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Matchup Analysis·Middleweight
↑UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit9 / 13
←Miller vs McKinneyGordon vs Costa→
Red Corner

Donte Johnson

“Lock Jaw”
9-03 UFCLast3mo ago
Balanced
Rising
5'8"ht·74"reach·Southpawstance·2711yrage
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Cesar Almeida

“Cesinha”
7-36 UFCLast4mo ago
Balanced
Declining
High Variance
Moderate Wear
6'1"+5"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingJohnsonDominant
KO Adv.JohnsonClear edge
Sub Adv.JohnsonSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Almeida is 11 years older than Johnson.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Johnson
+1.25
Almeida
+1.50
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Johnson
Johnson
0.88
Almeida
0.05
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Johnson
Too few rounds
Almeida
39%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Johnson
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Almeida
61
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Johnson3.36SLpM
+
SLpM3.73Almeida
7.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Johnson
JohnsonEarly Finisher
AlmeidaOutput Drops Late-48% R1→R3
Finish History
Johnson
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Almeida
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Edge & Exposure
Johnson
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

Almeida
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Opposition Quality
Johnson3–0UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Almeida3–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–3
Record (4)
+1.9
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
JohnsonMiddleweightAlmeida
78th
Striking Differential
86th
88th
Grappling Threat
17th
—
Round Win Rate
23rd
70th
TD Defense
31st
77th
Durability
42nd
45th
Finishing Rate
45th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Johnson
Stat
Almeida
2.863.36 career
↓0.50
SLpMOutput
↓0.85
2.883.73 career
1.822.11 career
↓0.29
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.10
2.332.23 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
0.650.60 career
↑0.05
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Johnson33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Almeida50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Johnson 3 UFC fights·Almeida 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Johnson
7.7min
Almeida
10.2min
Combined Distance Rate
44%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
JohnsonTO KNOCK OUTAlmeida
51
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins3
Almeida's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses3
AlmeidaTO KNOCK OUTJohnson
34
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins3
Johnson's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses0
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
JohnsonTO SUBMITAlmeida
23
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins3
Almeida's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses3
AlmeidaTO SUBMITJohnson
10
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins3
Johnson's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses0
JohnsonWin MethodAlmeida
33%
KO / TKO
67%
33%
Submission
0%
33%
Decision
33%
3 UFC wins · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 1 Dec3 UFC wins · 2 KO · 1 Dec
Johnson
Loss Method
Almeida
—
KO / TKO
33%
—
Submission
0%
—
Decision
67%
No UFC losses3 UFC losses · 1 KO · 2 Dec
Johnson2 stoppages · 1 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
1
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Win
All stoppages
WKOEric McConicoR1 · 1:38
WSubSedriques DumasR2 · 1:25
Almeida3 stoppages · 3 KO
R1
2
R2
1
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
LKODamian PinasR1 · 4:44
WKOAbdul Razak AlhassanR1 · 4:16
WKODylan BudkaR2 · 2:13
Historical Context
Johnson — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
W
Eric McConicoMW
KO/TKO
R11:38
Aug '26
11 SS (35%)·6 abs·1 kd
W
Cody BrundageMW
S-DEC
R3
Mar '26
45 SS (42%)·31 abs·2 td taken·212s ctrl
W
Sedriques DumasMW
SUB
R21:25
Nov '25
10 SS (56%)·5 abs·3/3 td·1 td taken·184s ctrl·1 sub att
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WDarion Abbey
DWCSKO/TKOR1Aug 2025
W
James Ford3-0
KO/TKOR1Jul 2025
W
Ryan Parker6-7
KO/TKOR1Jun 2025
View full fight log →
Almeida — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
L
Damian PinasMW
KO/TKO
R14:44
Jul '26
37 SS (74%)·25 abs·1/1 td·33s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Cezary OleksiejczukMW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '25
12 SS (60%)·14 abs·6 td taken·29s ctrl
W
Abdul Razak AlhassanMW
KO/TKO
R14:16
Jan '25
20 SS (69%)·17 abs·1 kd·1 kd taken
W
Ihor PotieriaMW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '24
57 SS (50%)·44 abs·0/2 td·3 td taken·135s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Roman KopylovMW
S-DEC
R3
Jun '24
58 SS (55%)·41 abs·5 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Dylan BudkaMW
KO/TKO
R22:13
Apr '24
29 SS (76%)·1 abs·3 td taken·12s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·MW·3R
↑UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
9/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Donte Johnson

“Lock Jaw”
9-03 UFC3mo ago
5'8"ht74"reachSouthpaw27 yrs
VS·MW·3R
Blue Corner

Cesar Almeida

“Cesinha”
7-36 UFC4mo ago
6'1"+5"ht74"reachOrthodox38 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingJohnsonDominant
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.JohnsonClear edge
Sub Adv.JohnsonSlight edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPAlmeida is 11 years older than Johnson.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Johnson+1.25
Almeida+1.50
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Johnson
Johnson0.88
Almeida0.05
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
JohnsonToo few rounds
Almeida39%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Johnson
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Almeida
61Average
Stats
Johnson
Almeida
Striking
3.36SS Landed / min3.73
46%Str Acc60%
2.11SS Absorbed / min2.23
61%Str Def44%
0.33KD / fight0.17
Grappling
1.87TD / min0.20
76%TD Def53%
0.60Sub Att · /15m0.20
—Sub Def—
Finish History
Johnson
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Almeida
KO/TKO ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped Rate (Losses)
33%
1/3
Johnson33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Almeida50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Johnson 3 UFC fights·Almeida 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Johnson
7.7min
Almeida
10.2min
Combined Distance Rate
44%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
JohnsonWinAlmeida
33%
KO
67%
33%
Sub
0%
33%
Dec
33%
3 wins1 KO1 Sub1 Dec
1 Dec2 KO3 wins
JohnsonLossAlmeida
—
KO
33%
—
Sub
0%
—
Dec
67%
—
2 Dec1 KO3 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Johnson
to knock out
Almeida
51High
Almeida
to knock out
Johnson
34Elevated
Johnson
to submit
Almeida
23Low
Almeida
to submit
Johnson
10Minimal
Recent Form
Johnson
Stat
Almeida
2.86
3.36 career
↓0.50
SLpMOutput
↓0.85
2.88
3.73 career
1.82
2.11 career
↓0.29
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.10
2.33
2.23 career
0.65
0.60 career
↑0.05
SubAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Johnson—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
W
Eric McConicoMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:38 · Aug '26
11 SS (35%)·6 abs·1 kd
W
Cody BrundageMW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
45 SS (42%)·31 abs·2 td taken·212s ctrl
W
Sedriques DumasMW Bout
SUB · R2 · 1:25 · Nov '25
10 SS (56%)·5 abs·3/3 td·1 td taken·184s ctrl·1 sub att
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WDarion Abbey
DWCSKO/TKOR1Aug 2025
W
James Ford3-0
KO/TKOR1Jul 2025
W
Ryan Parker6-7
KO/TKOR1Jun 2025
View full fight log →
Almeida—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
L
Damian PinasMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:44 · Jul '26
37 SS (74%)·25 abs·1/1 td·33s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Cezary OleksiejczukMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '25
12 SS (60%)·14 abs·6 td taken·29s ctrl
W
Abdul Razak AlhassanMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:16 · Jan '25
20 SS (69%)·17 abs·1 kd·1 kd taken
W
Ihor PotieriaMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '24
57 SS (50%)·44 abs·0/2 td·3 td taken·135s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Roman KopylovMW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Jun '24
58 SS (55%)·41 abs·5 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Dylan BudkaMW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:13 · Apr '24
29 SS (76%)·1 abs·3 td taken·12s ctrl
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X