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Matchup Analysis·Bantamweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song3 / 13
←Xiaonan vs GomesPerez vs Sumudaerji→
Red Corner

Aoriqileng

“The Mongolian Murderer”
26-13(1 NC)10 UFCLast3mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Declining
5'7"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age
VS
Bantamweight135 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Kai Asakura

22-63 UFCLast3mo ago
Boxer
Title Fight
5'8"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·32age
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingAoriqilengClear edge
KO Adv.AsakuraClear edge
Sub Adv.AoriqilengSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
WC TRANSITION

Asakura is in their 2nd fight into a move up from Flyweight. Record at Bantamweight: 1-0.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Aoriqileng
-0.78
Asakura
-1.26
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Aoriqileng
Aoriqileng
0.60
Asakura
0.00
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Aoriqileng
34%
Asakura
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Aoriqileng
55
Average
Asakura
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Aoriqileng4.69SLpM
+
SLpM2.27Asakura
7.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Contextual
AoriqilengOutput Builds Late+53% R1→R3
AsakuraEarly Finisher
Finish History
Aoriqileng
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
50%
2/4
Stopped rate (losses)
40%
2/5
Asakura
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
2/2
Edge & Exposure
Aoriqileng
ExposureChin Question

KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.

Asakura
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

Opposition Quality
Aoriqileng4–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
0–4
Record (5)
-3.5
Str Diff/Min
—
Finish (W)
Asakura1–2UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
AoriqilengBantamweightAsakura
30th
Striking Differential
—
52nd
Grappling Threat
—
17th
Round Win Rate
—
38th
TD Defense
—
21st
Durability
—
43rd
Finishing Rate
—

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Aoriqileng
Stat
Asakura
1.264.69 career
⚠↓3.43
SLpMOutput
↑0.26
2.532.27 career
4.425.47 career
↓1.05
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.19
3.343.53 career
0.002.37 career
⚠↓2.37
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Aoriqileng50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Asakura0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Aoriqileng 10 UFC fights·Asakura 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Aoriqileng
9.5min
Asakura
6.2min
Combined Distance Rate
38%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
AoriqilengTO KNOCK OUTAsakura
38
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins4
Asakura's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses2
AsakuraTO KNOCK OUTAoriqileng
54
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins1
Aoriqileng's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses5
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
AoriqilengTO SUBMITAsakura
15
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins4
Asakura's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses2
AsakuraTO SUBMITAoriqileng
7
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins1
Aoriqileng's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses5
AoriqilengWin MethodAsakura
50%
KO / TKO
100%
0%
Submission
0%
50%
Decision
0%
4 UFC wins · 2 KO · 2 Dec1 UFC win · 1 KO
Aoriqileng
Loss Method
Asakura
40%
KO / TKO
0%
0%
Submission
100%
60%
Decision
0%
5 UFC losses · 2 KO · 3 Dec2 UFC losses · 2 Sub
Aoriqileng5 stoppages · 4 KO
R1
3
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
LKOCody HaddonR2 · 2:11
WKOCody GibsonR1 · 0:21
NCFinDaniel MarcosR2 · 3:28
LKOAiemann ZahabiR1 · 1:04
WKOCameron ElseR1 · 2:48
Asakura3 stoppages · 1 KO · 2 Sub
R1
1
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOCameron SmothermanR1 · 1:50
LSubTim ElliottR2 · 4:39
LSubAlexandre PantojaR2 · 2:05
Historical Context
Aoriqileng — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Cody HaddonBW
KO/TKO
R22:11
May '26
6 SS (55%)·57 abs·2 td taken·1 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Cody GibsonBW
KO/TKO
R10:21
Oct '25
5 SS (63%)·3 abs·1 kd
L
Raul Rosas Jr.BW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '24
22 SS (41%)·41 abs·3 td taken
NC
Daniel MarcosBW
Could Not …
R2
Feb '24
45 SS (47%)·81 abs·38s ctrl
W
Johnny MunozBW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '23
44 SS (67%)·7 abs·2/4 td·4 td taken·339s ctrl·1 kd
L
Aiemann ZahabiBW
KO/TKO
R11:04
Jun '23
5 SS (100%)·5 abs·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Asakura — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Cameron SmothermanBW
KO/TKO
R11:50
May '26
9 SS (43%)·3 abs·1 kd
L
Tim ElliottVeteranFLY
SUB
R24:39
Aug '25
21 SS (24%)·27 abs·2 td taken
L
Alexandre PantojaVeteranTITLEFLY
SUB
R22:05
Dec '24
17 SS (59%)·32 abs·3 td taken·24s ctrl
W
Juan Archuleta29-4
KO/TKOR2Dec 2023
W
Yuki Motoya33-11
KO/TKOR3May 2023
L
Hiromasa Ougikubo24-5
DECDec 2021
View full fight log →
Matchup·BW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
3/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Aoriqileng

“The Mongolian Murderer”
26-13(1 NC)10 UFC3mo ago
5'7"ht69"reachOrthodox33 yrs
VS·BW·3R
Blue Corner

Kai Asakura

22-63 UFC3mo ago
5'8"ht69"reachOrthodox32 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingAoriqilengClear edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.AsakuraClear edge
Sub Adv.AoriqilengSlight edge
Signals
1
WC TRANSITIONAsakura is in their 2nd fight into a move up from Flyweight. Record at Bantamweight: 1-0.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Aoriqileng-0.78
Asakura-1.26
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Aoriqileng
Aoriqileng0.60
Asakura0.00
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Aoriqileng34%
AsakuraToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Aoriqileng
55Average
Asakura
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Aoriqileng
Asakura
Striking
4.69SS Landed / min2.27
49%Str Acc32%
5.47SS Absorbed / min3.53
48%Str Def52%
0.30KD / fight0.33
Grappling
1.20TD / min0.00
58%TD Def50%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.00
100%Sub Def33%
Finish History
Aoriqileng
KO/TKO ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
2/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
40%
2/5
Asakura
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
2/2
Aoriqileng50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Asakura0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Aoriqileng 10 UFC fights·Asakura 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Aoriqileng
9.5min
Asakura
6.2min
Combined Distance Rate
38%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
AoriqilengWinAsakura
50%
KO
100%
0%
Sub
0%
50%
Dec
0%
4 wins2 KO2 Dec
1 KO1 wins
AoriqilengLossAsakura
40%
KO
0%
0%
Sub
100%
60%
Dec
0%
5 losses2 KO3 Dec
2 Sub2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Aoriqileng
to knock out
Asakura
38Elevated
Asakura
to knock out
Aoriqileng
54High
Aoriqileng
to submit
Asakura
15Low
Asakura
to submit
Aoriqileng
7Minimal
Recent Form
Aoriqileng
Stat
Asakura
1.26
4.69 career
↓3.43
SLpMOutput
↑0.26
2.53
2.27 career
4.42
5.47 career
↓1.05
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.19
3.34
3.53 career
0.00
2.37 career
↓2.37
TD AttAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Aoriqileng—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Cody HaddonBW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:11 · May '26
6 SS (55%)·57 abs·2 td taken·1 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Cody GibsonBW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:21 · Oct '25
5 SS (63%)·3 abs·1 kd
L
Raul Rosas Jr.BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '24
22 SS (41%)·41 abs·3 td taken
NC
Daniel MarcosBW Bout
Could Not … · R2 · Feb '24
45 SS (47%)·81 abs·38s ctrl
W
Johnny MunozBW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '23
44 SS (67%)·7 abs·2/4 td·4 td taken·339s ctrl·1 kd
L
Aiemann ZahabiBW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:04 · Jun '23
5 SS (100%)·5 abs·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Asakura—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Cameron SmothermanBW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:50 · May '26
9 SS (43%)·3 abs·1 kd
L
Tim ElliottVeteranFLY Bout
SUB · R2 · 4:39 · Aug '25
21 SS (24%)·27 abs·2 td taken
L
Alexandre PantojaVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:05 · Dec '24
17 SS (59%)·32 abs·3 td taken·24s ctrl
W
Juan Archuleta29-4
KO/TKOR2Dec 2023
W
Yuki Motoya33-11
KO/TKOR3May 2023
L
Hiromasa Ougikubo24-5
DECDec 2021
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X