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Matchup Analysis·Middleweight Bout
↑UFC Freedom 2506 / 7
←Ruffy vs ChandlerLopes vs Garcia→
Red Corner

Bo Nickal

8-16 UFCLast7mo ago
Complete Fighter
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
6'1"ht·76"reach·Southpawstance·30age
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Kyle Daukaus

17-4(1 NC)9 UFCLast7mo ago
Complete Fighter
Declining
High Variance
Early Chaos
6'2"ht·76"reach·Southpawstance·33age
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNickalSlight edge
DecisionNickalClear edge
GrapplingNickalClear edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
1 signal
SUBMISSION

Both fighters hunt submissions on the mat.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Nickal
Nickal
+1.28
Daukaus
+0.42
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Nickal
Nickal
0.56
Daukaus
0.00
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Nickal
Nickal
83%
Daukaus
56%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Nickal
63
Average
Daukaus
51
Average
1 KO lossKO losses2 KO losses
0.17KD / fight0.44
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Nickal3.35SLpM
+
SLpM3.32Daukaus
6.7
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
NickalEarly Finisher
DaukausOutput Holds Steady+11% R1→R3
Finish History
Nickal
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
80%
4/5
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
1/1
Daukaus
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
2/4
Edge & Exposure
Nickal
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

Daukaus
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeSub Threat

Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.

Opposition Quality
Nickal5–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–1
Record (3)
+0.9
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Daukaus4–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3
Record (6)
+0.3
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+43% step-up
2–0
Record (3)
+5.1
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
NickalMiddleweightDaukaus
78th
Striking Differential
62nd
86th
Grappling Threat
52nd
99th
Round Win Rate
62nd
98th
TD Defense
82nd
45th
Durability
30th
62nd
Finishing Rate
54th
Recent Form
Nickal
Stat
Daukaus
4.053.35 career
↑0.70
SLpMOutput
↑2.06
5.383.32 career
2.712.07 career
↑0.64
SApMAbsorbed
⚠↑2.58
5.482.90 career
1.754.84 career
⚠↓3.09
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑4.02
12.908.88 career
0.442.50 career
⚠↓2.06
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.49
1.612.10 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Nickal17% distance
Finish 83%Decision 17%
Daukaus33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Nickal 6 UFC fights·Daukaus 9 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Nickal
7.7min
Daukaus
7.1min
Combined Distance Rate
27%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
NickalTO KNOCK OUTDaukaus
60
Elite
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins5
Daukaus's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses4
DaukausTO KNOCK OUTNickal
49
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins4
Nickal's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
NickalTO SUBMITDaukaus
29
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins5
Daukaus's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses4
DaukausTO SUBMITNickal
34
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins4
Nickal's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
NickalWin MethodDaukaus
40%
KO / TKO
25%
40%
Submission
50%
20%
Decision
25%
5 UFC wins · 2 KO · 2 Sub · 1 Dec4 UFC wins · 1 KO · 2 Sub · 1 Dec
Nickal
Loss Method
Daukaus
100%
KO / TKO
50%
0%
Submission
0%
0%
Decision
50%
1 UFC loss · 1 KO4 UFC losses · 2 KO · 2 Dec
Nickal5 stoppages · 3 KO · 2 Sub
R1
2
R2
2
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WKORodolfo VieiraR3 · 2:24
LKOReinier de RidderR2 · 1:53
WSubCody BrundageR2 · 3:38
WKOVal WoodburnR1 · 0:38
WSubJamie PickettR1 · 2:54
Daukaus6 stoppages · 3 KO · 2 Sub
R1
5
R2
1
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubGerald MeerschaertR1 · 0:50
WKOMichel PereiraR1 · 0:43
LKOEryk AndersR2 · 2:45
LKORoman DolidzeR1 · 1:13
WSubJamie PickettR1 · 4:59
Historical Context
Nickal — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
W
Rodolfo VieiraMW
KO/TKO
R32:24
Nov '25
77 SS (64%)·24 abs·2/3 td·88s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
L
Reinier de RidderMW
KO/TKO
R21:53
May '25
8 SS (38%)·22 abs·1/1 td·144s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Paul CraigVeteranMW
U-DEC
R3
Nov '24
54 SS (64%)·47 abs
W
Cody BrundageMW
SUB
R23:38
Apr '24
8 SS (62%)·4 abs·3/6 td·445s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Val WoodburnMW
KO/TKO
R10:38
Jul '23
7 SS (70%)·2 abs·0/1 td·1 kd
W
Jamie PickettMW
SUB
R12:54
Mar '23
1 SS (25%)·1 abs·1/4 td·150s ctrl·2 sub att
View full fight log →
Daukaus — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·9 fights
W
Gerald MeerschaertVeteranMW
SUB
R10:50
Nov '25
8 SS (73%)·0 abs·17s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
W
Michel PereiraVeteranMW
KO/TKO
R10:43
Aug '25
5 SS (63%)·2 abs·7s ctrl·1 kd
L
Eryk AndersMW
KO/TKO
R22:45
Dec '22
37 SS (47%)·49 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·44s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Roman DolidzeMW
KO/TKO
R11:13
Jun '22
4 SS (44%)·8 abs·2 kd taken
W
Jamie PickettCatch Weight
SUB
R14:59
Feb '22
6 SS (67%)·5 abs·3/6 td·252s ctrl·2 sub att
NC
Kevin HollandVeteranMW
Overturned
R1
Oct '21
9 SS (69%)·3 abs·1/5 td·130s ctrl·3 sub att
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Jamie PickettSame result
W
Nickal
Sub·R1·2023
W
Daukaus
Sub·R1·2022
Matchup·MW·3R
↑UFC Freedom 250
6/7←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Bo Nickal

8-16 UFC7mo ago
6'1"ht76"reachSouthpaw30 yrs
VS·MW·3R
Blue Corner

Kyle Daukaus

17-4(1 NC)9 UFC7mo ago
6'2"ht76"reachSouthpaw33 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNickalSlight edge
DecisionNickalClear edge
GrapplingNickalClear edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Nickal
Nickal+1.28
Daukaus+0.42
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Nickal
Nickal0.56
Daukaus0.00
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Nickal
Nickal83%
Daukaus56%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Nickal
63Average
Daukaus
51Average
Stats
Nickal
Daukaus
Striking
3.35SS Landed / min3.32
61%Str Acc53%
2.07SS Absorbed / min2.90
59%Str Def42%
0.33KD / fight0.22
Grappling
3.10TD / min2.08
100%TD Def82%
2.50Sub Att · /15m2.10
—Sub Def100%
Finish History
Nickal
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
80%
4/5
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
1/1
Daukaus
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
2/4
Nickal17% distance
Finish 83%Decision 17%
Daukaus33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Nickal 6 UFC fights·Daukaus 9 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Nickal
7.7min
Daukaus
7.1min
Combined Distance Rate
27%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
NickalWinDaukaus
40%
KO
25%
40%
Sub
50%
20%
Dec
25%
5 wins2 KO2 Sub1 Dec
1 Dec2 Sub1 KO4 wins
NickalLossDaukaus
100%
KO
50%
0%
Sub
0%
0%
Dec
50%
1 loss1 KO
2 Dec2 KO4 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Nickal
to knock out
Daukaus
60Elite
Daukaus
to knock out
Nickal
49High
Nickal
to submit
Daukaus
29Elevated
Daukaus
to submit
Nickal
34Elevated
Recent Form
Nickal
Stat
Daukaus
4.05
3.35 career
↑0.70
SLpMOutput
↑2.06
5.38
3.32 career
2.71
2.07 career
↑0.64
SApMAbsorbed
↑2.58
5.48
2.90 career
1.75
4.84 career
↓3.09
TD AttAtt/15m
↑4.02
12.90
8.88 career
0.44
2.50 career
↓2.06
SubAtt/15m
↓0.49
1.61
2.10 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Nickal—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
W
Rodolfo VieiraMW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:24 · Nov '25
77 SS (64%)·24 abs·2/3 td·88s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
L
Reinier de RidderMW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 1:53 · May '25
8 SS (38%)·22 abs·1/1 td·144s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Paul CraigVeteranMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '24
54 SS (64%)·47 abs
W
Cody BrundageMW Bout
SUB · R2 · 3:38 · Apr '24
8 SS (62%)·4 abs·3/6 td·445s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Val WoodburnMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:38 · Jul '23
7 SS (70%)·2 abs·0/1 td·1 kd
W
Jamie PickettMW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:54 · Mar '23
1 SS (25%)·1 abs·1/4 td·150s ctrl·2 sub att
View full fight log →
Daukaus—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·9 fights
W
Gerald MeerschaertVeteranMW Bout
SUB · R1 · 0:50 · Nov '25
8 SS (73%)·0 abs·17s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
W
Michel PereiraVeteranMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:43 · Aug '25
5 SS (63%)·2 abs·7s ctrl·1 kd
L
Eryk AndersMW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:45 · Dec '22
37 SS (47%)·49 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·44s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Roman DolidzeMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:13 · Jun '22
4 SS (44%)·8 abs·2 kd taken
W
Jamie PickettCatch Weight Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:59 · Feb '22
6 SS (67%)·5 abs·3/6 td·252s ctrl·2 sub att
NC
Kevin HollandVeteranMW Bout
Overturned · R1 · Oct '21
9 SS (69%)·3 abs·1/5 td·130s ctrl·3 sub att
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Jamie PickettSame result
W
Nickal
Sub·R1·2023
W
Daukaus
Sub·R1·2022
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X