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Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan3 / 12
←Brown vs SmithSantos vs Santos→
Red Corner

Ode Osbourne

“The Jamaican Sensation”
13-9(2 NC)13 UFCLast8mo ago
Balanced
Declining
Early Chaos
Output Drops Late
Moderate Wear
5'7"ht·73"+6"reach·Southpawstance·34age
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”
18-11-117 UFCLast4mo ago
Wrestler
Declining
Output Drops Late
Moderate Wear
5'7"ht·67"reach·Southpawstance·35age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionDurdenSlight edge
GrapplingDurdenDominant
KO Adv.OsbourneClear edge
Sub Adv.DurdenClear edge
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
1 signal
REACH CLIFF

Osbourne has a 6" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Osbourne's reach is a structural advantage.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Osbourne
-0.30
Durden
-0.62
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Durden
Osbourne
0.41
Durden
1.30
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Durden
Osbourne
36%
Durden
54%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Osbourne
65
Average
Durden
74
Durable
2 KO lossesKO losses2 KO losses
0.15KD / fight0.23
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Osbourne2.94SLpM
+
SLpM3.27Durden
6.2
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
OsbourneOutput Drops Late
DurdenOutput Drops Late
Finish History
Osbourne
KO/TKO ×3
Finish rate (wins)
60%
3/5
Stopped rate (losses)
63%
5/8
Durden
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
29%
2/7
Stopped rate (losses)
78%
7/9
Edge & Exposure
Osbourne
ExposureFades Hard

Output drops significantly in later rounds. Extended fights are a structural disadvantage.

Durden
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

ExposureFades Hard

Output drops significantly in later rounds. Extended fights are a structural disadvantage.

Opposition Quality
Osbourne5–8UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–1
Record (4)
-1.4
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
Durden7–9UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–7
Record (10)
-0.3
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
OsbourneFlyweightDurden
35th
Striking Differential
28th
27th
Grappling Threat
92nd
25th
Round Win Rate
57th
60th
TD Defense
34th
33rd
Durability
46th
61st
Finishing Rate
6th
Recent Form
Osbourne
Stat
Durden
2.302.94 career
↓0.64
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.39
1.883.27 career
1.683.24 career
↓1.56
SApMAbsorbed
↓2.04
1.853.89 career
1.223.24 career
⚠↓2.02
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓1.87
6.037.90 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.20
0.400.60 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Osbourne39% distance
Finish 61%Decision 39%
Durden47% distance
Finish 53%Decision 47%
Osbourne 13 UFC fights·Durden 17 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Osbourne
8.2min
Durden
9.9min
Combined Distance Rate
43%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
OsbourneTO KNOCK OUTDurden
46
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins5
Durden's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses9
DurdenTO KNOCK OUTOsbourne
27
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins7
Osbourne's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses8
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
OsbourneTO SUBMITDurden
27
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins5
Durden's Sub Losses
Sub losses5
Total UFC losses9
DurdenTO SUBMITOsbourne
54
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins7
Osbourne's Sub Losses
Sub losses3
Total UFC losses8
OsbourneWin MethodDurden
60%
KO / TKO
14%
0%
Submission
14%
40%
Decision
71%
5 UFC wins · 3 KO · 2 Dec7 UFC wins · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 5 Dec
Osbourne
Loss Method
Durden
25%
KO / TKO
22%
38%
Submission
56%
38%
Decision
22%
8 UFC losses · 2 KO · 3 Sub · 3 Dec9 UFC losses · 2 KO · 5 Sub · 2 Dec
Osbourne8 stoppages · 5 KO · 3 Sub
R1
6
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOLuis GuruleR2 · 1:54
LSubJafel FilhoR1 · 4:27
LSubAsu AlmabayevR2 · 3:11
LKOTyson NamR1 · 2:59
WKOZarrukh AdashevR1 · 1:01
Durden9 stoppages · 3 KO · 6 Sub
R1
3
R2
6
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LSubAlessandro CostaR2 · 2:19
LSubAllan NascimentoR2 · 3:13
LKOJose OchoaR2 · 0:11
WSubMatt SchnellR2 · 0:29
LKOBruno SilvaR2 · 2:58
Historical Context
Osbourne — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·13 fights
L
Alibi IdirisFLY
U-DEC
R3
Feb '26
32 SS (36%)·30 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·58s ctrl
L
Steve ErcegBW
U-DEC
R3
Aug '25
35 SS (47%)·20 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·69s ctrl
W
Luis GuruleFLY
KO/TKO
R21:54
Apr '25
18 SS (42%)·12 abs·1 td taken·7s ctrl·1 kd
L
Ronaldo RodriguezFLY
U-DEC
R3
Sep '24
37 SS (54%)·35 abs·1/3 td·1 td taken·67s ctrl·1 kd·2 sub att
L
Jafel FilhoFLY
SUB
R14:27
Mar '24
0 SS (0%)·21 abs·1 td taken
L
Asu AlmabayevFLY
SUB
R23:11
Aug '23
4 SS (22%)·26 abs·2 td taken·21s ctrl
View full fight log →
Durden — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Alessandro CostaFLY
SUB
R22:19
Jul '26
28 SS (38%)·21 abs·0/2 td·12s ctrl
W
Jafel FilhoBW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '26
34 SS (47%)·23 abs·5/5 td·2 td taken·314s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Nyamjargal TumendemberelFLY
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
8 SS (38%)·25 abs·3/8 td·4 td taken·290s ctrl
L
Allan NascimentoCatch Weight
SUB
R23:13
Nov '25
57 SS (45%)·52 abs·1/3 td·5s ctrl
L
Jose OchoaFLY
KO/TKO
R20:11
Jun '25
9 SS (22%)·30 abs·2/4 td·102s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Joshua VanFLY
U-DEC
R3
Dec '24
70 SS (32%)·165 abs·2/8 td·194s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Charles JohnsonSame result
W
Osbourne
SD·R3·2023
W
Durden
UD·R3·2023
Jafel FilhoSplit result
L
Osbourne
Sub·R1·2024
W
Durden
UD·R3·2026
Matchup·FLY·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
3/12←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Ode Osbourne

“The Jamaican Sensation”
13-9(2 NC)13 UFC8mo ago
5'7"ht73"+6"reachSouthpaw34 yrs
VS·FLY·3R
Blue Corner

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”
18-11-117 UFC4mo ago
5'7"ht67"reachSouthpaw35 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionDurdenSlight edge
GrapplingDurdenDominant
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.OsbourneClear edge
Sub Adv.DurdenClear edge
Signals
1
REACH CLIFFOsbourne has a 6" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Osbourne's reach is a structural advantage.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Osbourne-0.30
Durden-0.62
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Durden
Osbourne0.41
Durden1.30
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Durden
Osbourne36%
Durden54%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Osbourne
65Average
Durden
74Durable
Stats
Osbourne
Durden
Striking
2.94SS Landed / min3.27
40%Str Acc44%
3.24SS Absorbed / min3.89
49%Str Def51%
0.31KD / fight0.06
Grappling
0.94TD / min3.82
66%TD Def56%
0.40Sub Att · /15m0.60
50%Sub Def71%
Finish History
Osbourne
KO/TKO ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
60%
3/5
Stopped Rate (Losses)
63%
5/8
Durden
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
29%
2/7
Stopped Rate (Losses)
78%
7/9
Osbourne39% distance
Finish 61%Decision 39%
Durden47% distance
Finish 53%Decision 47%
Osbourne 13 UFC fights·Durden 17 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Osbourne
8.2min
Durden
9.9min
Combined Distance Rate
43%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
OsbourneWinDurden
60%
KO
14%
0%
Sub
14%
40%
Dec
71%
5 wins3 KO2 Dec
5 Dec1 Sub1 KO7 wins
OsbourneLossDurden
25%
KO
22%
38%
Sub
56%
38%
Dec
22%
8 losses2 KO3 Sub3 Dec
2 Dec5 Sub2 KO9 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Osbourne
to knock out
Durden
46High
Durden
to knock out
Osbourne
27Elevated
Osbourne
to submit
Durden
27Elevated
Durden
to submit
Osbourne
54High
Recent Form
Osbourne
Stat
Durden
2.30
2.94 career
↓0.64
SLpMOutput
↓1.39
1.88
3.27 career
1.68
3.24 career
↓1.56
SApMAbsorbed
↓2.04
1.85
3.89 career
1.22
3.24 career
↓2.02
TD AttAtt/15m
↓1.87
6.03
7.90 career
—
SubAtt/15m
↓0.20
0.40
0.60 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Osbourne—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·13 fights
L
Alibi IdirisFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '26
32 SS (36%)·30 abs·0/1 td·5 td taken·58s ctrl
L
Steve ErcegBW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '25
35 SS (47%)·20 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·69s ctrl
W
Luis GuruleFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 1:54 · Apr '25
18 SS (42%)·12 abs·1 td taken·7s ctrl·1 kd
L
Ronaldo RodriguezFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '24
37 SS (54%)·35 abs·1/3 td·1 td taken·67s ctrl·1 kd·2 sub att
L
Jafel FilhoFLY Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:27 · Mar '24
0 SS (0%)·21 abs·1 td taken
L
Asu AlmabayevFLY Bout
SUB · R2 · 3:11 · Aug '23
4 SS (22%)·26 abs·2 td taken·21s ctrl
View full fight log →
Durden—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Alessandro CostaFLY Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:19 · Jul '26
28 SS (38%)·21 abs·0/2 td·12s ctrl
W
Jafel FilhoBW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '26
34 SS (47%)·23 abs·5/5 td·2 td taken·314s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Nyamjargal TumendemberelFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
8 SS (38%)·25 abs·3/8 td·4 td taken·290s ctrl
L
Allan NascimentoCatch Weight Bout
SUB · R2 · 3:13 · Nov '25
57 SS (45%)·52 abs·1/3 td·5s ctrl
L
Jose OchoaFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:11 · Jun '25
9 SS (22%)·30 abs·2/4 td·102s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Joshua VanFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '24
70 SS (32%)·165 abs·2/8 td·194s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Charles JohnsonSame result
W
Osbourne
SD·R3·2023
W
Durden
UD·R3·2023
Jafel FilhoSplit result
L
Osbourne
Sub·R1·2024
W
Durden
UD·R3·2026
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X