Fighter Profile›Lightweight

“Fire”

Francis Marshall

10-37 UFC

Wrestler

Form

· 2W

Output Builds Late

5'9"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·27age

Last fightWLucas Brennan·U-DEC·R3·this month

Fighter Context

4–3UFC·

1KO

1Sub

2Dec

10.5min/fight

89UFC min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.26

Neutral

37%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.413

Strong

88%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Average

51%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

63%

Strong

71%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Marshall

Distance Striker

Head Hunter

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min3.19

Str. Accuracy34%

172UFC landed/587attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−0.8 vs avg3.45

Str. Defense55%

KD Rate / fight0.29

2UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fightNone on record

CQ KO Power

Elite81%ile1.16

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

86%

Body

Leg

By Position

Distance90%

Clinch3%

Ground7%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 17 rounds	Round 25 rounds	Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed	7	11	16
Avg. Absorbed	13	15	17
Avg. Net	-5	-4	-1

Grappling

Marshall

Control Wrestler

·219s ctrlElite Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.71

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.90

TD Accuracy47%

10UFC landed/24attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

1UFC wins/3attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense88%

8UFC defended/9opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Escaped Once

Finishing

Finish Rate

50%

Average

div avg 52%

How They Lose

3UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 4

Submission1 / 4

Decision2 / 4

KD → Finish

1/2Moderate

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 3

Submission0 / 3

Decision2 / 3

Loss Pattern

Outscored

2 of 3 losses by decision

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

2.0pts

W2 dec

0.3pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

1UD

3SD

0MD

75%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Div. change

sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 20 more in second half of career

7 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output Builds Late

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=7

R2n=5

R3n=4

Outputsig strikes / min

1.6

2.7

3.1

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.8

3.5

3.4

Diff

-1.1

-0.8

-0.2

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 7 Fights — Trend

▲TD Acc+33%L3

Last 7 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Marshall — 7 UFC Fights

Result

Method

7 fights

Lucas Brennan

U-DEC R3Apr '26

+24

·33 SS (48%)·9 abs·2/3 td·396s ctrl

Erik Silva

SUB R1 · 2:29Feb '26

-2

·3 SS (60%)·5 abs·1/2 td·102s ctrl·1 sub att

Mairon Santos

S-DEC R3Mar '25

-19

·39 SS (27%)·58 abs·3/5 td·155s ctrl

Dennis Buzukja

S-DEC R3Aug '24

-9

·57 SS (38%)·66 abs·1/6 td·326s ctrl·1 kd landed

Isaac Dulgarian

KO/TKO R1 · 4:48Aug '23

-33

·2 SS (29%)·35 abs·1 td taken

William Gomis

S-DEC R3Apr '23

-12

·15 SS (11%)·27 abs·2/5 td·260s ctrl·2 sub att

Marcelo Rojo

KO/TKO R2 · 1:14Dec '22

-8

·23 SS (28%)·31 abs·1/3 td·167s ctrl·1 kd landed

Marshall — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WConnor MatthewsDWCSU-DECR3Aug 2022

All Fighters

Lightweight

“Fire”

Francis Marshall

10-37 UFC

Form

5'9"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·27age

Last fightWLucas Brennan·U-DEC·this month

Fighter Context

4–3UFC·

1KO

1Sub

2Dec

10.5min/fight

89UFC min

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.26

37%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.413

88%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

51%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

63%

71%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Marshall

Lightweight avg

Distance StrikerHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min3.19

Str. Accuracy34%

172UFC landed/587attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−0.8 vs avg3.45

Str. Defense55%

KD Rate / Fight0.29

2UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / FightNone on record

CQ KO Power

Elite81%ile1.16

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

86%

Body

Leg

By Position

Dist90%

Clinch3%

Ground7%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=7	R2 n=5	R3 n=4
Landed	7	11	16
Absorbed	13	15	17
Net	-5	-4	-1

Grappling

Marshall

Lightweight avg

Control Wrestler

219s ctrlElite Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.71

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.90

TD Accuracy47%

10UFC landed/24attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

1UFC wins/3attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense88%

8UFC defended/9opp. attempts

Sub Defense0 loss / 1 attempt

Finishing

Finish Rate

50%

Average

Win Methods

1KO/TKO

1Sub

2Dec

Loss Methods

1KO/TKO

0Sub

2Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.0pts

W2 dec

0.3pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

1UD

3SD

0MD

75%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output Builds Late

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=7

R2n=5

R3n=4

Outputsig strikes / min

1.6

2.7

3.1

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.8

3.5

3.4

Diff

-1.1

-0.8

-0.2

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Marshall — UFC Fight Log

Lucas Brennan

U-DEC·R3·Apr '26

33 SS (48%)·9 abs·2/3 td·396s ctrl

Erik Silva

SUB·R1·Feb '26

3 SS (60%)·5 abs·1/2 td·102s ctrl·1 sub

Mairon Santos

S-DEC·R3·Mar '25

39 SS (27%)·58 abs·3/5 td·155s ctrl

Dennis Buzukja

S-DEC·R3·Aug '24

57 SS (38%)·66 abs·1/6 td·326s ctrl·1 kd

Isaac Dulgarian

KO/TKO·R1·Aug '23

2 SS (29%)·35 abs·1 td taken

William Gomis

S-DEC·R3·Apr '23

15 SS (11%)·27 abs·2/5 td·260s ctrl·2 sub

Marcelo Rojo

KO/TKO·R2·Dec '22

23 SS (28%)·31 abs·1/3 td·167s ctrl·1 kd

Marshall — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WConnor MatthewsDWCSU-DECR3Aug 2022

Round 17 rounds

Round 25 rounds

Round 34 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-5

-4

-1

n=7

n=5

n=4

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-5

-4

-1