Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
Red Corner
Edson Barboza
“Junior”
24-1432 UFCLast8mo ago
Kickboxer
Declining
5× Title
5× 5R
High Wear
5'11"ht·75"+6"reach·Orthodoxstance·40age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Esteban Ribovics
“El Gringo”
15-37 UFCLast4mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Goes Long
Output Builds Late
5'10"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·3010yrage
Signals3 signals
CQ
VOLATILITYBothBoth fighters absorb at a high rate
KO probability runs above the divisional baseline in matchups like this.
REACH CLIFF
Barboza has a 6" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Barboza's reach is a structural advantage.
AGE GAP
Barboza is 10 years older than Ribovics.
CQ Core Edges
Barboza
-0.54
Ribovics
+1.44
Barboza
0.15
Ribovics
0.09
Barboza
47%
Ribovics
56%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Barboza
66
AverageRibovics
90
Ironclad5 KO lossesKO losses0 KO losses
0.28KD / fight0.14
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Barboza4.14SLpM
+SLpM7.27Ribovics
11.4
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
BarbozaOutput Holds Steady-13% R1→R3
RibovicsOutput Builds Late+171% R1→R3
Finish History
Barboza
KO/TKO ×9
Finish rate (wins)
50%
9/18
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
7/14
Ribovics
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Edge & Exposure
Barboza
ExposureMileage Risk
Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.
Ribovics
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
Opposition Quality
Barboza18–14UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
13–12
Record (25)
-0.7
Str Diff/Min
46%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)-18% step-up
1–7
Record (8)
-2.3
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Ribovics4–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–2
Record (5)
+0.4
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
BarbozaLightweightRibovics
26th
Striking Differential
88th33rd
Grappling Threat
37th35th
Round Win Rate
57th67th
TD Defense
49th45th
Durability
89th41st
Finishing Rate
8thRecent Form
Barboza
Stat
Ribovics
3.774.14 career
↓0.37
SLpMOutput
↓0.33
6.947.27 career
7.364.68 career
⚠↑2.68
SApMAbsorbed
⚠↑1.06
6.895.83 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Barboza50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Ribovics71% distance
Finish 29%Decision 71%
Barboza 32 UFC fights·Ribovics 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Barboza
12.0min
Ribovics
12.1min
Combined Distance Rate
54%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
BarbozaTO KNOCK OUTRibovics
38
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins9
Total UFC wins18
Ribovics's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses3
RibovicsTO KNOCK OUTBarboza
48
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins4
Barboza's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses5
Total UFC losses14
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
BarbozaTO SUBMITRibovics
15
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins18
Ribovics's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses3
RibovicsTO SUBMITBarboza
17
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins4
Barboza's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses14
BarbozaWin MethodRibovics
50%
KO / TKO
25%
0%
Submission
0%
50%
Decision
75%
18 UFC wins · 9 KO · 9 Dec4 UFC wins · 1 KO · 3 Dec
Barboza
Loss Method
Ribovics36%
KO / TKO
0%
14%
Submission
33%
50%
Decision
67%
14 UFC losses · 5 KO · 2 Sub · 7 Dec3 UFC losses · 1 Sub · 2 Dec
Barboza16 stoppages · 14 KO · 2 Sub
R1
7
R2
3
R3
5
R40
R5
1
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOJalin TurnerR1 · 2:24
WKOBilly QuarantilloR1 · 2:37
LKOGiga ChikadzeR3 · 1:44
WKOShane BurgosR3 · 1:16
LKOJustin GaethjeR1 · 2:30
Ribovics2 stoppages · 1 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
1
R30
R40
R50
KO Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LSubMateusz GamrotR2 · 4:19
WKOTerrance McKinneyR1 · 0:37
Historical Context
Barboza — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
10 SS (50%)·39 abs·7s ctrl·2 kd taken
71 SS (59%)·53 abs·230s ctrl
79 SS (33%)·220 abs·4 td taken·17s ctrl
164 SS (51%)·178 abs·3/4 td·1 td taken·184s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken
21 SS (64%)·19 abs·1 kd
16 SS (43%)·34 abs·4 td taken·1 kd taken
Ribovics — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·7 fights
4 SS (19%)·18 abs·4 td taken
122 SS (43%)·118 abs·62s ctrl
147 SS (34%)·135 abs·1 td taken
156 SS (45%)·121 abs·1 kd taken
5 SS (42%)·5 abs·1 kd
115 SS (57%)·56 abs·2/2 td·3 td taken·75s ctrl