Rate (Losses)
28%
5/18
McKinney
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
8/8
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
6/6
Miller45% distance
Finish 55%Decision 45%
McKinney0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Miller 47 UFC fights·McKinney 14 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Miller
9.6min
McKinney
2.5min
Combined Distance Rate
34%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
MillerWinMcKinney
21%
KO
63%
50%
Sub
38%
29%
Dec
0%
28 wins6 KO14 Sub8 Dec
3 Sub5 KO8 wins
MillerLossMcKinney
11%
KO
67%
17%
Sub
33%
72%
Dec
0%
18 losses2 KO3 Sub13 Dec
2 Sub4 KO6 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Miller
to knock out
McKinney
45High
McKinney
to knock out
Miller
38Elevated
Miller
to submit
McKinney
89Elite
McKinney
to submit
Miller
65Elite
Recent Form
Miller
Stat
McKinney
1.51
2.92 career
↓1.41
SLpMOutput
—
2.07
3.43 career
↓1.36
SApMAbsorbed
—
0.71
3.31 career
↓2.60
TD AttAtt/15m
—
2.83
1.70 career
↑1.13
SubAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Miller—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Jared GordonVeteranLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:29 · May '26
9 SS (53%)·7 abs·2 td taken·1 sub att
L
Chase HooperVeteranLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '25
13 SS (37%)·21 abs·1/1 td·8 td taken·99s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Damon JacksonLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:44 · Nov '24
10 SS (42%)·16 abs·1 sub att
L
King GreenVeteranLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '24
57 SS (40%)·186 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Gabriel BenitezLW Bout
SUB · R3 · 3:25 · Jan '24
80 SS (57%)·80 abs·2/2 td·235s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jesse ButlerLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:23 · Jun '23
3 SS (60%)·1 abs·1 kd
View full fight log →
McKinney—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·14 fights
L
King GreenEliteLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Jul '26
45 SS (56%)·43 abs·1/1 td·132s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Kyle NelsonLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Mar '26
13 SS (48%)·1 abs·13s ctrl
L
Chris DuncanLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:30 · Dec '25
31 SS (54%)·38 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Viacheslav BorshchevLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 0:55 · Jun '25
1 SS (50%)·2 abs·1/1 td·47s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Damir HadzovicLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:01 · Feb '25
54 SS (78%)·4 abs·1 td taken·60s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Esteban RibovicsLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:37 · May '24
5 SS (28%)·5 abs·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Erick GonzalezSame result
W
Miller
KO/TKO·R2·2021
W
McKinney
Sub·R1·2022
King GreenSame result
L
Miller
UD·R3·2024
L
McKinney
KO/TKO·R1·2026
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X