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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
Matchup Analysis·Middleweight Bout
↑UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland6 / 13
←Green vs StephensAlvarez vs Amosov→
Red Corner

Ateba Gautier

“The Storm”
10-14 UFCLast3mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Hot Streak
6'4"ht·81"+2"reach·Switchstance·2411yrage
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Ozzy Diaz

10-32 UFCLast1.2yr ago
KO Artist
6'4"ht·79"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Gautier  88%
13%  Diaz
Polymarket
◈
Uneven DataDiaz has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
OutcomeElevated Finish Risk
Uneven Data
StrikingGautierDominant
Decision—
Grappling—
KO Adv.GautierDominant
Sub Adv.—
Durability—
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Diaz is 11 years older than Gautier.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Gautier
Gautier
+1.51
Diaz
-0.79
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
—
Gautier
—
Diaz
—
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
—
Gautier
—
Diaz
—
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Gautier
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Diaz
38
Low
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Gautier4.44SLpM
+
SLpM6.44Diaz
10.9
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
—
GautierEarly Finisher
Diaz—
Finish History
Gautier
KO/TKO ×3
Finish rate (wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Diaz
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/1
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
1/1
Fighter Context
Gautier·UFC 4-0·3 KO · 1 Dec
Diaz·UFC 1-1·1 Dec·1 KO loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Pre-UFC9-2
Win method
7 KO/TKO2 Sub
Loss method
2 KO/TKO
Avg opponent wins4.1
Total fight time43.8 min
Early finish rate90%
Edge & Exposure
Gautier
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Diaz

Insufficient UFC sample for a fighter read.

Division Percentile Ranks
GautierMiddleweightDiaz
85th
Striking Differential
21st
47th
Grappling Threat
5th
—
Round Win Rate
—
95th
TD Defense
—
84th
Durability
20th
54th
Finishing Rate
—
Recent Form
Gautier
Stat
Diaz
3.314.44 career
⚠↓1.13
SLpMOutput
—
3.422.93 career
↑0.49
SApMAbsorbed
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Gautier5 fightsDiaz3 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.44
6.44
Str. Accuracy
48%
50%
Sig. Absorbed / min
2.93
7.23
Str. Defense
52%
59%
CQ KO Power
5.75
—
GautierStrike DistributionDiaz
By Target
81%
Head
85%
18%
Body
10%
2%
Leg
5%
By Position
62%
Distance
97%
16%
Clinch
3%
22%
Ground
0%
Sig Strikes
Gautier
22avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
5.3 min
Goes Dist
25%
Diaz
72avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
8.7 min
Goes Dist
50%
Historical Context
Gautier — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·4 fights
W
Andrey Pulyaev
U-DEC
R3
Jan '26
34 SS (30%)·59 abs·2 kd
W
Tre'ston Vines
KO/TKO
R11:41
Oct '25
6 SS (50%)·0 abs·1/1 td·1 kd
W
Robert Valentin
KO/TKO
R11:10
Jul '25
19 SS (51%)·2 abs·1 kd
W
Jose Daniel Medina
KO/TKO
R13:32
Mar '25
28 SS (56%)·17 abs·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WYura Naito
DWCSKO/TKOR2Sep 2024
View full fight log →
Diaz — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Djorden Santos
U-DEC
R3
Mar '25
135 SS (52%)·131 abs·1 td taken
L
Zhang Mingyang
KO/TKO
R12:25
Nov '24
9 SS (75%)·17 abs·1 kd taken
Tracked Fights·1 fight
LJoe Pyfer
DWCSKO/TKOR2Aug 2022
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Bevon Lewis7-4
KO/TKOR2May 2024
W
Chuck Campbell6-3
KO/TKOR1Mar 2024
W
Bruno Assis12-5
KO/TKOR1Mar 2022
View full fight log →
Matchup·MW·3R
↑UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
6/13←→
Red Corner

Ateba Gautier

“The Storm”
10-14 UFC3mo ago
6'4"ht81"+2"reachSwitch24 yrs
VS·MW·3R
Blue Corner

Ozzy Diaz

10-32 UFC1.2yr ago
6'4"ht79"reachOrthodox35 yrs
Polymarket
Gautier 88%13% Diaz
◈
Uneven Data Diaz has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Elevated Finish RiskUneven Data
StrikingGautierDominant
Decision—
Grappling—
Durability—
KO Adv.GautierDominant
Sub Adv.—
Signals
1
AGE GAPDiaz is 11 years older than Gautier.
Fighter Context
Gautier·UFC 4-0·3 KO · 1 Dec

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Diaz·UFC 1-1·1 Dec·1 KO loss
Pre-UFC9-2
Win method
7 KO/TKO2 Sub
Loss method
2 KO/TKO
Avg opponent wins4.1
Total fight time43.8 min
Early finish rate90%
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Diaz is 11 years older than Gautier.

CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Gautier
Gautier+1.51
Diaz-0.79
CQGrappling
—
Gautier—
Diaz—
CQDecision
—
Gautier—
Diaz—
CQDurability
—
Gautier—
Diaz38Low
CQCardio
—
GautierEarly Finisher
Diaz—
CQPace Index
Extreme
Gautier4.44SLpM
+
Diaz6.44SLpM
10.9
LowModHighExtreme
Finish History
Gautier
KO/TKO ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Diaz
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/1
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
1/1
Division Percentile Ranks
MW
GautierDiaz
85thStriking Diff21st
47thGrappling5th
—Round Win Rate—
95thTD Defense—
84thDurability20th
54thFinish Rate—
Recent Form
Gautier
Stat
Diaz
3.31
4.44 career
↓1.13
SLpMOutput
—
3.42
2.93 career
↑0.49
SApMAbsorbed
—
Stat Breakdown
Gautier
5 fights
| div avg
Diaz
3 fights
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.44
6.44
Str. Accuracy
48%
50%
Sig. Absorbed / Min
2.93
7.23
Str. Defense
52%
59%
CQ KO Power
5.75
—
Strike Distribution
By Target
81%
Head
85%
18%
Body
10%
2%
Leg
5%
By Position
62%
Distance
97%
16%
Clinch
3%
22%
Ground
0%
Sig Strikes
Gautier
22avg landed
Pulyaev
34
Vines
6
Valentin
19
Medina
28
Avg Fight Time
5.3 min
Goes Dist
25%
Diaz
72avg landed
Santos
135
Mingyang
9
Avg Fight Time
8.7 min
Goes Dist
50%
Historical Context
Gautier—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·4 fights
W
Andrey Pulyaev
U-DEC · R3 · Jan '26
34 SS (30%)·59 abs·2 kd
W
Tre'ston Vines
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:41 · Oct '25
6 SS (50%)·0 abs·1/1 td·1 kd
W
Robert Valentin
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:10 · Jul '25
19 SS (51%)·2 abs·1 kd
W
Jose Daniel Medina
KO/TKO · R1 · 3:32 · Mar '25
28 SS (56%)·17 abs·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WYura Naito
DWCSKO/TKOR2Sep 2024
View full fight log →
Diaz—Fight History
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Djorden Santos
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
135 SS (52%)·131 abs·1 td taken
L
Zhang Mingyang
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:25 · Nov '24
9 SS (75%)·17 abs·1 kd taken
Tracked Fights·1 fight
LJoe Pyfer
DWCSKO/TKOR2Aug 2022
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Bevon Lewis7-4
KO/TKOR2May 2024
W
Chuck Campbell6-3
KO/TKOR1Mar 2024
W
Bruno Assis12-5
KO/TKOR1Mar 2022
View full fight log →