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Matchup Analysis·Welterweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez1 / 12
←Blachowicz vs Stirling→
Red Corner

Uros Medic

“The Doctor”
13-310 UFCLast5mo ago
Pressure Fighter
High Variance
Early Chaos
6'1"ht·71"reach·Southpawstance·336yrage
VS
Welterweight170 lbs
5R
Blue Corner

Daniel Rodriguez

“D-Rod”
20-514 UFCLast1.0yr ago
Pressure Fighter
Aging Threat
Output Builds Late
High Wear
6'1"ht·74"+3"reach·Southpawstance·39age
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingRodriguezSlight edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.RodriguezClear edge
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Rodriguez is 6 years older than Medic.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Medic
+2.17
Rodriguez
+1.80
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Rodriguez
Medic
0.12
Rodriguez
0.23
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Medic
57%
Rodriguez
71%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Medic
74
Durable
Rodriguez
83
Durable
1 KO lossKO losses1 KO loss
0.30KD / fight0.21
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Medic5.59SLpM
+
SLpM7.20Rodriguez
12.8
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Contextual
MedicEarly Finisher
RodriguezOutput Builds Late+41% R1→R3
Finish History
Medic
KO/TKO ×7
Finish rate (wins)
100%
7/7
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
3/3
Rodriguez
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
40%
4/10
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
2/4
Edge & Exposure
Medic
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Rodriguez
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

EdgePressure Fighter

Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.

Opposition Quality
Medic7–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–2
Record (7)
-1.7
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
3–0
Record (3)
+3.7
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)

Not enough qualifying fights

Rodriguez10–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
7–3
Record (10)
+0.0
Str Diff/Min
43%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-21% step-up
6–2
Record (8)
+1.5
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
1–1
Record (2)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
MedicWelterweightRodriguez
93rd
Striking Differential
90th
24th
Grappling Threat
32nd
61st
Round Win Rate
85th
28th
TD Defense
47th
52nd
Durability
71st
89th
Finishing Rate
16th
Recent Form
Medic
Stat
Rodriguez
—
SLpMOutput
↓0.74
6.467.20 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.42
4.985.40 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Medic0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Rodriguez57% distance
Finish 43%Decision 57%
Medic 10 UFC fights·Rodriguez 14 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Medic
4.2min
Rodriguez
11.6min
Combined Distance Rate
33%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MedicTO KNOCK OUTRodriguez
56
Elite
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins7
Total UFC wins7
Rodriguez's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses4
RodriguezTO KNOCK OUTMedic
52
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins10
Medic's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses3
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MedicTO SUBMITRodriguez
16
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins7
Rodriguez's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses4
RodriguezTO SUBMITMedic
39
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins10
Medic's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses3
MedicWin MethodRodriguez
100%
KO / TKO
30%
0%
Submission
10%
0%
Decision
60%
7 UFC wins · 7 KO10 UFC wins · 3 KO · 1 Sub · 6 Dec
Medic
Loss Method
Rodriguez
33%
KO / TKO
25%
67%
Submission
25%
0%
Decision
50%
3 UFC losses · 1 KO · 2 Sub4 UFC losses · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 2 Dec
Medic10 stoppages · 8 KO · 2 Sub
R1
7
R2
2
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOGeoff NealR1 · 1:19
WKOMuslim SalikhovR1 · 1:03
WKOGilbert UrbinaR1 · 1:03
LKOPunahele SorianoR1 · 0:31
WKOTim MeansR1 · 2:09
Rodriguez6 stoppages · 4 KO · 2 Sub
R1
3
R2
1
R3
2
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOSantiago PonzinibbioR3 · 1:12
LKOIan Machado GarryR1 · 2:57
LSubNeil MagnyR3 · 3:33
WKOPreston ParsonsR1 · 3:47
WKODwight GrantR1 · 2:24
Historical Context
Medic — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·10 fights
W
Geoff NealVeteranWW
KO/TKO
R11:19
Feb '26
10 SS (53%)·3 abs·1 kd
W
Muslim SalikhovVeteranWW
KO/TKO
R11:03
Nov '25
8 SS (62%)·2 abs·5s ctrl·1 kd
W
Gilbert UrbinaWW
KO/TKO
R11:03
Aug '25
5 SS (56%)·5 abs·1 kd·1 kd taken
L
Punahele SorianoWW
KO/TKO
R10:31
Jan '25
2 SS (67%)·13 abs·1 kd taken
W
Tim MeansEliteWW
KO/TKO
R12:09
Apr '24
7 SS (58%)·7 abs·0/1 td·1 kd
L
Myktybek OrolbaiWW
SUB
R24:12
Nov '23
14 SS (52%)·8 abs·7 td taken
View full fight log →
Rodriguez — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·14 fights
W
Kevin HollandEliteWW
U-DEC
R3
Jul '25
77 SS (52%)·82 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·214s ctrl·2 kd·1 kd taken
W
Santiago PonzinibbioVeteranWW
KO/TKO
R31:12
May '25
66 SS (40%)·49 abs·1 td taken·8s ctrl·1 kd
W
Alex MoronoVeteranWW
S-DEC
R3
Oct '24
123 SS (48%)·74 abs·1/1 td·56s ctrl
L
Kelvin GastelumVeteranMW
U-DEC
R3
Jun '24
127 SS (48%)·112 abs·4 td taken
L
Ian Machado GarryWW
KO/TKO
R12:57
May '23
7 SS (28%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Neil MagnyEliteWW
SUB
R33:33
Nov '22
66 SS (61%)·57 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·76s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Tim MeansSame result
W
Medic
KO/TKO·R1·2024
W
Rodriguez
Sub·R2·2020
Matchup·WW·5R
↑UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
1/12←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Uros Medic

“The Doctor”
13-310 UFC5mo ago
6'1"ht71"reachSouthpaw33 yrs
VS·WW·5R
Blue Corner

Daniel Rodriguez

“D-Rod”
20-514 UFC1.0yr ago
6'1"ht74"+3"reachSouthpaw39 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingRodriguezSlight edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.RodriguezClear edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPRodriguez is 6 years older than Medic.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Medic+2.17
Rodriguez+1.80
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Rodriguez
Medic0.12
Rodriguez0.23
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Medic57%
Rodriguez71%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Medic
74Durable
Rodriguez
83Durable
Stats
Medic
Rodriguez
Striking
5.59SS Landed / min7.20
60%Str Acc49%
3.42SS Absorbed / min5.40
56%Str Def57%
0.80KD / fight0.50
Grappling
0.34TD / min0.51
55%TD Def64%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.10
0%Sub Def0%
Finish History
Medic
KO/TKO ×7
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
7/7
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
3/3
Rodriguez
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
40%
4/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
2/4
Medic0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Rodriguez57% distance
Finish 43%Decision 57%
Medic 10 UFC fights·Rodriguez 14 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Medic
4.2min
Rodriguez
11.6min
Combined Distance Rate
33%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
MedicWinRodriguez
100%
KO
30%
0%
Sub
10%
0%
Dec
60%
7 wins7 KO
6 Dec1 Sub3 KO10 wins
MedicLossRodriguez
33%
KO
25%
67%
Sub
25%
0%
Dec
50%
3 losses1 KO2 Sub
2 Dec1 Sub1 KO4 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Medic
to knock out
Rodriguez
56Elite
Rodriguez
to knock out
Medic
52High
Medic
to submit
Rodriguez
16Low
Rodriguez
to submit
Medic
39Elevated
Recent Form
Medic
Stat
Rodriguez
—
SLpMOutput
↓0.74
6.46
7.20 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.42
4.98
5.40 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Medic—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·10 fights
W
Geoff NealVeteranWW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:19 · Feb '26
10 SS (53%)·3 abs·1 kd
W
Muslim SalikhovVeteranWW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:03 · Nov '25
8 SS (62%)·2 abs·5s ctrl·1 kd
W
Gilbert UrbinaWW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:03 · Aug '25
5 SS (56%)·5 abs·1 kd·1 kd taken
L
Punahele SorianoWW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:31 · Jan '25
2 SS (67%)·13 abs·1 kd taken
W
Tim MeansEliteWW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:09 · Apr '24
7 SS (58%)·7 abs·0/1 td·1 kd
L
Myktybek OrolbaiWW Bout
SUB · R2 · 4:12 · Nov '23
14 SS (52%)·8 abs·7 td taken
View full fight log →
Rodriguez—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·14 fights
W
Kevin HollandEliteWW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jul '25
77 SS (52%)·82 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·214s ctrl·2 kd·1 kd taken
W
Santiago PonzinibbioVeteranWW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 1:12 · May '25
66 SS (40%)·49 abs·1 td taken·8s ctrl·1 kd
W
Alex MoronoVeteranWW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Oct '24
123 SS (48%)·74 abs·1/1 td·56s ctrl
L
Kelvin GastelumVeteranMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '24
127 SS (48%)·112 abs·4 td taken
L
Ian Machado GarryWW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:57 · May '23
7 SS (28%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Neil MagnyEliteWW Bout
SUB · R3 · 3:33 · Nov '22
66 SS (61%)·57 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·76s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Tim MeansSame result
W
Medic
KO/TKO·R1·2024
W
Rodriguez
Sub·R2·2020
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X