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Matchup Analysis·Bantamweight Bout
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi10 / 13
←Nascimento vs RaposoRosa vs Santos→
Red Corner

Gaston Bolanos

“The Dreamkiller”
8-54 UFCLast1.1yr ago
Kickboxer
Declining
5'7"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age
VS
Bantamweight135 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Michael Aswell Jr.

“The Texas Kid”
11-43 UFCLast3mo ago
Pressure Fighter
5'8"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·258yrage
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingBolanosSlight edge
KO Adv.AswellDominant
Sub Adv.AswellSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Bolanos is 8 years older than Aswell.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Bolanos
+0.88
Aswell
+0.36
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Bolanos
Bolanos
0.28
Aswell
0.19
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Bolanos
60%
Aswell
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Bolanos
53
Average
Aswell
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Bolanos3.28SLpM
+
SLpM7.79Aswell
11.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
BolanosOutput Holds Steady
AswellEarly Finisher
Finish History
Bolanos
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/2
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
2/2
Aswell
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/2
Edge & Exposure
Bolanos
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

ExposureChin Question

KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.

Aswell
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

Division Percentile Ranks
BolanosBantamweightAswell
70th
Striking Differential
54th
57th
Grappling Threat
42nd
61st
Round Win Rate
—
12th
TD Defense
36th
18th
Durability
74th
—
Finishing Rate
86th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Bolanos
Stat
Aswell
2.833.28 career
↓0.45
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.20
6.597.79 career
3.032.40 career
↑0.63
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.30
7.737.43 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Bolanos4 fightsAswell4 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
3.28
7.79
Str. Accuracy
49%
42%
Sig. Absorbed / min
2.40
7.43
Str. Defense
50%
51%
CQ KO Power
—
0.96
BolanosStrike DistributionAswell
By Target
46%
Head
82%
23%
Body
15%
31%
Leg
3%
By Position
71%
Distance
93%
6%
Clinch
4%
24%
Ground
3%
Sig Strikes
Bolanos
37avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
11.3 min
Goes Dist
50%
Aswell
70avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
10.6 min
Goes Dist
67%
Historical Context
Bolanos — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Quang LeBW
SUB
R21:54
May '25
5 SS (25%)·10 abs·4 td taken
W
Cortavious RomiousBW
U-DEC
R3
Nov '24
53 SS (71%)·17 abs·2/2 td·4 td taken·269s ctrl
L
Marcus McGheeBW
KO/TKO
R23:29
Jan '24
28 SS (35%)·65 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Aaron PhillipsBW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '23
63 SS (50%)·17 abs·3 td taken·96s ctrl
View full fight log →
Aswell — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
L
Luke RileyFW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
61 SS (34%)·100 abs·1/1 td·169s ctrl
W
Lucas AlmeidaFW
KO/TKO
R11:42
Oct '25
30 SS (56%)·9 abs·15s ctrl·2 kd
L
Bolaji OkiLW
U-DEC
R3
May '25
118 SS (38%)·136 abs
Tracked Fights·1 fight
LBogdan Grad
DWCSS-DECR3Aug 2024
View full fight log →
Matchup·BW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
10/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Gaston Bolanos

“The Dreamkiller”
8-54 UFC1.1yr ago
5'7"ht69"reachOrthodox33 yrs
VS·BW·3R
Blue Corner

Michael Aswell Jr.

“The Texas Kid”
11-43 UFC3mo ago
5'8"ht69"reachOrthodox25 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingBolanosSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.AswellDominant
Sub Adv.AswellSlight edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPBolanos is 8 years older than Aswell.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Bolanos+0.88
Aswell+0.36
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Bolanos
Bolanos0.28
Aswell0.19
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Bolanos60%
AswellToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Bolanos
53Average
Aswell
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Bolanos
Aswell
Striking
3.28SS Landed / min7.79
49%Str Acc42%
2.40SS Absorbed / min7.43
50%Str Def51%
0.00KD / fight0.67
Grappling
0.66TD / min0.32
42%TD Def57%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.00
50%Sub Def—
Finish History
Bolanos
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
2/2
Aswell
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/2
Bolanos50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Aswell67% distance
Finish 33%Decision 67%
Bolanos 4 UFC fights·Aswell 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Bolanos
11.3min
Aswell
10.6min
Combined Distance Rate
57%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
BolanosWinAswell
0%
KO
100%
0%
Sub
0%
100%
Dec
0%
2 wins2 Dec
1 KO1 wins
BolanosLossAswell
50%
KO
0%
50%
Sub
0%
0%
Dec
100%
2 losses1 KO1 Sub
2 Dec2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Bolanos
to knock out
Aswell
20Low
Aswell
to knock out
Bolanos
61Elite
Bolanos
to submit
Aswell
10Minimal
Aswell
to submit
Bolanos
23Low
Recent Form
Bolanos
Stat
Aswell
2.83
3.28 career
↓0.45
SLpMOutput
↓1.20
6.59
7.79 career
3.03
2.40 career
↑0.63
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.30
7.73
7.43 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Bolanos—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Quang LeBW Bout
SUB · R2 · 1:54 · May '25
5 SS (25%)·10 abs·4 td taken
W
Cortavious RomiousBW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '24
53 SS (71%)·17 abs·2/2 td·4 td taken·269s ctrl
L
Marcus McGheeBW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:29 · Jan '24
28 SS (35%)·65 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken
W
Aaron PhillipsBW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '23
63 SS (50%)·17 abs·3 td taken·96s ctrl
View full fight log →
Aswell—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
L
Luke RileyFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
61 SS (34%)·100 abs·1/1 td·169s ctrl
W
Lucas AlmeidaFW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:42 · Oct '25
30 SS (56%)·9 abs·15s ctrl·2 kd
L
Bolaji OkiLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '25
118 SS (38%)·136 abs
Tracked Fights·1 fight
LBogdan Grad
DWCSS-DECR3Aug 2024
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X