Matchup Analysis·Middleweight
Red Corner
25-41 UFCLast3mo ago
Decision Fighter
5'11"+2"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Jacob Malkoun
“Mamba”
10-39 UFCLast6mo ago
Complete Fighter
5'9"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
◈
Uneven DataVagaev has 1 UFC fight on record.
Signals1 signal
WC DEBUT
Vagaev is making their UFC debut at Middleweight, moving up from Welterweight.
CQ Core Edges
Vagaev
-0.40
Malkoun
+2.19
Vagaev
Too few fights
Malkoun
Opponent data thin
Vagaev
Too few rounds
Malkoun
82%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Vagaev
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Malkoun
73
DurableCQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Vagaev1.80SLpM
+SLpM4.55Malkoun
6.3
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
VagaevToo few fights
MalkounOutput Drops Late-32% R1→R3
Finish History
Vagaev
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/1
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Malkoun
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
17%
1/6
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Fighter Context
Vagaev·UFC 1-0·1 Dec
Malkoun·UFC 6-3·1 KO · 5 Dec·1 KO loss · 1 Dec loss
Pre-UFC23-4
Win method
4 KO/TKO1 Sub18 Dec
Loss method
3 KO/TKO1 Dec
Avg opponent wins15.5
Wins finished5 of 23
Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.
Edge & Exposure
Vagaev
Insufficient UFC sample for a fighter read.
Malkoun
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
ExposureTakedown Vulnerable
Division-low TD defense rate. Opponents with an active takedown game have a clear structural path.
Opposition Quality
Vagaev1–0UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Malkoun6–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–1
Record (6)
+2.0
Str Diff/Min
20%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
VagaevMiddleweightMalkoun
—
Striking Differential
94th—
Grappling Threat
93rd—
Round Win Rate
96th—
TD Defense
9th—
Durability
63rd—
Finishing Rate
2nd— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Vagaev
Stat
Malkoun
—
SLpMOutput
↑0.30
4.854.55 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.34
2.022.36 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓6.68
5.8912.57 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑0.36
1.260.90 career
Stat Breakdown
Grappling
Vagaev1 fightMalkoun
Div avgTD Landed / 15 Min
4.00
5.81
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY
10.00
12.57
TD Accuracy
40%
40%
TD Defense
71%
33%
Sub Attempts / 15 Min
0.00
0.90
Ctrl Time / Fight
466s
316s
Threat Matrix
VagaevMalkoun
2.68Adj. TD Threat1.68
0.00Sub Att / 15min0.90
Takedowns
Vagaev
4avg landed / fight
Malkoun
4avg landed / fight
UFC Grappling Totals
Vagaev
Malkoun
Historical Context
Vagaev — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·1 fight
27 SS (39%)·33 abs·4/10 td·2 td taken·466s ctrl
Pre-UFC Fights·27 fights
W
Albert Tumenov23-5
DECFeb 2025
W
Edil Esengulov24-5
DECMar 2024
W
Michel Prazeres27-4
DECSep 2023
L
Vitaly Slipenko15-4
KO/TKOR2Dec 2022
W
Ustarmagomed Gadzhidaudov14-5
DECMar 2022
Malkoun — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
36 SS (44%)·32 abs·3/3 td·137s ctrl
117 SS (65%)·27 abs·2/8 td·316s ctrl·1 kd·3 sub att
20 SS (50%)·13 abs·0/3 td·1 td taken·32s ctrl
28 SS (72%)·2 abs·1/3 td·1 td taken·219s ctrl
83 SS (51%)·34 abs·9/13 td·457s ctrl
33 SS (60%)·45 abs·7/14 td·2 td taken·429s ctrl