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Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 22 / 14
←McGregor vs HollowaySandhagen vs Bautista→
Red Corner

Benoit Saint Denis

“God of War”
17-3(1 NC)12 UFCLast5mo ago
Complete Fighter
Hot Streak
2× Title
2× 5R
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
5'11"ht·73"reach·Southpawstance·30age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Paddy Pimblett

“The Baddy”
23-48 UFCLast5mo ago
Pressure Fighter
2× Title
2× 5R
High Variance
Early Chaos
5'10"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
CQ
EdgesFinish Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionDenisClear edge
GrapplingDenisDominant
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityPimblett
Signals
2 signals
GRAPPLING + SUB

Denis has a clear takedown edge and actively hunts submissions. Every trip to the mat is a potential finish.

SOUTHPAW

Denis is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Denis natural angle advantages at range.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Denis
+1.53
Pimblett
+1.60
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Denis
Denis
2.35
Pimblett
0.19
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Denis
Denis
77%
Pimblett
42%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Pimblett
Denis
63
Average
Pimblett
91
Ironclad
2 KO lossesKO losses0 KO losses
0.08KD / fight0.25
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Denis5.62SLpM
+
SLpM5.49Pimblett
11.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
DenisEarly Finisher
PimblettOutput Holds Steady-14% R1→R3
Finish History
Denis
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×4
Finish rate (wins)
100%
9/9
Stopped rate (losses)
67%
2/3
Pimblett
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
71%
5/7
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Edge & Exposure
Denis
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

Pimblett
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

ExposureTakedown Vulnerable

Division-low TD defense rate. Opponents with an active takedown game have a clear structural path.

Opposition Quality
Denis9–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–3
Record (9)
+1.5
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+2% step-up
2–3
Record (5)
+0.5
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
1–1
Record (2)
+2.9
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Pimblett7–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–1
Record (5)
+0.3
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+31% step-up
2–1
Record (3)
+0.4
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)

Not enough qualifying fights

Division Percentile Ranks
DenisLightweightPimblett
90th
Striking Differential
91st
92nd
Grappling Threat
28th
94th
Round Win Rate
26th
63rd
TD Defense
13th
40th
Durability
89th
92nd
Finishing Rate
72nd
Recent Form
Denis
Stat
Pimblett
6.455.62 career
↑0.83
SLpMOutput
↑0.39
5.885.49 career
1.984.09 career
↓2.11
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.21
4.103.89 career
16.1211.70 career
↑4.42
TD AttAttempts/15m
↓0.73
2.533.26 career
2.541.80 career
↑0.74
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.48
0.721.20 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Finish Likely
Denis8% distance
Finish 92%Decision 8%
Pimblett38% distance
Finish 62%Decision 38%
Denis 12 UFC fights·Pimblett 8 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Denis
7.2min
Pimblett
10.9min
Combined Distance Rate
20%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
DenisTO KNOCK OUTPimblett
42
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins5
Total UFC wins9
Pimblett's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
PimblettTO KNOCK OUTDenis
51
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins7
Denis's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses3
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
DenisTO SUBMITPimblett
30
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins4
Total UFC wins9
Pimblett's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
PimblettTO SUBMITDenis
24
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins7
Denis's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses3
DenisWin MethodPimblett
56%
KO / TKO
29%
44%
Submission
43%
0%
Decision
29%
9 UFC wins · 5 KO · 4 Sub7 UFC wins · 2 KO · 3 Sub · 2 Dec
Denis
Loss Method
Pimblett
67%
KO / TKO
0%
0%
Submission
0%
33%
Decision
100%
3 UFC losses · 2 KO · 1 Dec1 UFC loss · 1 Dec
Denis11 stoppages · 7 KO · 4 Sub
R1
3
R2
8
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WKODan HookerR2 · 4:45
WKOBeneil DariushR1 · 0:16
WSubMauricio RuffyR2 · 2:56
WSubKyle PrepolecR2 · 2:35
LKORenato MoicanoR2 · 5:00
Pimblett5 stoppages · 2 KO · 3 Sub
R1
3
R2
1
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Win
All stoppages
WKOMichael ChandlerR3 · 3:07
WSubKing GreenR1 · 3:22
WSubJordan LeavittR2 · 2:46
WSubKazula VargasR1 · 3:49
WKOLuigi VendraminiR1 · 4:25
Historical Context
Denis — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Dan HookerVeteranLW
KO/TKO
R24:45
Jan '26
97 SS (76%)·30 abs·2/9 td·374s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Beneil DariushEliteLW
KO/TKO
R10:16
Nov '25
3 SS (60%)·3 abs·1 kd
W
Mauricio RuffyLW
SUB
R22:56
Sep '25
17 SS (45%)·5 abs·3/10 td·278s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Kyle PrepolecLW
SUB
R22:35
May '25
54 SS (77%)·12 abs·3/5 td·332s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Renato MoicanoVeteranTITLELW
KO/TKO
R25:00
Sep '24
25 SS (42%)·50 abs·1 td taken·5s ctrl
L
Dustin PoirierEliteTITLELW
KO/TKO
R22:32
Mar '24
50 SS (68%)·28 abs·3/7 td·293s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Pimblett — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Justin GaethjeVeteranTITLELW
U-DEC
R5
Jan '26
156 SS (50%)·144 abs·0/5 td·3 td taken·48s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Michael ChandlerTITLELW
KO/TKO
R33:07
Apr '25
80 SS (56%)·11 abs·1/2 td·4 td taken·281s ctrl
W
King GreenVeteranLW
SUB
R13:22
Jul '24
8 SS (62%)·15 abs·1 td taken·2 sub att
W
Tony FergusonEliteLW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '23
106 SS (64%)·62 abs·1/4 td·533s ctrl·1 kd
W
Jared GordonLW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '22
63 SS (41%)·60 abs·0/3 td·3 td taken·35s ctrl
W
Jordan LeavittLW
SUB
R22:46
Jul '22
17 SS (44%)·16 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·104s ctrl·4 sub att
View full fight log →
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
2/14←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Benoit Saint Denis

“God of War”
17-3(1 NC)12 UFC5mo ago
5'11"ht73"reachSouthpaw30 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Paddy Pimblett

“The Baddy”
23-48 UFC5mo ago
5'10"ht73"reachOrthodox31 yrs
CQ
Edges
Finish Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionDenisClear edge
GrapplingDenisDominant
DurabilityPimblett
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
Signals
1
SOUTHPAWDenis is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Denis+1.53
Pimblett+1.60
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Denis
Denis2.35
Pimblett0.19
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Denis
Denis77%
Pimblett42%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
Pimblett
Denis
63Average
Pimblett
91Ironclad
Stats
Denis
Pimblett
Striking
5.62SS Landed / min5.49
58%Str Acc52%
4.09SS Absorbed / min3.89
42%Str Def42%
0.42KD / fight0.25
Grappling
4.19TD / min0.69
72%TD Def44%
1.80Sub Att · /15m1.20
100%Sub Def—
Finish History
Denis
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×4
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
9/9
Stopped Rate (Losses)
67%
2/3
Pimblett
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
71%
5/7
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Denis8% distance
Finish 92%Decision 8%
Pimblett38% distance
Finish 62%Decision 38%
Denis 12 UFC fights·Pimblett 8 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Denis
7.2min
Pimblett
10.9min
Combined Distance Rate
20%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
DenisWinPimblett
56%
KO
29%
44%
Sub
43%
0%
Dec
29%
9 wins5 KO4 Sub
2 Dec3 Sub2 KO7 wins
DenisLossPimblett
67%
KO
0%
0%
Sub
0%
33%
Dec
100%
3 losses2 KO1 Dec
1 Dec1 loss
CQ Finish Risk
Denis
to knock out
Pimblett
42High
Pimblett
to knock out
Denis
51High
Denis
to submit
Pimblett
30Elevated
Pimblett
to submit
Denis
24Low
Recent Form
Denis
Stat
Pimblett
6.45
5.62 career
↑0.83
SLpMOutput
↑0.39
5.88
5.49 career
1.98
4.09 career
↓2.11
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.21
4.10
3.89 career
16.12
11.70 career
↑4.42
TD AttAtt/15m
↓0.73
2.53
3.26 career
2.54
1.80 career
↑0.74
SubAtt/15m
↓0.48
0.72
1.20 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Denis—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Dan HookerVeteranLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:45 · Jan '26
97 SS (76%)·30 abs·2/9 td·374s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Beneil DariushEliteLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:16 · Nov '25
3 SS (60%)·3 abs·1 kd
W
Mauricio RuffyLW Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:56 · Sep '25
17 SS (45%)·5 abs·3/10 td·278s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Kyle PrepolecLW Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:35 · May '25
54 SS (77%)·12 abs·3/5 td·332s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Renato MoicanoVeteranTITLELW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Sep '24
25 SS (42%)·50 abs·1 td taken·5s ctrl
L
Dustin PoirierEliteTITLELW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:32 · Mar '24
50 SS (68%)·28 abs·3/7 td·293s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Pimblett—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Justin GaethjeVeteranTITLELW Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Jan '26
156 SS (50%)·144 abs·0/5 td·3 td taken·48s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Michael ChandlerTITLELW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:07 · Apr '25
80 SS (56%)·11 abs·1/2 td·4 td taken·281s ctrl
W
King GreenVeteranLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:22 · Jul '24
8 SS (62%)·15 abs·1 td taken·2 sub att
W
Tony FergusonEliteLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '23
106 SS (64%)·62 abs·1/4 td·533s ctrl·1 kd
W
Jared GordonLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '22
63 SS (41%)·60 abs·0/3 td·3 td taken·35s ctrl
W
Jordan LeavittLW Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:46 · Jul '22
17 SS (44%)·16 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·104s ctrl·4 sub att
View full fight log →
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X