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Matchup Analysis·Lightweight Bout
↑UFC Freedom 2505 / 7
←Hokit vs LewisNickal vs Daukaus→
Red Corner

Mauricio Ruffy

13-25 UFCLast4mo ago
Balanced
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
5'11"+3"ht·75"+4"reach·Orthodoxstance·2910yrage
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Michael Chandler

“Iron”
23-107 UFCLast1.2yr ago
Grappler
Declining
3× Title
3× 5R
High Variance
High Wear
5'8"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·40age
CQ
EdgesFinish Likely
Chandler · KO Vulnerability
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionRuffyClear edge
GrapplingChandlerSlight edge
KO Adv.RuffyDominant
Sub Adv.ChandlerSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Chandler is 11 years older than Ruffy.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Ruffy
+0.10
Chandler
-0.48
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Chandler
Ruffy
0.00
Chandler
0.29
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Ruffy
Ruffy
67%
Chandler
37%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Ruffy
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Chandler
41
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Ruffy4.19SLpM
+
SLpM4.04Chandler
8.2
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Ruffy
RuffyEarly Finisher
ChandlerOutput Drops Late-37% R1→R3
Finish History
Ruffy
KO/TKO ×3
Finish rate (wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
1/1
Chandler
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped rate (losses)
60%
3/5
Edge & Exposure
Ruffy
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

Chandler
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

Opposition Quality
Ruffy4–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–1
Record (3)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)

Not enough qualifying fights

Chandler2–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–5
Record (7)
+0.0
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-1% step-up
2–3
Record (5)
+1.3
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
1–3
Record (4)
+0.7
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
RuffyLightweightChandler
47th
Striking Differential
29th
5th
Grappling Threat
70th
86th
Round Win Rate
13th
89th
TD Defense
33rd
84th
Durability
20th
75th
Finishing Rate
92nd
Recent Form
Ruffy
Stat
Chandler
3.274.19 career
↓0.92
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.29
2.754.04 career
2.924.09 career
↓1.17
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.41
4.114.52 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.27
4.494.22 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.60
0.000.60 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Finish Likely
Ruffy20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Chandler29% distance
Finish 71%Decision 29%
Ruffy 5 UFC fights·Chandler 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Ruffy
7.8min
Chandler
11.2min
Combined Distance Rate
25%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
RuffyTO KNOCK OUTChandler
63
Elite
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins4
Chandler's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses5
ChandlerTO KNOCK OUTRuffy
32
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins2
Ruffy's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
RuffyTO SUBMITChandler
18
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins4
Chandler's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses5
ChandlerTO SUBMITRuffy
33
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins2
Ruffy's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses1
RuffyWin MethodChandler
75%
KO / TKO
100%
0%
Submission
0%
25%
Decision
0%
4 UFC wins · 3 KO · 1 Dec2 UFC wins · 2 KO
Ruffy
Loss Method
Chandler
0%
KO / TKO
40%
100%
Submission
20%
0%
Decision
40%
1 UFC loss · 1 Sub5 UFC losses · 2 KO · 1 Sub · 2 Dec
Ruffy4 stoppages · 3 KO · 1 Sub
R1
2
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKORafael FizievR2 · 4:30
LSubBenoit Saint DenisR2 · 2:56
WKOKing GreenR1 · 2:07
WKOJamie MullarkeyR1 · 4:42
Chandler5 stoppages · 4 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
2
R3
2
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOPaddy PimblettR3 · 3:07
LSubDustin PoirierR3 · 2:00
WKOTony FergusonR2 · 0:17
LKOCharles OliveiraR2 · 0:19
WKODan HookerR1 · 2:30
Historical Context
Ruffy — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·5 fights
W
Rafael FizievLW
KO/TKO
R24:30
Jan '26
55 SS (63%)·36 abs·45s ctrl·1 kd
L
Benoit Saint DenisLW
SUB
R22:56
Sep '25
5 SS (29%)·17 abs·3 td taken·34s ctrl
W
King GreenVeteranLW
KO/TKO
R12:07
Mar '25
4 SS (44%)·4 abs·1 kd
W
James LlontopCatch Weight
U-DEC
R3
Nov '24
67 SS (59%)·90 abs·16s ctrl·1 kd
W
Jamie MullarkeyLW
KO/TKO
R14:42
May '24
25 SS (63%)·14 abs·0/1 td·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WRaimond Magomedaliev
DWCSKO/TKOR3Oct 2023
View full fight log →
Chandler — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·7 fights
L
Paddy PimblettTITLELW
KO/TKO
R33:07
Apr '25
11 SS (39%)·80 abs·4/7 td·1 td taken·164s ctrl
L
Charles OliveiraEliteTITLELW
U-DEC
R5
Nov '24
84 SS (74%)·88 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·119s ctrl
L
Dustin PoirierEliteLW
SUB
R32:00
Nov '22
43 SS (43%)·38 abs·3/7 td·339s ctrl
W
Tony FergusonEliteLW
KO/TKO
R20:17
May '22
27 SS (51%)·20 abs·1/1 td·151s ctrl·1 kd
L
Justin GaethjeLW
U-DEC
R3
Nov '21
103 SS (42%)·116 abs·1/6 td·1 kd taken
L
Charles OliveiraEliteTITLELW
KO/TKO
R20:19
May '21
30 SS (55%)·24 abs·1 td taken·147s ctrl·2 kd taken·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC Freedom 250
5/7←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Mauricio Ruffy

13-25 UFC4mo ago
5'11"+3"ht75"+4"reachOrthodox29 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Michael Chandler

“Iron”
23-107 UFC1.2yr ago
5'8"ht71"reachOrthodox40 yrs
CQ
Edges
Finish LikelyChandler · KO Vulnerability
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionRuffyClear edge
GrapplingChandlerSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.RuffyDominant
Sub Adv.ChandlerSlight edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPChandler is 11 years older than Ruffy.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Ruffy+0.10
Chandler-0.48
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Chandler
Ruffy0.00
Chandler0.29
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Ruffy
Ruffy67%
Chandler37%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Ruffy
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Chandler
41Average
Stats
Ruffy
Chandler
Striking
4.19SS Landed / min4.04
58%Str Acc49%
4.09SS Absorbed / min4.52
58%Str Def43%
0.80KD / fight0.29
Grappling
0.00TD / min1.96
85%TD Def61%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.60
0%Sub Def75%
Finish History
Ruffy
KO/TKO ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
1/1
Chandler
KO/TKO ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
60%
3/5
Ruffy20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Chandler29% distance
Finish 71%Decision 29%
Ruffy 5 UFC fights·Chandler 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Ruffy
7.8min
Chandler
11.2min
Combined Distance Rate
25%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
RuffyWinChandler
75%
KO
100%
0%
Sub
0%
25%
Dec
0%
4 wins3 KO1 Dec
2 KO2 wins
RuffyLossChandler
0%
KO
40%
100%
Sub
20%
0%
Dec
40%
1 loss1 Sub
2 Dec1 Sub2 KO5 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Ruffy
to knock out
Chandler
63Elite
Chandler
to knock out
Ruffy
32Elevated
Ruffy
to submit
Chandler
18Low
Chandler
to submit
Ruffy
33Elevated
Recent Form
Ruffy
Stat
Chandler
3.27
4.19 career
↓0.92
SLpMOutput
↓1.29
2.75
4.04 career
2.92
4.09 career
↓1.17
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.41
4.11
4.52 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.27
4.49
4.22 career
—
SubAtt/15m
↓0.60
0.00
0.60 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Ruffy—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·5 fights
W
Rafael FizievLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Jan '26
55 SS (63%)·36 abs·45s ctrl·1 kd
L
Benoit Saint DenisLW Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:56 · Sep '25
5 SS (29%)·17 abs·3 td taken·34s ctrl
W
King GreenVeteranLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:07 · Mar '25
4 SS (44%)·4 abs·1 kd
W
James LlontopCatch Weight Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '24
67 SS (59%)·90 abs·16s ctrl·1 kd
W
Jamie MullarkeyLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:42 · May '24
25 SS (63%)·14 abs·0/1 td·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WRaimond Magomedaliev
DWCSKO/TKOR3Oct 2023
View full fight log →
Chandler—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·7 fights
L
Paddy PimblettTITLELW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:07 · Apr '25
11 SS (39%)·80 abs·4/7 td·1 td taken·164s ctrl
L
Charles OliveiraEliteTITLELW Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Nov '24
84 SS (74%)·88 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·119s ctrl
L
Dustin PoirierEliteLW Bout
SUB · R3 · 2:00 · Nov '22
43 SS (43%)·38 abs·3/7 td·339s ctrl
W
Tony FergusonEliteLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:17 · May '22
27 SS (51%)·20 abs·1/1 td·151s ctrl·1 kd
L
Justin GaethjeLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '21
103 SS (42%)·116 abs·1/6 td·1 kd taken
L
Charles OliveiraEliteTITLELW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:19 · May '21
30 SS (55%)·24 abs·1 td taken·147s ctrl·2 kd taken·1 sub att
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X