CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA
Matchup Analysis·Women's Bantamweight Bout
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi11 / 13
←Bolanos vs AswellShahbazyan vs Chokheli→
Red Corner

Karol Rosa

19-712 UFCLast10mo ago
Kickboxer
Moderate Wear
5'5"ht·67"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
VS
Women's Bantamweight135 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Luana Santos

10-26 UFCLast6mo ago
Counter Striker
Early Chaos
5'6"ht·67"reach·Orthodoxstance·265yrage
CQ
EdgesDecision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingRosaSlight edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingSantosClear edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.SantosSlight edge
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
2 signals
SUBMISSION

Santos actively hunts submissions on the ground.

AGE GAP

Rosa is 5 years older than Santos.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Rosa
Rosa
+1.29
Santos
+0.06
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Santos
Rosa
0.18
Santos
0.65
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Rosa
69%
Santos
69%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Rosa
99
Ironclad
Santos
90
Ironclad
0 KO lossesKO losses0 KO losses
0.08KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Rosa5.88SLpM
+
SLpM2.99Santos
8.9
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Rosa
RosaOutput Builds Late+32% R1→R3
SantosOutput Drops Late-73% R1→R3
Finish History
Rosa
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/8
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/4
Santos
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
60%
3/5
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Edge & Exposure
Rosa
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Santos
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

Opposition Quality
Rosa8–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3
Record (5)
+1.0
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Santos5–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–1
Record (3)
-0.9
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
RosaWomen's BantamweightSantos
80th
Striking Differential
51st
64th
Grappling Threat
85th
91st
Round Win Rate
88th
66th
TD Defense
91st
96th
Durability
73rd
—
Finishing Rate
54th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Rosa
Stat
Santos
4.515.88 career
⚠↓1.37
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.29
1.702.99 career
4.024.59 career
↓0.57
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.15
2.782.93 career
1.672.42 career
↓0.75
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.66
5.254.59 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.45
0.751.20 career
Stat Breakdown
Striking
RosaSantos
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.88
2.99
Str. Accuracy
56%
52%
Sig. Absorbed / min
4.59
2.93
Str. Defense
49%
63%
CQ KO Power
0.19
—
RosaStrike DistributionSantos
By Target
59%
Head
59%
13%
Body
29%
29%
Leg
12%
By Position
80%
Distance
90%
11%
Clinch
9%
9%
Ground
1%
Sig Strikes
Rosa
88avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
15.0 min
Goes Dist
100%
Santos
31avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
10.3 min
Goes Dist
50%
Historical Context
Rosa — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Nora CornolleW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Aug '25
33 SS (57%)·27 abs·2/3 td·685s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Ailin PerezW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Jan '25
53 SS (47%)·62 abs·2 td taken
W
Pannie KianzadW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Aug '24
117 SS (60%)·92 abs·1/2 td·264s ctrl
L
Irene AldanaW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '23
204 SS (58%)·145 abs·0/1 td
W
Yana SantosW.FW
S-DEC
R3
Jul '23
66 SS (51%)·95 abs·1/1 td·41s ctrl
L
Norma DumontW.FW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '23
33 SS (49%)·35 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·193s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Santos — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Melissa CrodenW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '25
12 SS (50%)·22 abs·3/7 td·561s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Tainara LisboaW.BW
SUB
R24:59
May '25
15 SS (79%)·6 abs·2/2 td·477s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Casey O'NeillW.FLY
U-DEC
R3
Aug '24
41 SS (42%)·83 abs·1/5 td·141s ctrl
W
Mariya AgapovaW.FLY
SUB
R13:27
Jul '24
2 SS (50%)·3 abs·1/1 td·143s ctrl·3 sub att
W
Stephanie EggerW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '23
53 SS (51%)·44 abs·2/4 td·1 td taken·464s ctrl
W
Juliana MillerW.FLY
KO/TKO
R13:41
Aug '23
63 SS (60%)·24 abs·26s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·W. BW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
11/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Karol Rosa

19-712 UFC10mo ago
5'5"ht67"reachOrthodox31 yrs
VS·W. BW·3R
Blue Corner

Luana Santos

10-26 UFC6mo ago
5'6"ht67"reachOrthodox26 yrs
CQ
Edges
Decision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingRosaSlight edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingSantosClear edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.SantosSlight edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPRosa is 5 years older than Santos.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Rosa
Rosa+1.29
Santos+0.06
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Santos
Rosa0.18
Santos0.65
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Rosa69%
Santos69%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Rosa
99Ironclad
Santos
90Ironclad
Stats
Rosa
Santos
Striking
5.88SS Landed / min2.99
56%Str Acc52%
4.59SS Absorbed / min2.93
49%Str Def63%
0.17KD / fight0.00
Grappling
1.17TD / min2.17
70%TD Def85%
0.20Sub Att · /15m1.20
—Sub Def100%
Finish History
Rosa
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/8
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/4
Santos
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
60%
3/5
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Rosa100% distance
Finish 0%Decision 100%
Santos50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Rosa 12 UFC fights·Santos 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Rosa
15.0min
Santos
10.3min
Combined Distance Rate
83%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
RosaWinSantos
0%
KO
20%
0%
Sub
40%
100%
Dec
40%
8 wins8 Dec
2 Dec2 Sub1 KO5 wins
RosaLossSantos
0%
KO
0%
0%
Sub
0%
100%
Dec
100%
4 losses4 Dec
1 Dec1 loss
CQ Finish Risk
Rosa
to knock out
Santos
15Low
Santos
to knock out
Rosa
18Low
Rosa
to submit
Santos
7Minimal
Santos
to submit
Rosa
23Low
Recent Form
Rosa
Stat
Santos
4.51
5.88 career
↓1.37
SLpMOutput
↓1.29
1.70
2.99 career
4.02
4.59 career
↓0.57
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.15
2.78
2.93 career
1.67
2.42 career
↓0.75
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.66
5.25
4.59 career
—
SubAtt/15m
↓0.45
0.75
1.20 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Rosa—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Nora CornolleW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '25
33 SS (57%)·27 abs·2/3 td·685s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Ailin PerezW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jan '25
53 SS (47%)·62 abs·2 td taken
W
Pannie KianzadW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '24
117 SS (60%)·92 abs·1/2 td·264s ctrl
L
Irene AldanaW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '23
204 SS (58%)·145 abs·0/1 td
W
Yana SantosW. FW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Jul '23
66 SS (51%)·95 abs·1/1 td·41s ctrl
L
Norma DumontW. FW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '23
33 SS (49%)·35 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·193s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Santos—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Melissa CrodenW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '25
12 SS (50%)·22 abs·3/7 td·561s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Tainara LisboaW. BW Bout
SUB · R2 · 4:59 · May '25
15 SS (79%)·6 abs·2/2 td·477s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Casey O'NeillW. FLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '24
41 SS (42%)·83 abs·1/5 td·141s ctrl
W
Mariya AgapovaW. FLY Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:27 · Jul '24
2 SS (50%)·3 abs·1/1 td·143s ctrl·3 sub att
W
Stephanie EggerW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '23
53 SS (51%)·44 abs·2/4 td·1 td taken·464s ctrl
W
Juliana MillerW. FLY Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 3:41 · Aug '23
63 SS (60%)·24 abs·26s ctrl
View full fight log →
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X