Fighter Profile›Lightweight

“The Highlight”

Justin Gaethje

27-515 UFC

Pressure Fighter

Form

· 2W

Aging Threat

8× Title

11× 5R

High Wear

5'11"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age

Last fightWPaddy Pimblett·U-DEC·R5·3mo ago

Fighter Context

10–5UFC·

6KO

0Sub

4Dec

12.1min/fight

182UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

9–5(14 fights)

67%finish rate

-0.1str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

6–4(10 fights)

100%finish rate

+0.1str diff/min

vs. Elite Opps

3–2(5 fights)

100%finish rate

+0.4str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.57

Deficit

25%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.043

Average

28%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

⚠ TD accuracy based on a small number of career attempts. May shift with more data.

Durability

Average

28%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

48%

Average

40%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Gaethje

Blitzer

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min6.48

Str. Accuracy58%

1,180UFC landed/2,016attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+2.8 vs avg7.05

Str. Defense51%

KD Rate / fight0.60

9UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.20

CQ KO Power

Above Avg60%ile0.76

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

65%

Body

11%

Leg

24%

By Position

Distance84%

Clinch13%

Ground4%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 115 rounds	Round 211 rounds	Round 38 rounds	Round 44 rounds	Round 53 rounds
Avg. Landed	27	31	32	24	27
Avg. Absorbed	30	31	34	31	32
Avg. Net	-3	0	-1	-7	-5

Grappling

Gaethje

Non-Factor

·47s ctrlAverage Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.33

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.82

TD Accuracy40%

4UFC landed/10attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.00

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense74%

20UFC defended/27opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Sub Vulnerable

Finishing

Finish Rate

60%

Strong Finisher

div avg 52%

How They Lose

5UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO6 / 10

Submission0 / 10

Decision4 / 10

KD → Finish

4/8Moderate

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO3 / 5

Submission2 / 5

Decision0 / 5

Loss Pattern

3 of 5 losses by finish in R3+

Explosive starter. 5 of 6 KOs inside R1-R2

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

80%

4 of 5 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

1.4pts

W4 dec

—

L0 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

3UD

0SD

1MD

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 79 vs 79 first half

15 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=15

R2n=11

R3n=8

Outputsig strikes / min

6.1

7.1

6.6

Absorbedsig strikes / min

6.8

7.1

6.9

Diff

-0.7

+0.0

-0.3

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▲Absorbed+57%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Gaethje — 15 UFC Fights

Result

Method

15 fights

Paddy Pimblett

TITLE

U-DEC R5Jan '26

-12

·144 SS (57%)·156 abs·3/3 td·355s ctrl·2 kd landed

Rafael Fiziev

U-DEC R3Mar '25

·72 SS (54%)·68 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·92s ctrl·1 kd landed

Max HollowayElite

KO/TKO R5 · 4:59Apr '24

-78

·103 SS (52%)·181 abs·1 kd taken

Dustin PoirierElite

KO/TKO R2 · 1:00Jul '23

+14

·41 SS (62%)·27 abs·1 kd landed

Rafael Fiziev

M-DEC R3Mar '23

·103 SS (60%)·97 abs·1/3 td·5s ctrl

Charles OliveiraElite

TITLE

SUB R1 · 3:22May '22

-9

·21 SS (64%)·30 abs·13s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 kd taken

Michael Chandler

U-DEC R3Nov '21

+13

·116 SS (63%)·103 abs·1 td taken·97s ctrl·1 kd landed

Khabib NurmagomedovVeteran

TITLE

SUB R2 · 1:34Oct '20

·29 SS (64%)·26 abs·2 td taken·14s ctrl

Tony FergusonElite

TITLE

KO/TKO R5 · 3:39May '20

·143 SS (73%)·136 abs

Donald CerroneElite

TITLE

KO/TKO R1 · 4:18Sep '19

+23

·40 SS (66%)·17 abs·1 kd landed

All Fighters

Lightweight

“The Highlight”

Justin Gaethje

27-515 UFC

Form

5'11"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age

Last fightWPaddy Pimblett·U-DEC·3mo ago

Fighter Context

10–5UFC·

6KO

0Sub

4Dec

12.1min/fight

182UFC min

vs. Winning Record9–5

vs. Veterans (8+ W)6–4

vs. Elite (15+ W)3–2

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.57

25%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.043

28%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

28%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

48%

40%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Gaethje

Lightweight avg

Blitzer

Sig. Strikes / Min6.48

Str. Accuracy58%

1,180UFC landed/2,016attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+2.8 vs avg7.05

Str. Defense51%

KD Rate / Fight0.60

9UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.20

CQ KO Power

Above Avg60%ile0.76

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

65%

Body

11%

Leg

24%

By Position

Dist84%

Clinch13%

Ground4%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=15	R2 n=11	R3 n=8	R4 n=4	R5 n=3
Landed	27	31	32	24	27
Absorbed	30	31	34	31	32
Net	-3	0	-1	-7	-5

Grappling

Gaethje

Lightweight avg

Non-Factor

47s ctrlAverage Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.33

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.82

TD Accuracy40%

4UFC landed/10attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.00

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense74%

20UFC defended/27opp. attempts

Sub Defense2 loss / 3 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

60%

Strong Finisher

Win Methods

6KO/TKO

0Sub

4Dec

Loss Methods

3KO/TKO

2Sub

0Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

80%4 of 5 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

1.4pts

W4 dec

—

L0 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

3UD

0SD

1MD

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=15

R2n=11

R3n=8

Outputsig strikes / min

6.1

7.1

6.6

Absorbedsig strikes / min

6.8

7.1

6.9

Diff

-0.7

+0.0

-0.3

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Gaethje — UFC Fight Log

Paddy PimblettTITLE

U-DEC·R5·Jan '26

144 SS (57%)·156 abs·3/3 td·355s ctrl·2 kd

Rafael Fiziev

U-DEC·R3·Mar '25

72 SS (54%)·68 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·92s ctrl·1 kd

Max HollowayElite

KO/TKO·R5·Apr '24

103 SS (52%)·181 abs·1 kd taken

Dustin PoirierElite

KO/TKO·R2·Jul '23

41 SS (62%)·27 abs·1 kd

Rafael Fiziev

M-DEC·R3·Mar '23

103 SS (60%)·97 abs·1/3 td·5s ctrl

Charles OliveiraEliteTITLE

SUB·R1·May '22

21 SS (64%)·30 abs·13s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken

Michael Chandler

U-DEC·R3·Nov '21

116 SS (63%)·103 abs·1 td taken·97s ctrl·1 kd

Khabib NurmagomedovVeteranTITLE

SUB·R2·Oct '20

29 SS (64%)·26 abs·2 td taken·14s ctrl

Round 115 rounds

Round 211 rounds

Round 38 rounds

Round 44 rounds

Round 53 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-3

-1

-7

-5

n=15

n=11

n=8

n=4

n=3

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-3

-1

-7

-5