Matchup Analysis·Women's Strawweight
Red Corner
19-5(1 NC)13 UFCLast1.4yr ago
Pressure Fighter
Declining
2× Title
2× 5R
Goes Long
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
5'5"+3"ht·63"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age
VS
Women's Strawweight115 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Denise Gomes
“Dee”
12-38 UFCLast10mo ago
Kickboxer
Hot Streak
Early Chaos
Output Drops Late
5'2"ht·63"reach·Orthodoxstance·2611yrage
Signals3 signals
CARDIO
Gomes's output and strike differential trend downward in later rounds.
RING RUST
Xiaonan is returning after 16 months out.
AGE GAP
Xiaonan is 11 years older than Gomes.
CQ Core Edges
Xiaonan
+1.46
Gomes
+1.27
Xiaonan
0.29
Gomes
0.52
Xiaonan
68%
Gomes
65%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Xiaonan
84
DurableGomes
94
Ironclad1 KO lossKO losses0 KO losses
0.00KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Xiaonan4.69SLpM
+SLpM4.43Gomes
9.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
XiaonanOutput Builds Late+34% R1→R3
GomesOutput Drops Late
Finish History
Xiaonan
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
11%
1/9
Stopped rate (losses)
25%
1/4
Gomes
KO/TKO ×3
Finish rate (wins)
50%
3/6
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/2
Edge & Exposure
Xiaonan
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
Gomes
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
ExposureFades Hard
Output drops significantly in later rounds. Extended fights are a structural disadvantage.
Opposition Quality
Xiaonan9–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–4
Record (9)
+1.2
Str Diff/Min
20%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)-60% step-up
1–2
Record (3)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Gomes6–2UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–1
Record (6)
+1.4
Str Diff/Min
40%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)+19% step-up
2–1
Record (3)
+0.2
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
XiaonanWomen's StrawweightGomes
87th
Striking Differential
84th57th
Grappling Threat
51st85th
Round Win Rate
79th54th
TD Defense
62nd52nd
Durability
83rd1st
Finishing Rate
65thRecent Form
Xiaonan
Stat
Gomes
2.514.69 career
⚠↓2.18
SLpMOutput
↓0.09
4.344.43 career
2.403.23 career
↓0.83
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.08
3.243.16 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑1.85
6.764.91 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.28
0.420.70 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Decision Likely
Xiaonan85% distance
Finish 15%Decision 85%
Gomes63% distance
Finish 37%Decision 63%
Xiaonan 13 UFC fights·Gomes 8 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Xiaonan
15.0min
Gomes
11.1min
Combined Distance Rate
76%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
XiaonanTO KNOCK OUTGomes
16
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins9
Gomes's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses2
GomesTO KNOCK OUTXiaonan
41
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins6
Xiaonan's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses4
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
XiaonanTO SUBMITGomes
5
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins9
Gomes's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses2
GomesTO SUBMITXiaonan
10
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins6
Xiaonan's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses4
XiaonanWin MethodGomes
11%
KO / TKO
50%
0%
Submission
0%
89%
Decision
50%
9 UFC wins · 1 KO · 8 Dec6 UFC wins · 3 KO · 3 Dec
Xiaonan
Loss Method
Gomes25%
KO / TKO
0%
0%
Submission
0%
75%
Decision
100%
4 UFC losses · 1 KO · 3 Dec2 UFC losses · 2 Dec
Xiaonan2 stoppages · 2 KO
R1
1
R2
1
R30
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
WKOJessica AndradeR1 · 2:20
LKOCarla EsparzaR2 · 2:58
Gomes3 stoppages · 3 KO
R1
1
R2
2
R30
KO Win
All stoppages
WKOElise ReedR2 · 0:30
WKOYazmin JaureguiR1 · 0:20
WKOBruna BrasilR2 · 2:42
Historical Context
Xiaonan — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
17 SS (39%)·11 abs·3 td taken·27s ctrl
78 SS (48%)·15 abs·1 td taken
43 SS (51%)·106 abs·3/3 td·6 td taken·140s ctrl·1 kd
26 SS (72%)·12 abs·1 kd
113 SS (58%)·61 abs·2 td taken·251s ctrl
56 SS (42%)·72 abs·2/4 td·93s ctrl
Gomes — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·8 fights
53 SS (38%)·58 abs·3/10 td·1 td taken·231s ctrl
28 SS (67%)·11 abs·3/3 td·254s ctrl·1 kd
73 SS (51%)·46 abs·0/3 td·347s ctrl·1 sub att
50 SS (57%)·18 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·140s ctrl·1 sub att
62 SS (47%)·76 abs·1/3 td·5 td taken·63s ctrl
17 SS (85%)·0 abs·10s ctrl·1 kd
Common Opponents
Karolina KowalkiewiczSame result
W
Xiaonan
UD·R3·2020
W
Gomes
UD·R3·2024
Angela HillSplit result
W
Xiaonan
UD·R3·2019
L
Gomes
UD·R3·2023