Matchup Analysis·Middleweight
Red Corner
Dricus Du Plessis
“Stillknocks”
23-310 UFCLast11mo ago
Kickboxer
4× Title
4× 5R
High Variance
Moderate Wear
6'1"ht·76"reach·Switchstance·327yrage
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
5R
Blue Corner
Kamaru Usman
“The Nigerian Nightmare”
21-419 UFCLast1.1yr ago
Wrestler
Declining
10× Title
11× 5R
Output Builds Late
High Wear
6'0"ht·76"reach·Switchstance·39age
Signals1 signal
AGE GAP
Usman is 7 years older than Plessis.
CQ Core Edges
Plessis
+0.85
Usman
+1.49
Plessis
0.24
Usman
1.84
Plessis
59%
Usman
80%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Plessis
97
IroncladUsman
92
Ironclad0 KO lossesKO losses1 KO loss
0.00KD / fight0.05
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Plessis5.18SLpM
+SLpM4.16Usman
9.3
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
PlessisOutput Builds Late+45% R1→R3
UsmanOutput Builds Late+42% R1→R3
Finish History
Plessis
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
67%
6/9
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Usman
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
31%
5/16
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Edge & Exposure
Plessis
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
EdgeStriking Edge
Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.
ExposureTakedown Vulnerable
Division-low TD defense rate. Opponents with an active takedown game have a clear structural path.
Usman
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
Opposition Quality
Plessis9–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
8–1
Record (9)
+1.6
Str Diff/Min
63%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)-17% step-up
6–1
Record (7)
+1.1
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
3–0
Record (3)
+1.2
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
Usman16–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
14–3
Record (17)
+1.4
Str Diff/Min
29%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)+18% step-up
9–2
Record (11)
+1.2
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
2–0
Record (2)
+2.1
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
PlessisMiddleweightUsman
72nd
Striking Differential
88th77th
Grappling Threat
87th64th
Round Win Rate
94th11th
TD Defense
91st94th
Durability
88th46th
Finishing Rate
8thRecent Form
Plessis
Stat
Usman
3.645.18 career
⚠↓1.54
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.64
2.524.16 career
3.824.33 career
↓0.51
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.44
3.112.67 career
2.624.34 career
⚠↓1.72
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.36
6.696.33 career
0.660.70 career
↓0.04
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Plessis40% distance
Finish 60%Decision 40%
Usman68% distance
Finish 32%Decision 68%
Plessis 10 UFC fights·Usman 19 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Plessis
14.9min
Usman
17.8min
Combined Distance Rate
59%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PlessisTO KNOCK OUTUsman
46
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins9
Usman's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses3
UsmanTO KNOCK OUTPlessis
22
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins16
Plessis's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PlessisTO SUBMITUsman
15
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins9
Usman's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses3
UsmanTO SUBMITPlessis
9
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins16
Plessis's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
PlessisWin MethodUsman
44%
KO / TKO
25%
22%
Submission
6%
33%
Decision
69%
9 UFC wins · 4 KO · 2 Sub · 3 Dec16 UFC wins · 4 KO · 1 Sub · 11 Dec
Plessis
Loss Method
Usman0%
KO / TKO
33%
0%
Submission
0%
100%
Decision
67%
1 UFC loss · 1 Dec3 UFC losses · 1 KO · 2 Dec
Plessis6 stoppages · 4 KO · 2 Sub
R1
1
R2
3
R3
1
R4
1
R50
KO Win
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubIsrael AdesanyaR4 · 3:38
WKORobert WhittakerR2 · 2:23
WKODerek BrunsonR2 · 4:59
WSubDarren TillR3 · 2:43
WKOTrevin GilesR2 · 1:41
Usman6 stoppages · 5 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
2
R3
1
R40
R5
2
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
LKOLeon EdwardsR5 · 4:04
WKOJorge MasvidalR2 · 1:02
WKOGilbert BurnsR3 · 0:34
WKOColby CovingtonR5 · 4:10
WKOSergio MoraesR1 · 2:48
Historical Context
Plessis — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
13 SS (45%)·37 abs·1/1 td·12 td taken·53s ctrl·1 sub att
147 SS (47%)·128 abs·1/2 td·5s ctrl
90 SS (46%)·97 abs·4/9 td·219s ctrl·2 sub att
137 SS (39%)·173 abs·6/11 td·128s ctrl
62 SS (60%)·31 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·57s ctrl·1 kd
71 SS (62%)·37 abs·1/2 td·1 td taken·85s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
Usman — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
41 SS (41%)·44 abs·4/13 td·777s ctrl
36 SS (55%)·38 abs·0/1 td·4 td taken
87 SS (42%)·120 abs·4/15 td·303s ctrl
83 SS (61%)·55 abs·5/12 td·1 td taken·636s ctrl·1 kd taken
123 SS (42%)·107 abs·1/1 td·76s ctrl·2 kd
21 SS (53%)·31 abs·2/2 td·102s ctrl·1 kd
Common Opponents
Sean StricklandSame result
W
Plessis
UD·R5·2025
W
Usman
UD·R3·2017
Khamzat ChimaevSame result
L
Plessis
UD·R5·2025
L
Usman
MD·R3·2023