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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

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Matchup Analysis·Featherweight Bout
↑UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland11 / 13
←Kopylov vs TulioSusurkaev vs Santos→
Red Corner

Pat Sabatini

21-510 UFCLast6mo ago
Wrestler
Aging Threat
Output Front-Loaded
Moderate Wear
5'8"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
VS
Featherweight145 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

William Gomis

“Jaguar”
15-36 UFCLast8mo ago
Kickboxer
Goes Long
Output Builds Late
6'0"+4"ht·73"+3"reach·Southpawstance·287yrage
Sabatini  63%
37%  Gomis
Polymarket
CQ
Outcome—
Striking—
Decision—
GrapplingSabatiniDominant
KO Adv.GomisDominant
Sub Adv.SabatiniClear edge
DurabilityGomis
Signals
2 signals
SUBMISSION

Sabatini actively hunts submissions on the ground.

AGE GAP

Sabatini is 7 years older than Gomis.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
—
Sabatini
+0.60
Gomis
+0.72
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Sabatini
Sabatini
1.25
Gomis
0.43
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
—
Sabatini
76%
Gomis
67%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Gomis
Sabatini
56
Average
Gomis
90
Ironclad
2 KO lossesKO losses0 KO losses
0.10KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Sabatini1.69SLpM
+
SLpM3.48Gomis
5.2
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Gomis
SabatiniOutput Drops Late-52% R1→R3
GomisOutput Builds Late+48% R1→R3
Finish History
Sabatini
Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
38%
3/8
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
2/2
Gomis
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
20%
1/5
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Edge & Exposure
Sabatini
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeSub Threat

Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.

ExposureChin Question

KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.

Gomis
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

EdgePressure Fighter

Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.

Pace Tension

Sabatini's output peaks in R1 and declines across later rounds. Gomis's output climbs R1 to R3.

Opposition Quality
Sabatini8–2UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–1
Record (6)
-1.1
Str Diff/Min
20%
Finish (W)
Gomis5–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–1
Record (3)
+0.3
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
SabatiniFeatherweightGomis
62nd
Striking Differential
66th
93rd
Grappling Threat
43rd
90th
Round Win Rate
78th
24th
TD Defense
78th
25th
Durability
90th
27th
Finishing Rate
3rd
Recent Form
Sabatini
Stat
Gomis
1.141.69 career
↓0.55
SLpMOutput
↑0.81
4.293.48 career
0.351.09 career
↓0.74
SApMAbsorbed
⚠↑1.20
3.962.76 career
8.808.79 career
↑0.01
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.44
2.672.23 career
0.881.50 career
↓0.62
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
SabatiniGomis
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
1.69
3.48
Str. Accuracy
59%
49%
Sig. Absorbed / min
1.09
2.76
Str. Defense
50%
61%
CQ KO Power
0.65
—
SabatiniStrike DistributionGomis
By Target
78%
Head
41%
16%
Body
28%
5%
Leg
31%
By Position
33%
Distance
85%
9%
Clinch
14%
57%
Ground
1%
Sig Strikes
Sabatini
15avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
9.0 min
Goes Dist
50%
Gomis
51avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
14.6 min
Goes Dist
83%
Historical Context
Sabatini — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Chepe Mariscal
U-DEC
R3
Nov '25
12 SS (41%)·7 abs·7/12 td·637s ctrl
W
Joanderson Brito
U-DEC
R3
Apr '25
24 SS (77%)·3 abs·4/5 td·827s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jonathan Pearce
SUB
R14:06
Oct '24
3 SS (60%)·2 abs·2/3 td·236s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Diego Lopes
KO/TKO
R11:30
Nov '23
7 SS (58%)·13 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
W
Lucas Almeida
SUB
R21:48
Jun '23
27 SS (77%)·2 abs·2/3 td·387s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Damon Jackson
KO/TKO
R11:09
Sep '22
1 SS (33%)·11 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
View full fight log →
Gomis — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Robert Ruchala
U-DEC
R3
Sep '25
49 SS (43%)·34 abs·2/2 td·2 td taken·57s ctrl
L
Hyder Amil
S-DEC
R3
Mar '25
101 SS (54%)·115 abs·0/3 td·1 td taken·82s ctrl
W
Joanderson Brito
S-DEC
R3
Sep '24
43 SS (61%)·29 abs·0/3 td·3 td taken·232s ctrl
W
Yanis Ghemmouri
KO/TKO
R32:20
Sep '23
52 SS (59%)·28 abs·55s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Francis Marshall
S-DEC
R3
Apr '23
27 SS (34%)·15 abs·2 td taken·17s ctrl
W
Jarno Errens
M-DEC
R3
Sep '22
32 SS (46%)·20 abs·3/5 td·484s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Joanderson BritoSame result
W
Sabatini
UD·R3·2025
W
Gomis
SD·R3·2024
Matchup·FW·3R
↑UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
11/13←→
Red Corner

Pat Sabatini

21-510 UFC6mo ago
5'8"ht70"reachOrthodox35 yrs
VS·FW·3R
Blue Corner

William Gomis

“Jaguar”
15-36 UFC8mo ago
6'0"+4"ht73"+3"reachSouthpaw28 yrs
Polymarket
Sabatini 63%37% Gomis
Striking—
Decision—
GrapplingSabatiniDominant
DurabilityGomis
KO Adv.GomisDominant
Sub Adv.SabatiniClear edge
Signals
3
SUBMISSIONSabatini actively hunts the finish on the ground.
PACE CLASHSabatini's output peaks early. Gomis's output climbs late.
AGE GAPSabatini is 7 years older than Gomis.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
—
Sabatini+0.60
Gomis+0.72
CQGrappling
Sabatini
Sabatini1.25
Gomis0.43
CQDecision
—
Sabatini76%
Gomis67%
CQDurability
Gomis
Sabatini56Average
Gomis90Ironclad
CQCardio
Gomis
SabatiniOutput Drops Late
GomisOutput Builds Late
CQPace Index
Moderate
Sabatini1.69SLpM
+
Gomis3.48SLpM
5.2
LowModHighExtreme
Finish History
Sabatini
Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
38%
3/8
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
2/2
Gomis
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
20%
1/5
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Opposition Quality
Sabatini8–2UFC
Gomis5–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record
5–1n=6
-1.1strike diff/min
2–1n=3
+0.3strike diff/min
Division Percentile Ranks
FW
SabatiniGomis
62ndStriking Diff66th
93rdGrappling43rd
90thRound Win Rate78th
24thTD Defense78th
25thDurability90th
27thFinish Rate3rd
Recent Form
Sabatini
Stat
Gomis
1.14
1.69 career
↓0.55
SLpMOutput
↑0.81
4.29
3.48 career
0.35
1.09 career
↓0.74
SApMAbsorbed
↑1.20
3.96
2.76 career
8.80
8.79 career
↑0.01
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.44
2.67
2.23 career
0.88
1.50 career
↓0.62
SubAtt/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Sabatini
| div avg
Gomis
Sig. Strikes / Min
1.69
3.48
Str. Accuracy
59%
49%
Sig. Absorbed / Min
1.09
2.76
Str. Defense
50%
61%
CQ KO Power
0.65
—
Strike Distribution
By Target
78%
Head
41%
16%
Body
28%
5%
Leg
31%
By Position
33%
Distance
85%
9%
Clinch
14%
57%
Ground
1%
Sig Strikes
Sabatini
15avg landed
Mariscal
12
Brito
24
Pearce
3
Lopes
7
Almeida
27
Avg Fight Time
9.0 min
Goes Dist
50%
Gomis
51avg landed
Ruchala
49
Amil
101
Brito
43
Ghemmouri
52
Marshall
27
Avg Fight Time
14.6 min
Goes Dist
83%
Historical Context
Sabatini—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Chepe Mariscal
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '25
12 SS (41%)·7 abs·7/12 td·637s ctrl
W
Joanderson Brito
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '25
24 SS (77%)·3 abs·4/5 td·827s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jonathan Pearce
SUB · R1 · 4:06 · Oct '24
3 SS (60%)·2 abs·2/3 td·236s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Diego Lopes
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Nov '23
7 SS (58%)·13 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
W
Lucas Almeida
SUB · R2 · 1:48 · Jun '23
27 SS (77%)·2 abs·2/3 td·387s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Damon Jackson
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:09 · Sep '22
1 SS (33%)·11 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
View full fight log →
Gomis—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Robert Ruchala
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '25
49 SS (43%)·34 abs·2/2 td·2 td taken·57s ctrl
L
Hyder Amil
S-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
101 SS (54%)·115 abs·0/3 td·1 td taken·82s ctrl
W
Joanderson Brito
S-DEC · R3 · Sep '24
43 SS (61%)·29 abs·0/3 td·3 td taken·232s ctrl
W
Yanis Ghemmouri
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:20 · Sep '23
52 SS (59%)·28 abs·55s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Francis Marshall
S-DEC · R3 · Apr '23
27 SS (34%)·15 abs·2 td taken·17s ctrl
W
Jarno Errens
M-DEC · R3 · Sep '22
32 SS (46%)·20 abs·3/5 td·484s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Joanderson BritoSame result
W
Sabatini
UD·R3·2025
W
Gomis
SD·R3·2024