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Matchup Analysis·Women's Bantamweight
↑UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit11 / 13
←Gordon vs CostaYanez vs Diaz→
Red Corner

Macy Chiasson

11-614 UFCLast8mo ago
Balanced
Declining
Early Chaos
Output Front-Loaded
Moderate Wear
5'11"+7"ht·72"+5"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
VS
Women's Bantamweight135 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Bia Mesquita

“The Lady GOAT”
8-03 UFCLast5mo ago
Complete Fighter
Aging Threat
5'4"ht·67"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
Mesquita · Takedown Exposure
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingMesquitaDominant
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.MesquitaDominant
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
SUBMISSION

Mesquita actively hunts submissions on the ground.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Mesquita
Chiasson
+0.45
Mesquita
+5.14
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No edge
Chiasson
1.87
Mesquita
1.83
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Chiasson
59%
Mesquita
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Chiasson
85
Durable
Mesquita
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Chiasson3.21SLpM
+
SLpM5.78Mesquita
9.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Mesquita
ChiassonOutput Drops Late-55% R1→R3
MesquitaEarly Finisher
Finish History
Chiasson
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
63%
5/8
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
2/6
Mesquita
Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
100%
3/3
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Edge & Exposure
Chiasson
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

Mesquita
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

Opposition Quality
Chiasson8–6UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–5
Record (8)
-0.5
Str Diff/Min
67%
Finish (W)
Mesquita3–0UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
ChiassonWomen's BantamweightMesquita
65th
Striking Differential
99th
69th
Grappling Threat
99th
71st
Round Win Rate
—
47th
TD Defense
1st
55th
Durability
40th
60th
Finishing Rate
92nd

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Chiasson
Stat
Mesquita
1.873.21 career
⚠↓1.34
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.26
4.525.78 career
2.672.76 career
↓0.09
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.63
1.270.64 career
3.005.21 career
⚠↓2.21
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑0.37
3.573.20 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Chiasson50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Mesquita0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Chiasson 14 UFC fights·Mesquita 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Chiasson
10.9min
Mesquita
4.2min
Combined Distance Rate
41%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ChiassonTO KNOCK OUTMesquita
32
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins8
Mesquita's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses0
MesquitaTO KNOCK OUTChiasson
27
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins3
Chiasson's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses6
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ChiassonTO SUBMITMesquita
26
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins8
Mesquita's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses0
MesquitaTO SUBMITChiasson
61
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins3
Chiasson's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses6
ChiassonWin MethodMesquita
38%
KO / TKO
0%
25%
Submission
100%
38%
Decision
0%
8 UFC wins · 3 KO · 2 Sub · 3 Dec3 UFC wins · 3 Sub
Chiasson
Loss Method
Mesquita
17%
KO / TKO
—
17%
Submission
—
67%
Decision
—
6 UFC losses · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 4 DecNo UFC losses
Chiasson7 stoppages · 4 KO · 3 Sub
R1
2
R2
4
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOMayra Bueno SilvaR2 · 1:58
WSubPannie KianzadR1 · 3:54
LKOIrene AldanaR3 · 2:21
LSubRaquel PenningtonR2 · 3:07
WKOSarah MorasR2 · 2:22
Mesquita3 stoppages · 3 Sub
R1
2
R2
1
R3
0
R1R2R3
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubMelissa MullinsR1 · 3:16
WSubMontse RendonR1 · 2:07
WSubIrina AlekseevaR2 · 2:14
Historical Context
Chiasson — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Ailin PerezW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '26
8 SS (35%)·27 abs·0/2 td·6 td taken·231s ctrl
L
Yana SantosW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '25
54 SS (46%)·65 abs·2/3 td·223s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Ketlen VieiraVeteranW.FW
U-DEC
R3
May '25
22 SS (51%)·28 abs·0/4 td·33s ctrl
W
Mayra Bueno SilvaW.BW
KO/TKO
R21:58
Jun '24
50 SS (59%)·46 abs·1/1 td·108s ctrl
W
Pannie KianzadW.BW
SUB
R13:54
Mar '24
4 SS (40%)·2 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·148s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Irene AldanaCatch Weight
KO/TKO
R32:21
Sep '22
39 SS (41%)·37 abs·3/8 td·208s ctrl·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Mesquita — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Melissa MullinsW.BW
SUB
R13:16
Jun '26
3 SS (30%)·10 abs·1 td taken·12s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Montse RendonW.BW
SUB
R12:07
Mar '26
18 SS (67%)·0 abs·1/1 td·106s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Irina AlekseevaW.BW
SUB
R22:14
Oct '25
36 SS (57%)·6 abs·2/3 td·293s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Sierra Dinwoodie4-0
KO/TKOR2Jun 2025
W
Hope Chase4-2
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Fernanda Araujo2-4
SUBR2Dec 2024
View full fight log →
Matchup·W. BW·3R
↑UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
11/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Macy Chiasson

11-614 UFC8mo ago
5'11"+7"ht72"+5"reachOrthodox35 yrs
VS·W. BW·3R
Blue Corner

Bia Mesquita

“The Lady GOAT”
8-03 UFC5mo ago
5'4"ht67"reachOrthodox35 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish RiskMesquita · Takedown Exposure
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingMesquitaDominant
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.MesquitaDominant
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Mesquita
Chiasson+0.45
Mesquita+5.14
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No edge
Chiasson1.87
Mesquita1.83
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Chiasson59%
MesquitaToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Chiasson
85Durable
Mesquita
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Chiasson
Mesquita
Striking
3.21SS Landed / min5.78
46%Str Acc60%
2.76SS Absorbed / min0.64
44%Str Def80%
0.14KD / fight0.00
Grappling
1.87TD / min4.81
62%TD Def0%
0.40Sub Att · /15m3.20
80%Sub Def—
Finish History
Chiasson
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
63%
5/8
Stopped Rate (Losses)
33%
2/6
Mesquita
Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
3/3
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Chiasson50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Mesquita0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Chiasson 14 UFC fights·Mesquita 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Chiasson
10.9min
Mesquita
4.2min
Combined Distance Rate
41%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
ChiassonWinMesquita
38%
KO
0%
25%
Sub
100%
38%
Dec
0%
8 wins3 KO2 Sub3 Dec
3 Sub3 wins
ChiassonLossMesquita
17%
KO
—
17%
Sub
—
67%
Dec
—
6 losses1 KO1 Sub4 Dec
—
CQ Finish Risk
Chiasson
to knock out
Mesquita
32Elevated
Mesquita
to knock out
Chiasson
27Elevated
Chiasson
to submit
Mesquita
26Elevated
Mesquita
to submit
Chiasson
61Elite
Recent Form
Chiasson
Stat
Mesquita
1.87
3.21 career
↓1.34
SLpMOutput
↓1.26
4.52
5.78 career
2.67
2.76 career
↓0.09
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.63
1.27
0.64 career
3.00
5.21 career
↓2.21
TD AttAtt/15m
—
—
SubAtt/15m
↑0.37
3.57
3.20 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Chiasson—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Ailin PerezW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '26
8 SS (35%)·27 abs·0/2 td·6 td taken·231s ctrl
L
Yana SantosW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '25
54 SS (46%)·65 abs·2/3 td·223s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Ketlen VieiraVeteranW. FW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '25
22 SS (51%)·28 abs·0/4 td·33s ctrl
W
Mayra Bueno SilvaW. BW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 1:58 · Jun '24
50 SS (59%)·46 abs·1/1 td·108s ctrl
W
Pannie KianzadW. BW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:54 · Mar '24
4 SS (40%)·2 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·148s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Irene AldanaCatch Weight Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:21 · Sep '22
39 SS (41%)·37 abs·3/8 td·208s ctrl·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Mesquita—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Melissa MullinsW. BW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:16 · Jun '26
3 SS (30%)·10 abs·1 td taken·12s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Montse RendonW. BW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:07 · Mar '26
18 SS (67%)·0 abs·1/1 td·106s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Irina AlekseevaW. BW Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:14 · Oct '25
36 SS (57%)·6 abs·2/3 td·293s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Sierra Dinwoodie4-0
KO/TKOR2Jun 2025
W
Hope Chase4-2
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Fernanda Araujo2-4
SUBR2Dec 2024
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X