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Geoff Neal absorbs 5.5 and lands 5.0 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Geoff Neal's takedown attempts are present but not a primary weapon.

Geoff Neal wins 47% of rounds across 32 scored. Round splits are close.

Geoff Neal has 2 KO/TKO losses in 6 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.21 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 67 out of 99, average for the division.

Geoff Neal finishes 75% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Geoff Neal is 35 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Handz of Steel”

Geoff Neal

16-814 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 2L
Declining
Title Fight
High Variance
Early Chaos
Moderate Wear
5'11"ht·75"reach·Southpawstance·35age
Last fightLUros Medic·KO/TKO·R1·4mo ago
Fighter Context
8–6UFC·
5KO
·
1Sub
·
2Dec
·
9.8min/fight
·
139UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–6(12 fights)
·
67%finish rate
·
+0.4str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
3–2(5 fights)
·
67%finish rate
·
+1.2str diff/min
vs. Elite Opps
1–1(2 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
+4.0str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.48
Deficit
27%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.081
Average
30%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

⚠ TD accuracy based on a small number of career attempts. May shift with more data.

Durability
67
Average
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
47%
Average
35%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Geoff Neal — 5.02 significant strikes per minute, 50% striking accuracy, absorbs 5.50 strikes per minute.

Neal
Blitzer
Head Hunter
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min5.02
Str. Accuracy50%
687UFC landed/1,354attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+1.8 vs avg5.50
Str. Defense57%
KD Rate / fight0.57
8UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.21
CQ KO Power
Above Avg77%ile1.16
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
85%
Body
9%
Leg
6%
By Position
Distance82%
/
Clinch11%
/
Ground7%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 114 rounds
Round 29 rounds
Round 37 rounds
Round 41 round
Round 51 round
Avg. Landed2023221533
Avg. Absorbed1824303449
Avg. Net+2-1-7-19-16
Grappling

Geoff Neal — 0.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 45% takedown accuracy, 0.1 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 87% takedown defense.

Neal·80s ctrlAverage Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.54
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.20
TD Accuracy45%
5UFC landed/11attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.10
1UFC wins/1attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense87%
26UFC defended/29opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Tapped Once
Finishing

Geoff Neal — 8 UFC wins (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 2 decision), 75% finish rate.

Finish Rate
75%
Strong Finisher
div avg 53%
How They Lose
6UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO5 / 8
Submission1 / 8
Decision2 / 8
KD → Finish
4/5Lethal
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision3 / 6
Loss Pattern
Mixed
2 early · 1 late · 3 dec across 6 losses
Fast and versatile. 5 of 6 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
13%
1 of 8 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.7pts
W2 dec
3.3pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
40%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 52 vs 46 first half
0+35+70+104+139avg201820192020202120222023202420252026

14 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.42.64.8R1R2R3
R1n=14
R2n=9
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
4.9
5.2
5.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.5
5.5
6.7
Diff
+0.4
-0.3
-1.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Absorbed-74%L3
-16%56%128%LWWLLWLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Neal — 14 UFC Fights

Geoff Neal — UFC fight record: 8 wins, 6 losses.

Result
Method
14 fights
L
Uros Medic
WW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:19Feb '26
-7
·3 SS (30%)·10 abs·1 kd taken
L
Carlos Prates
WW
KO/TKO R1 · 4:59Aug '25
-7
·25 SS (51%)·32 abs·0/1 td·15s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Rafael Dos AnjosElite
WW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:30Oct '24
+14
·18 SS (60%)·4 abs·1/1 td·27s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Ian Machado Garry
WW
S-DEC R3Feb '24
-21
·46 SS (52%)·67 abs·225s ctrl
L
Shavkat Rakhmonov
WW
SUB R3 · 4:17Mar '23
-44
·69 SS (48%)·113 abs·72s ctrl
W
Vicente LuqueVeteran
WW
KO/TKO R3 · 2:01Aug '22
+24
·121 SS (57%)·97 abs·1/3 td·47s ctrl·2 kd landed
W
Santiago PonzinibbioVeteran
WW
S-DEC R3Dec '21
-6
·85 SS (53%)·91 abs·1 td taken
L
Neil MagnyElite
WW
U-DEC R3May '21
-20
·35 SS (48%)·55 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·230s ctrl
L
Stephen ThompsonVeteran
TITLEWW
U-DEC R5Dec '20
-86
·85 SS (47%)·171 abs·226s ctrl
W
Mike Perry
WW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:30Dec '19
+10
·15 SS (65%)·5 abs·1 kd landed
Neal — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
WChase WaldonDWCSKO/TKOR1Jul 2017
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Handz of Steel”

Geoff Neal

16-814 UFC
Form
2L
5'11"ht·75"reach·Southpawstance·35age
Last fightLUros Medic·KO/TKO·4mo ago
Fighter Context
8–6UFC·
5KO
·
1Sub
·
2Dec
·
9.8min/fight
·
139UFC min
vs. Winning Record6–6
vs. Veterans (8+ W)3–2
vs. Elite (15+ W)1–1
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.48
27%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.081
30%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
67
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
47%
35%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Neal
Welterweight avg
BlitzerHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min5.02
Str. Accuracy50%
687UFC landed/1,354attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+1.8 vs avg5.50
Str. Defense57%
KD Rate / Fight0.57
8UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.21
CQ KO Power
Above Avg77%ile1.16
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
85%
Body
9%
Leg
6%
By Position
Dist82%
Clinch11%
Ground7%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=14
R2
n=9
R3
n=7
R4
n=1
R5
n=1
Landed2023221533
Absorbed1824303449
Net+2-1-7-19-16
Grappling
Neal
Welterweight avg
80s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.54
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.20
TD Accuracy45%
5UFC landed/11attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.10
1UFC wins/1attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense87%
26UFC defended/29opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 1 attempt
Finishing
Finish Rate
75%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
5KO/TKO
1Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
1Sub
3Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
13%1 of 8 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.7pts
W2 dec
3.3pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
40%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.42.64.8R1R2R3
R1n=14
R2n=9
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
4.9
5.2
5.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.5
5.5
6.7
Diff
+0.4
-0.3
-1.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Neal — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Uros MedicWW
KO/TKO·R1·Feb '26
3 SS (30%)·10 abs·1 kd taken
L
Carlos PratesWW
KO/TKO·R1·Aug '25
25 SS (51%)·32 abs·0/1 td·15s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Rafael Dos AnjosEliteWW
KO/TKO·R1·Oct '24
18 SS (60%)·4 abs·1/1 td·27s ctrl·1 kd
L
Ian Machado GarryWW
S-DEC·R3·Feb '24
46 SS (52%)·67 abs·225s ctrl
L
Shavkat RakhmonovWW
SUB·R3·Mar '23
69 SS (48%)·113 abs·72s ctrl
W
Vicente LuqueVeteranWW
KO/TKO·R3·Aug '22
121 SS (57%)·97 abs·1/3 td·47s ctrl·2 kd
W
Santiago PonzinibbioVeteranWW
S-DEC·R3·Dec '21
85 SS (53%)·91 abs·1 td taken
L
Neil MagnyEliteWW
U-DEC·R3·May '21
35 SS (48%)·55 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·230s ctrl
Neal — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
WChase WaldonDWCSKO/TKOR1Jul 2017
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X