CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA

Colby Covington lands 3.8 and absorbs 3.1 significant strikes per minute. Output and absorption are close.

Colby Covington's striking output climbs from round 1 to round 3.

Colby Covington's takedown threat ranks in the top 10% of the division. Takedown volume and opponent defense rate both point to a credible wrestling threat.

Colby Covington wins 75% of rounds across 61 scored. Consistently wins rounds by a clear margin.

Colby Covington has 2 KO/TKO losses in 5 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.23 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 74 out of 99, average for the division.

Colby Covington has not fought in 18 months.

Colby Covington is 38 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Chaos”

Colby Covington

17-517 UFC
Wrestler
Form
· 2L
Layoff Risk
7× Title
8× 5R
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'11"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
Last fightLJoaquin Buckley·KO/TKO·R3·1.5yr ago
Fighter Context
12–5UFC·
3KO
·
2Sub
·
7Dec
·
16.9min/fight
·
288UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–5(14 fights)
·
22%finish rate
·
+0.8str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
7–4(11 fights)
·
14%finish rate
·
+0.6str diff/min
vs. Elite Opps
2–0(2 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
+1.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.72
Neutral
62%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.509
Elite
93%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
74
Durable
52%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
75%
Dominant
86%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Colby Covington — 3.81 significant strikes per minute, 38% striking accuracy, absorbs 3.09 strikes per minute.

Covington
Distance Striker
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.81
Str. Accuracy38%
1,099UFC landed/2,856attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.6 vs avg3.09
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / fight0.06
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.23
CQ KO Power
Below Avg1%ile0.09
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
69%
Body
16%
Leg
15%
By Position
Distance80%
/
Clinch10%
/
Ground11%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 117 rounds
Round 215 rounds
Round 315 rounds
Round 47 rounds
Round 57 rounds
Avg. Landed1420172817
Avg. Absorbed1216141915
Avg. Net+2+4+3+9+2
Grappling

Colby Covington — 3.6 takedowns per 15 minutes, 42% takedown accuracy, 0.2 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 68% takedown defense.

Covington
Control Wrestler
·441s ctrlElite Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.64
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.54
TD Accuracy42%
70UFC landed/164attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.20
2UFC wins/3attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense68%
20UFC defended/29opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Rarely Tapped
Finishing

Colby Covington — 12 UFC wins (3 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 7 decision), 42% finish rate.

Finish Rate
42%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
5UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 12
Submission2 / 12
Decision7 / 12
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 5
Submission1 / 5
Decision2 / 5
Loss Pattern
2 of 5 losses by finish in R3+
Versatile finisher. 3 KOs and 2 subs across multiple rounds
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3R4R5
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
18%
3 of 17 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
3.3pts
W7 dec
2.3pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
9UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 68 more in second half of career
0+51+103+154+206avg↵20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

17 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.03.2R1R2R3
R1n=17
R2n=15
R3n=15
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
4.0
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.4
3.3
3.1
Diff
+0.4
+0.7
+0.7

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-39%L3
-10%60%130%WWLWLWLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Covington — 17 UFC Fights

Colby Covington — UFC fight record: 12 wins, 5 losses.

Result
Method
17 fights
L
Joaquin BuckleyVeteran
TITLEWW
KO/TKO R3 · 4:42Dec '24
-38
·37 SS (30%)·75 abs·1/8 td·220s ctrl
L
Leon EdwardsVeteran
TITLEWW
U-DEC R5Dec '23
-13
·44 SS (35%)·57 abs·2/10 td·2 td taken·304s ctrl
↵ 21mo layoff
W
Jorge MasvidalVeteran
WW
U-DEC R5Mar '22
+27
·94 SS (47%)·67 abs·6/15 td·974s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteran
TITLEWW
U-DEC R5Nov '21
-16
·107 SS (38%)·123 abs·0/11 td·1 td taken·114s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Tyron WoodleyVeteran
TITLEWW
KO/TKO R5 · 1:19Sep '20
+44
·78 SS (55%)·34 abs·3/8 td·1 td taken·721s ctrl
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteran
TITLEWW
KO/TKO R5 · 4:10Dec '19
-32
·143 SS (36%)·175 abs·2 kd taken
W
Robbie LawlerVeteran
TITLEWW
U-DEC R5Aug '19
+101
·179 SS (35%)·78 abs·10/18 td·522s ctrl
W
Rafael Dos AnjosElite
TITLEWW
U-DEC R5Jun '18
-6
·99 SS (33%)·105 abs·7/18 td·3 td taken·756s ctrl
W
Demian MaiaElite
WW
U-DEC R3Oct '17
+35
·88 SS (28%)·53 abs·106s ctrl
W
Dong Hyun KimVeteran
WW
U-DEC R3Jun '17
+28
·47 SS (45%)·19 abs·8/15 td·2 td taken·609s ctrl
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Chaos”

Colby Covington

17-517 UFC
Form
2L
5'11"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
Last fightLJoaquin Buckley·KO/TKO·1.5yr ago
Fighter Context
12–5UFC·
3KO
·
2Sub
·
7Dec
·
16.9min/fight
·
288UFC min
vs. Winning Record9–5
vs. Veterans (8+ W)7–4
vs. Elite (15+ W)2–0
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.72
62%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.509
93%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
74
52%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
75%
86%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Covington
Welterweight avg
Distance Striker
Sig. Strikes / Min3.81
Str. Accuracy38%
1,099UFC landed/2,856attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.6 vs avg3.09
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / Fight0.06
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.23
CQ KO Power
Below Avg1%ile0.09
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
69%
Body
16%
Leg
15%
By Position
Dist80%
Clinch10%
Ground11%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=17
R2
n=15
R3
n=15
R4
n=7
R5
n=7
Landed1420172817
Absorbed1216141915
Net+2+4+3+9+2
Grappling
Covington
Welterweight avg
Control Wrestler
441s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.64
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.54
TD Accuracy42%
70UFC landed/164attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.20
2UFC wins/3attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense68%
20UFC defended/29opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 7 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
42%
Average
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
2Sub
7Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
1Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
18%3 of 17 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
3.3pts
W7 dec
2.3pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
9UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.03.2R1R2R3
R1n=17
R2n=15
R3n=15
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
4.0
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.4
3.3
3.1
Diff
+0.4
+0.7
+0.7

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Covington — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Joaquin BuckleyVeteranTITLEWW
KO/TKO·R3·Dec '24
37 SS (30%)·75 abs·1/8 td·220s ctrl
L
Leon EdwardsVeteranTITLEWW
U-DEC·R5·Dec '23
44 SS (35%)·57 abs·2/10 td·2 td taken·304s ctrl
W
Jorge MasvidalVeteranWW
U-DEC·R5·Mar '22
94 SS (47%)·67 abs·6/15 td·974s ctrl·1 sub
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteranTITLEWW
U-DEC·R5·Nov '21
107 SS (38%)·123 abs·0/11 td·1 td taken·114s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Tyron WoodleyVeteranTITLEWW
KO/TKO·R5·Sep '20
78 SS (55%)·34 abs·3/8 td·1 td taken·721s ctrl
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteranTITLEWW
KO/TKO·R5·Dec '19
143 SS (36%)·175 abs·2 kd taken
W
Robbie LawlerVeteranTITLEWW
U-DEC·R5·Aug '19
179 SS (35%)·78 abs·10/18 td·522s ctrl
W
Rafael Dos AnjosEliteTITLEWW
U-DEC·R5·Jun '18
99 SS (33%)·105 abs·7/18 td·3 td taken·756s ctrl
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X