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Matchup Analysis·Middleweight
↑UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang12 / 13
←Dos Anjos vs HernandezMcGee vs Nolan→
Red Corner

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”
19-10-118 UFCLast10mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Declining
6× Title
6× 5R
Goes Long
Moderate Wear
6'0"+2"ht·74"reach·Southpawstance·33age
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Ismail Naurdiev

25-87 UFCLast10mo ago
Balanced
Goes Long
Output Drops Late
5'10"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·30age
CQ
EdgesDecision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNaurdievClear edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingNaurdievSlight edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.VettoriSlight edge
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
3 signals
CARDIO

Naurdiev's output and strike differential trend downward in later rounds.

SOUTHPAW

Vettori is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Vettori natural angle advantages at range.

WC TRANSITION

Naurdiev is in their 3rd fight into a move up from Welterweight. Record at Middleweight: 2-1.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Naurdiev
Vettori
+0.19
Naurdiev
+1.91
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Naurdiev
Vettori
0.38
Naurdiev
0.47
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Vettori
63%
Naurdiev
68%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Vettori
100
Ironclad
Naurdiev
92
Ironclad
0 KO lossesKO losses0 KO losses
0.00KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Vettori4.74SLpM
+
SLpM3.66Naurdiev
8.4
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Vettori
VettoriOutput Holds Steady+1% R1→R3
NaurdievOutput Drops Late
Finish History
Vettori
Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
22%
2/9
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/8
Naurdiev
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/3
Edge & Exposure
Vettori

No dominant edges or exposures identified from UFC record.

Naurdiev
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

ExposureFades Hard

Output drops significantly in later rounds. Extended fights are a structural disadvantage.

Opposition Quality
Vettori9–8UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
8–8
Record (17)
+0.8
Str Diff/Min
13%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-19% step-up
3–5
Record (8)
-0.7
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Naurdiev4–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–2
Record (4)
+2.1
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
VettoriMiddleweightNaurdiev
55th
Striking Differential
91st
61st
Grappling Threat
60th
72nd
Round Win Rate
81st
57th
TD Defense
65th
99th
Durability
90th
4th
Finishing Rate
6th
Recent Form
Vettori
Stat
Naurdiev
5.604.74 career
↑0.86
SLpMOutput
↑0.95
4.613.66 career
5.984.55 career
⚠↑1.43
SApMAbsorbed
⚠↑0.86
2.611.75 career
1.093.21 career
⚠↓2.12
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑3.55
7.163.61 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
VettoriNaurdiev
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.74
3.66
Str. Accuracy
45%
52%
Sig. Absorbed / min
4.55
1.75
Str. Defense
56%
64%
CQ KO Power
0.07
0.30
VettoriStrike DistributionNaurdiev
By Target
78%
Head
55%
10%
Body
26%
12%
Leg
19%
By Position
87%
Distance
79%
6%
Clinch
11%
7%
Ground
10%
Sig Strikes
Vettori
81avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
17.1 min
Goes Dist
89%
Naurdiev
48avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
13.1 min
Goes Dist
86%
Historical Context
Vettori — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Brunno FerreiraMW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '25
88 SS (47%)·77 abs·1/4 td·1 td taken·68s ctrl
L
Brendan AllenVeteranMW
U-DEC
R3
Jul '25
109 SS (43%)·111 abs·3 td taken·77s ctrl
L
Roman DolidzeVeteranTITLEMW
U-DEC
R5
Mar '25
111 SS (50%)·141 abs
L
Jared CannonierVeteranTITLEMW
U-DEC
R5
Jun '23
153 SS (51%)·241 abs·1/1 td·4 td taken·28s ctrl
W
Roman DolidzeMW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '23
106 SS (49%)·71 abs
L
Robert WhittakerVeteranMW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '22
33 SS (28%)·74 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·28s ctrl
View full fight log →
Naurdiev — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Ryan LoderMW
KO/TKO
R11:26
Nov '25
3 SS (50%)·1 abs·1 kd
L
JunYong ParkVeteranMW
U-DEC
R3
Jun '25
76 SS (50%)·45 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·85s ctrl
W
Bruno SilvaMW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '24
66 SS (57%)·36 abs·3/13 td·351s ctrl
L
Sean BradyWW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '20
37 SS (43%)·47 abs·0/1 td·4 td taken·18s ctrl
W
Siyar BahadurzadaWW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '19
69 SS (55%)·12 abs·3/3 td·344s ctrl
L
Chance RencountreWW
U-DEC
R3
Jul '19
21 SS (49%)·4 abs·2/2 td·2 td taken·22s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·MW·3R
↑UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
12/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”
19-10-118 UFC10mo ago
6'0"+2"ht74"reachSouthpaw33 yrs
VS·MW·3R
Blue Corner

Ismail Naurdiev

25-87 UFC10mo ago
5'10"ht74"reachOrthodox30 yrs
CQ
Edges
Decision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNaurdievClear edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingNaurdievSlight edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.VettoriSlight edge
Signals
3
CARDIONaurdiev's output and strike differential trend downward in later rounds.
SOUTHPAWVettori is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
WC TRANSITIONNaurdiev is in their 3rd fight into a move up from Welterweight. Record at Middleweight: 2-1.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Naurdiev
Vettori+0.19
Naurdiev+1.91
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Naurdiev
Vettori0.38
Naurdiev0.47
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Vettori63%
Naurdiev68%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Vettori
100Ironclad
Naurdiev
92Ironclad
Stats
Vettori
Naurdiev
Striking
4.74SS Landed / min3.66
45%Str Acc52%
4.55SS Absorbed / min1.75
56%Str Def64%
0.06KD / fight0.14
Grappling
1.41TD / min1.48
68%TD Def73%
0.40Sub Att · /15m0.20
—Sub Def100%
Finish History
Vettori
Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
22%
2/9
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/8
Naurdiev
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/3
Vettori89% distance
Finish 11%Decision 89%
Naurdiev86% distance
Finish 14%Decision 86%
Vettori 18 UFC fights·Naurdiev 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Vettori
17.1min
Naurdiev
13.1min
Combined Distance Rate
88%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
VettoriWinNaurdiev
0%
KO
25%
22%
Sub
0%
78%
Dec
75%
9 wins2 Sub7 Dec
3 Dec1 KO4 wins
VettoriLossNaurdiev
0%
KO
0%
0%
Sub
0%
100%
Dec
100%
8 losses8 Dec
3 Dec3 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Vettori
to knock out
Naurdiev
10Minimal
Naurdiev
to knock out
Vettori
15Low
Vettori
to submit
Naurdiev
20Low
Naurdiev
to submit
Vettori
5Minimal
Recent Form
Vettori
Stat
Naurdiev
5.60
4.74 career
↑0.86
SLpMOutput
↑0.95
4.61
3.66 career
5.98
4.55 career
↑1.43
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.86
2.61
1.75 career
1.09
3.21 career
↓2.12
TD AttAtt/15m
↑3.55
7.16
3.61 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Vettori—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Brunno FerreiraMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '25
88 SS (47%)·77 abs·1/4 td·1 td taken·68s ctrl
L
Brendan AllenVeteranMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jul '25
109 SS (43%)·111 abs·3 td taken·77s ctrl
L
Roman DolidzeVeteranTITLEMW Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Mar '25
111 SS (50%)·141 abs
L
Jared CannonierVeteranTITLEMW Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Jun '23
153 SS (51%)·241 abs·1/1 td·4 td taken·28s ctrl
W
Roman DolidzeMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '23
106 SS (49%)·71 abs
L
Robert WhittakerVeteranMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '22
33 SS (28%)·74 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·28s ctrl
View full fight log →
Naurdiev—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Ryan LoderMW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:26 · Nov '25
3 SS (50%)·1 abs·1 kd
L
JunYong ParkVeteranMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '25
76 SS (50%)·45 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·85s ctrl
W
Bruno SilvaMW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '24
66 SS (57%)·36 abs·3/13 td·351s ctrl
L
Sean BradyWW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '20
37 SS (43%)·47 abs·0/1 td·4 td taken·18s ctrl
W
Siyar BahadurzadaWW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '19
69 SS (55%)·12 abs·3/3 td·344s ctrl
L
Chance RencountreWW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jul '19
21 SS (49%)·4 abs·2/2 td·2 td taken·22s ctrl
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X