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Justin Gaethje absorbs 7.0 and lands 6.5 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Justin Gaethje's takedown attempts are present but not a primary weapon.

Justin Gaethje wins 50% of rounds across 45 scored. Round splits are close.

Justin Gaethje has 3 KO/TKO losses in 5 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.25 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 57 out of 99, average for the division.

Justin Gaethje finishes 64% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Justin Gaethje is on a 3-fight win streak.

Justin Gaethje is 37 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“The Highlight”

Justin Gaethje

28-516 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 3W
Aging Threat
9× Title
12× 5R
High Wear
5'11"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age
Last fightWIlia Topuria·KO/TKO·R4·this month
Fighter Context
11–5UFC·
7KO
·
0Sub
·
4Dec
·
12.6min/fight
·
202UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
10–5(15 fights)
·
70%finish rate
·
-0.1str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
7–4(11 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
+0.1str diff/min
vs. Elite Opps
3–2(5 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
+0.4str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.57
Deficit
26%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.043
Average
27%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
57
Average
31%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
50%
Average
45%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Justin Gaethje — 6.48 significant strikes per minute, 58% striking accuracy, absorbs 7.05 strikes per minute.

Gaethje
Blitzer
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min6.48
Str. Accuracy58%
1,271UFC landed/2,208attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+2.8 vs avg7.05
Str. Defense51%
KD Rate / fight0.56
9UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.25
CQ KO Power
Average55%ile0.71
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
66%
Body
11%
Leg
23%
By Position
Distance84%
/
Clinch13%
/
Ground4%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 116 rounds
Round 212 rounds
Round 39 rounds
Round 45 rounds
Round 53 rounds
Avg. Landed2729312427
Avg. Absorbed3032312832
Avg. Net-3-30-4-5
Grappling

Justin Gaethje — 0.3 takedowns per 15 minutes, 40% takedown accuracy, 74% takedown defense.

Gaethje
Non-Factor
·50s ctrlAverage Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.33
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.11
TD Accuracy40%
4UFC landed/15attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.00
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense74%
22UFC defended/30opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Vulnerable
Finishing

Justin Gaethje — 11 UFC wins (7 KO/TKO, 4 decision), 64% finish rate.

Finish Rate
64%
Strong Finisher
div avg 52%
How They Lose
5UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO7 / 11
Submission0 / 11
Decision4 / 11
KD → Finish
4/8Moderate
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 5
Submission2 / 5
Decision0 / 5
Loss Pattern
3 of 5 losses by finish in R3+
Explosive starter. 5 of 7 KOs inside R1-R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3R4R5
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
80%
4 of 5 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.4pts
W4 dec
—
L0 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 14 more in second half of career
0+41+83+124+166avg2017201820192020202120222023202420252026

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.33.45.5R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=12
R3n=9
Outputsig strikes / min
6.1
6.7
6.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
6.8
7.3
6.3
Diff
-0.6
-0.6
+0.1

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Absorbed+13%L3
-24%51%125%WLWWLWWW

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Gaethje — 16 UFC Fights

Justin Gaethje — UFC fight record: 11 wins, 5 losses.

Result
Method
16 fights
W
Ilia TopuriaVeteran
TITLEUFC LW Title
KO/TKO R4 · 5:00Jun '26
-6
·91 SS (47%)·97 abs·0/5 td·1 td taken·92s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Paddy Pimblett
TITLELW
U-DEC R5Jan '26
-12
·144 SS (57%)·156 abs·3/3 td·355s ctrl·2 kd landed
W
Rafael Fiziev
LW
U-DEC R3Mar '25
+4
·72 SS (54%)·68 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·92s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Max HollowayElite
LW
KO/TKO R5 · 4:59Apr '24
-78
·103 SS (52%)·181 abs·1 kd taken
W
Dustin PoirierElite
LW
KO/TKO R2 · 1:00Jul '23
+14
·41 SS (62%)·27 abs·1 kd landed
W
Rafael Fiziev
LW
M-DEC R3Mar '23
+6
·103 SS (60%)·97 abs·1/3 td·5s ctrl
L
Charles OliveiraElite
TITLELW
SUB R1 · 3:22May '22
-9
·21 SS (64%)·30 abs·13s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 kd taken
W
Michael Chandler
LW
U-DEC R3Nov '21
+13
·116 SS (63%)·103 abs·1 td taken·97s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Khabib NurmagomedovVeteran
TITLELW
SUB R2 · 1:34Oct '20
+3
·29 SS (64%)·26 abs·2 td taken·14s ctrl
W
Tony FergusonElite
TITLELW
KO/TKO R5 · 3:39May '20
+7
·143 SS (73%)·136 abs
All Fighters
Lightweight
“The Highlight”

Justin Gaethje

28-516 UFC
Form
3W
5'11"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age
Last fightWIlia Topuria·KO/TKO·this month
Fighter Context
11–5UFC·
7KO
·
0Sub
·
4Dec
·
12.6min/fight
·
202UFC min
vs. Winning Record10–5
vs. Veterans (8+ W)7–4
vs. Elite (15+ W)3–2
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.57
26%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.043
27%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
57
31%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
50%
45%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Gaethje
Lightweight avg
Blitzer
Sig. Strikes / Min6.48
Str. Accuracy58%
1,271UFC landed/2,208attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+2.8 vs avg7.05
Str. Defense51%
KD Rate / Fight0.56
9UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.25
CQ KO Power
Average55%ile0.71
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
66%
Body
11%
Leg
23%
By Position
Dist84%
Clinch13%
Ground4%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=16
R2
n=12
R3
n=9
R4
n=5
R5
n=3
Landed2729312427
Absorbed3032312832
Net-3-30-4-5
Grappling
Gaethje
Lightweight avg
Non-Factor
50s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.33
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.11
TD Accuracy40%
4UFC landed/15attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.00
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense74%
22UFC defended/30opp. attempts
Sub Defense2 loss / 3 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
64%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
7KO/TKO
0Sub
4Dec
Loss Methods
3KO/TKO
2Sub
0Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
80%4 of 5 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.4pts
W4 dec
—
L0 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.33.45.5R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=12
R3n=9
Outputsig strikes / min
6.1
6.7
6.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
6.8
7.3
6.3
Diff
-0.6
-0.6
+0.1

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Gaethje — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Ilia TopuriaVeteranTITLEUFC LW Title
KO/TKO·R4·Jun '26
91 SS (47%)·97 abs·0/5 td·1 td taken·92s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Paddy PimblettTITLELW
U-DEC·R5·Jan '26
144 SS (57%)·156 abs·3/3 td·355s ctrl·2 kd
W
Rafael FizievLW
U-DEC·R3·Mar '25
72 SS (54%)·68 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·92s ctrl·1 kd
L
Max HollowayEliteLW
KO/TKO·R5·Apr '24
103 SS (52%)·181 abs·1 kd taken
W
Dustin PoirierEliteLW
KO/TKO·R2·Jul '23
41 SS (62%)·27 abs·1 kd
W
Rafael FizievLW
M-DEC·R3·Mar '23
103 SS (60%)·97 abs·1/3 td·5s ctrl
L
Charles OliveiraEliteTITLELW
SUB·R1·May '22
21 SS (64%)·30 abs·13s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken
W
Michael ChandlerLW
U-DEC·R3·Nov '21
116 SS (63%)·103 abs·1 td taken·97s ctrl·1 kd
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X