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Casey O'Neill lands 7.6 and absorbs 5.4 significant strikes per minute. Output exceeds absorption by 2.2. Among the larger positive margins in the division.

Casey O'Neill's striking output climbs from round 1 to round 3.

Casey O'Neill's takedown attempts are present but not a primary weapon.

Casey O'Neill wins 60% of rounds across 20 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Casey O'Neill has 0 KO/TKO losses in 2 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.00 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 96 out of 99, average for the division.

Casey O'Neill finishes 71% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Casey O'Neill is on a 3-fight win streak.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Women's Flyweight
“King”

Casey O'Neill

12-29 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 3W
Rising
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
5'6"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
Last fightWEduarda Moura·SUB·R1·this month
Fighter Context
7–2UFC·
3KO
·
2Sub
·
2Dec
·
9.9min/fight
·
89UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–0(4 fights)
·
75%finish rate
·
+2.2str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+2.24
Dominant
95%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.164
Average
48%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
96
Ironclad
77%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
60%
Strong
69%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Casey O'Neill — 7.60 significant strikes per minute, 52% striking accuracy, absorbs 5.36 strikes per minute.

O'Neill
Blitzer
Head Hunter
W. Flyweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min7.60
Str. Accuracy52%
678UFC landed/1,301attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+1.2 vs avg5.36
Str. Defense57%
KD Rate / fight0.11
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fightNone on record
CQ KO Power
Below Avg18%ile0.15
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
77%
Body
14%
Leg
10%
By Position
Distance81%
/
Clinch5%
/
Ground14%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 19 rounds
Round 27 rounds
Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed293740
Avg. Absorbed262026
Avg. Net+3+17+13
Grappling

Casey O'Neill — 1.4 takedowns per 15 minutes, 34% takedown accuracy, 0.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 70% takedown defense.

O'Neill
Control Wrestler
·143s ctrlActive Control
W. Flyweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.35
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.87
TD Accuracy34%
8UFC landed/23attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
2UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense70%
14UFC defended/20opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Holds Ground
Finishing

Casey O'Neill — 7 UFC wins (3 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision), 71% finish rate.

Finish Rate
71%
Strong Finisher
div avg 37%
How They Lose
2UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 7
Submission2 / 7
Decision2 / 7
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 2
Submission1 / 2
Decision1 / 2
Loss Pattern
1 of 2 losses by finish in R1–R2
Fast and versatile. 4 of 5 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
1.8pts
W2 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 45 less in second half of career
0+66+132+198+263avg↵20212022202320242026

9 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
2.14.56.8R1R2R3
R1n=9
R2n=7
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
6.3
8.7
8.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
5.6
4.7
5.9
Diff
+0.7
+4.0
+3.0

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
▼Absorbed-70%L3
-3%65%132%WWWLLWWW

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

O'Neill — 9 UFC Fights

Casey O'Neill — UFC fight record: 7 wins, 2 losses.

Result
Method
9 fights
W
Eduarda Moura
W.FLY
SUB R1 · 3:22Sep '26
-2
·1 SS (25%)·3 abs·1 sub att
W
Gabriella Fernandes
W.FLY
KO/TKO R1 · 3:11Mar '26
+17
·25 SS (38%)·8 abs·1 kd landed
↵ 19mo layoff
W
Luana Santos
W.FLY
U-DEC R3Aug '24
+42
·83 SS (43%)·41 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·141s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Ariane da Silva
W.FLY
SUB R2 · 1:18Dec '23
-33
·31 SS (42%)·64 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·20s ctrl
L
Jennifer Maia
W.FLY
U-DEC R3Mar '23
-8
·137 SS (52%)·145 abs·0/1 td
W
Roxanne Modafferi
W.FLY
S-DEC R3Feb '22
+109
·229 SS (58%)·120 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken
W
Antonina Shevchenko
W.FLY
KO/TKO R2 · 4:47Oct '21
+12
·52 SS (47%)·40 abs·3/8 td·339s ctrl
W
Lara Procopio
W.FLY
SUB R3 · 2:54Jun '21
+30
·71 SS (55%)·41 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·342s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Shana Dobson
W.FLY
KO/TKO R2 · 3:41Feb '21
+33
·49 SS (72%)·16 abs·4/6 td·446s ctrl·1 sub att
All Fighters
Women's Flyweight
“King”

Casey O'Neill

12-29 UFC
Form
3W
5'6"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
Last fightWEduarda Moura·SUB·this month
Fighter Context
7–2UFC·
3KO
·
2Sub
·
2Dec
·
9.9min/fight
·
89UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–0
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+2.24
95%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.164
48%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
96
77%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
60%
69%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
O'Neill
W. Flyweight avg
BlitzerHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min7.60
Str. Accuracy52%
678UFC landed/1,301attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+1.2 vs avg5.36
Str. Defense57%
KD Rate / Fight0.11
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / FightNone on record
CQ KO Power
Below Avg18%ile0.15
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
77%
Body
14%
Leg
10%
By Position
Dist81%
Clinch5%
Ground14%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=9
R2
n=7
R3
n=4
Landed293740
Absorbed262026
Net+3+17+13
Grappling
O'Neill
W. Flyweight avg
Control Wrestler
143s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.35
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.87
TD Accuracy34%
8UFC landed/23attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
2UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense70%
14UFC defended/20opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 2 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
71%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
2Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
0KO/TKO
1Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.8pts
W2 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
2.14.56.8R1R2R3
R1n=9
R2n=7
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
6.3
8.7
8.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
5.6
4.7
5.9
Diff
+0.7
+4.0
+3.0

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

O'Neill — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Eduarda MouraW.FLY
SUB·R1·Sep '26
1 SS (25%)·3 abs·1 sub
W
Gabriella FernandesW.FLY
KO/TKO·R1·Mar '26
25 SS (38%)·8 abs·1 kd
W
Luana SantosW.FLY
U-DEC·R3·Aug '24
83 SS (43%)·41 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·141s ctrl·1 sub
L
Ariane da SilvaW.FLY
SUB·R2·Dec '23
31 SS (42%)·64 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·20s ctrl
L
Jennifer MaiaW.FLY
U-DEC·R3·Mar '23
137 SS (52%)·145 abs·0/1 td
W
Roxanne ModafferiW.FLY
S-DEC·R3·Feb '22
229 SS (58%)·120 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken
W
Antonina ShevchenkoW.FLY
KO/TKO·R2·Oct '21
52 SS (47%)·40 abs·3/8 td·339s ctrl
W
Lara ProcopioW.FLY
SUB·R3·Jun '21
71 SS (55%)·41 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·342s ctrl·2 sub
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X