Fighter Profile›Welterweight

“El Cucuy”

Tony Ferguson

26-1124 UFC

Pressure Fighter

Form

· 5L

Layoff Risk

4× Title

4× 5R

High Variance

Early Chaos

High Wear

5'11"ht·76"reach·Orthodoxstance·42age

Last fightLMichael Chiesa·SUB·R1·1.8yr ago

Fighter Context

15–9UFC·

5KO

6Sub

4Dec

11.3min/fight

272UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

10–7(17 fights)

70%finish rate

+0.9str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

7–5(12 fights)

71%finish rate

+1.1str diff/min

vs. Elite Opps

2–2(4 fights)

100%finish rate

+1.1str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+0.54

Neutral

57%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.045

Passive

20%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Durable

72%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

49%

Average

40%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Ferguson

Blitzer

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min4.91

Str. Accuracy45%

1,332UFC landed/2,905attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+0.7 vs avg4.37

Str. Defense55%

KD Rate / fight0.13

3UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.25

CQ KO Power

Below Avg8%ile0.23

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

60%

Body

19%

Leg

21%

By Position

Distance91%

Clinch2%

Ground7%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 124 rounds	Round 218 rounds	Round 312 rounds	Round 43 rounds	Round 52 rounds
Avg. Landed	22	24	19	29	29
Avg. Absorbed	22	18	18	24	30
Avg. Net	+1	+6	0	+5	-1

Grappling

Ferguson·20s ctrlPassive Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.39

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.10

TD Accuracy35%

7UFC landed/20attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.90

6UFC wins/16attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense66%

39UFC defended/59opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Holds Ground

Finishing

Finish Rate

73%

Strong Finisher

div avg 53%

How They Lose

9UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO5 / 15

Submission6 / 15

Decision4 / 15

KD → Finish

2/3Strong

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 9

Submission3 / 9

Decision4 / 9

Loss Pattern

Mixed

2 early · 3 late · 4 dec across 9 losses

Fast and versatile. 10 of 11 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

1.7pts

W4 dec

3.3pts

L4 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

7UD

1SD

0MD

13%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

Div. change

sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 34 more in second half of career

24 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=24

R2n=18

R3n=12

Outputsig strikes / min

4.8

5.4

3.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.7

4.0

3.7

Diff

+0.1

+1.4

+0.1

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Str. Diff-0.35 idxL3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Ferguson — 24 UFC Fights

Result

Method

24 fights

Michael ChiesaVeteran

SUB R1 · 3:44Aug '24

·10 SS (56%)·4 abs·1 td taken

Paddy Pimblett

U-DEC R3Dec '23

-44

·62 SS (59%)·106 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken

King GreenVeteran

SUB R3 · 4:54Jul '23

-83

·54 SS (44%)·137 abs·0/3 td·13s ctrl

Nate DiazElite

TITLE

SUB R4 · 2:52Sep '22

-21

·80 SS (47%)·101 abs·1/3 td·8s ctrl

Michael Chandler

KO/TKO R2 · 0:17May '22

-7

·20 SS (40%)·27 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken

Beneil DariushVeteran

U-DEC R3May '21

-8

·15 SS (44%)·23 abs·3 td taken·5s ctrl·1 sub att

Charles OliveiraElite

U-DEC R3Dec '20

-22

·19 SS (45%)·41 abs·3 td taken·5s ctrl

Justin Gaethje

TITLE

KO/TKO R5 · 3:39May '20

-7

·136 SS (46%)·143 abs

Donald CerroneElite

KO/TKO R2 · 5:00Jun '19

+36

·104 SS (52%)·68 abs·1 td taken

Anthony PettisVeteran

KO/TKO R2 · 5:00Oct '18

+69

·114 SS (59%)·45 abs·1 kd taken

All Fighters

Welterweight

“El Cucuy”

Tony Ferguson

26-1124 UFC

Form

5'11"ht·76"reach·Orthodoxstance·42age

Last fightLMichael Chiesa·SUB·1.8yr ago

Fighter Context

15–9UFC·

5KO

6Sub

4Dec

11.3min/fight

272UFC min

vs. Winning Record10–7

vs. Veterans (8+ W)7–5

vs. Elite (15+ W)2–2

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+0.54

57%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.045

20%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

72%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

49%

40%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Ferguson

Welterweight avg

Blitzer

Sig. Strikes / Min4.91

Str. Accuracy45%

1,332UFC landed/2,905attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+0.7 vs avg4.37

Str. Defense55%

KD Rate / Fight0.13

3UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.25

CQ KO Power

Below Avg8%ile0.23

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

60%

Body

19%

Leg

21%

By Position

Dist91%

Clinch2%

Ground7%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=24	R2 n=18	R3 n=12	R4 n=3	R5 n=2
Landed	22	24	19	29	29
Absorbed	22	18	18	24	30
Net	+1	+6	0	+5	-1

Grappling

Ferguson

Welterweight avg

20s ctrlPassive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.39

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.10

TD Accuracy35%

7UFC landed/20attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.90

6UFC wins/16attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense66%

39UFC defended/59opp. attempts

Sub Defense3 loss / 8 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

73%

Strong Finisher

Win Methods

5KO/TKO

6Sub

4Dec

Loss Methods

2KO/TKO

3Sub

4Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

1.7pts

W4 dec

3.3pts

L4 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

7UD

1SD

0MD

13%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=24

R2n=18

R3n=12

Outputsig strikes / min

4.8

5.4

3.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.7

4.0

3.7

Diff

+0.1

+1.4

+0.1

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Ferguson — UFC Fight Log

Michael ChiesaVeteran

SUB·R1·Aug '24

10 SS (56%)·4 abs·1 td taken

Paddy Pimblett

U-DEC·R3·Dec '23

62 SS (59%)·106 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken

King GreenVeteran

SUB·R3·Jul '23

54 SS (44%)·137 abs·0/3 td·13s ctrl

Nate DiazEliteTITLE

SUB·R4·Sep '22

80 SS (47%)·101 abs·1/3 td·8s ctrl

Michael Chandler

KO/TKO·R2·May '22

20 SS (40%)·27 abs·1 td taken·1 kd taken

Beneil DariushVeteran

U-DEC·R3·May '21

15 SS (44%)·23 abs·3 td taken·5s ctrl·1 sub

Charles OliveiraElite

U-DEC·R3·Dec '20

19 SS (45%)·41 abs·3 td taken·5s ctrl

Justin GaethjeTITLE

KO/TKO·R5·May '20

136 SS (46%)·143 abs

Round 124 rounds

Round 218 rounds

Round 312 rounds

Round 43 rounds

Round 52 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-1

n=24

n=18

n=12

n=3

n=2

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-1