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Casey O'Neill lands 7.9 and absorbs 5.5 significant strikes per minute. Output exceeds absorption by 2.4. Among the larger positive margins in the division.

Casey O'Neill's takedown attempts are present but not a primary weapon.

Casey O'Neill wins 63% of rounds across 19 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Casey O'Neill has 0 KO/TKO losses in 2 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.00 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 94 out of 99, average for the division.

Casey O'Neill finishes 67% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Women's Flyweight
“King”

Casey O'Neill

11-28 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 2W
High Variance
5'6"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
Last fightWGabriella Fernandes·KO/TKO·R1·3mo ago
Fighter Context
6–2UFC·
3KO
·
1Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.7min/fight
·
86UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–0(3 fights)
·
67%finish rate
·
+3.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+2.36
Dominant
95%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.170
Average
48%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
94
Ironclad
73%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
63%
Strong
79%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Casey O'Neill — 7.89 significant strikes per minute, 52% striking accuracy, absorbs 5.53 strikes per minute.

O'Neill
Blitzer
Head Hunter
W. Flyweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min7.89
Str. Accuracy52%
677UFC landed/1,297attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+1.4 vs avg5.53
Str. Defense57%
KD Rate / fight0.13
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fightNone on record
CQ KO Power
Below Avg18%ile0.15
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
77%
Body
14%
Leg
10%
By Position
Distance81%
/
Clinch5%
/
Ground14%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 18 rounds
Round 27 rounds
Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed323740
Avg. Absorbed292026
Avg. Net+4+17+13
Grappling

Casey O'Neill — 1.4 takedowns per 15 minutes, 34% takedown accuracy, 0.7 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 70% takedown defense.

O'Neill
Control Wrestler
·161s ctrlActive Control
W. Flyweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.40
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.02
TD Accuracy34%
8UFC landed/23attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.70
1UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense70%
14UFC defended/20opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Tapped Once
Finishing

Casey O'Neill — 6 UFC wins (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 2 decision), 67% finish rate.

Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
div avg 37%
How They Lose
2UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision2 / 6
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 2
Submission1 / 2
Decision1 / 2
Loss Pattern
1 of 2 losses by finish in R1–R2
Fast and versatile. 3 of 4 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
1.8pts
W2 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 31 less in second half of career
0+66+132+198+263avg↵20212022202320242026

8 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
2.14.56.8R1R2R3
R1n=8
R2n=7
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
6.8
8.7
8.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
6.0
4.7
5.9
Diff
+0.8
+4.0
+3.0

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
▼TD Acc-100%L3
2%68%134%WWWWLLWW

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

O'Neill — 8 UFC Fights

Casey O'Neill — UFC fight record: 6 wins, 2 losses.

Result
Method
8 fights
W
Gabriella Fernandes
W.FLY
KO/TKO R1 · 3:11Mar '26
+17
·25 SS (38%)·8 abs·1 kd landed
↵ 19mo layoff
W
Luana Santos
W.FLY
U-DEC R3Aug '24
+42
·83 SS (43%)·41 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·141s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Ariane da Silva
W.FLY
SUB R2 · 1:18Dec '23
-33
·31 SS (42%)·64 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·20s ctrl
L
Jennifer Maia
W.FLY
U-DEC R3Mar '23
-8
·137 SS (52%)·145 abs·0/1 td
W
Roxanne Modafferi
W.FLY
S-DEC R3Feb '22
+109
·229 SS (58%)·120 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken
W
Antonina Shevchenko
W.FLY
KO/TKO R2 · 4:47Oct '21
+12
·52 SS (47%)·40 abs·3/8 td·339s ctrl
W
Lara Procopio
W.FLY
SUB R3 · 2:54Jun '21
+30
·71 SS (55%)·41 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·342s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Shana Dobson
W.FLY
KO/TKO R2 · 3:41Feb '21
+33
·49 SS (72%)·16 abs·4/6 td·446s ctrl·1 sub att
All Fighters
Women's Flyweight
“King”

Casey O'Neill

11-28 UFC
Form
2W
5'6"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
Last fightWGabriella Fernandes·KO/TKO·3mo ago
Fighter Context
6–2UFC·
3KO
·
1Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.7min/fight
·
86UFC min
vs. Winning Record3–0
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+2.36
95%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.170
48%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
94
73%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
63%
79%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
O'Neill
W. Flyweight avg
BlitzerHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min7.89
Str. Accuracy52%
677UFC landed/1,297attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+1.4 vs avg5.53
Str. Defense57%
KD Rate / Fight0.13
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / FightNone on record
CQ KO Power
Below Avg18%ile0.15
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
77%
Body
14%
Leg
10%
By Position
Dist81%
Clinch5%
Ground14%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=8
R2
n=7
R3
n=4
Landed323740
Absorbed292026
Net+4+17+13
Grappling
O'Neill
W. Flyweight avg
Control Wrestler
161s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.40
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.02
TD Accuracy34%
8UFC landed/23attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.70
1UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense70%
14UFC defended/20opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 1 attempt
Finishing
Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
1Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
0KO/TKO
1Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.8pts
W2 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
2.14.56.8R1R2R3
R1n=8
R2n=7
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
6.8
8.7
8.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
6.0
4.7
5.9
Diff
+0.8
+4.0
+3.0

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

O'Neill — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Gabriella FernandesW.FLY
KO/TKO·R1·Mar '26
25 SS (38%)·8 abs·1 kd
W
Luana SantosW.FLY
U-DEC·R3·Aug '24
83 SS (43%)·41 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·141s ctrl·1 sub
L
Ariane da SilvaW.FLY
SUB·R2·Dec '23
31 SS (42%)·64 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·20s ctrl
L
Jennifer MaiaW.FLY
U-DEC·R3·Mar '23
137 SS (52%)·145 abs·0/1 td
W
Roxanne ModafferiW.FLY
S-DEC·R3·Feb '22
229 SS (58%)·120 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken
W
Antonina ShevchenkoW.FLY
KO/TKO·R2·Oct '21
52 SS (47%)·40 abs·3/8 td·339s ctrl
W
Lara ProcopioW.FLY
SUB·R3·Jun '21
71 SS (55%)·41 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·342s ctrl·2 sub
W
Shana DobsonW.FLY
KO/TKO·R2·Feb '21
49 SS (72%)·16 abs·4/6 td·446s ctrl·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X