Fighter Profile›Welterweight

“The Celtic Kid”

Jake Matthews

22-823 UFC

Balanced

Form

Moderate Wear

5'11"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age

Last fightLNeil Magny·SUB·R3·7mo ago

Fighter Context

15–8UFC·

2KO

6Sub

7Dec

11.3min/fight

261UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

8–7(15 fights)

63%finish rate

+0.3str diff/min

vs. Elite Opps

1–1(2 fights)

0%finish rate

+1.1str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+0.72

Neutral

61%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.197

Strong

65%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Ironclad

97%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

61%

Strong

71%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Matthews

Distance Striker

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min3.34

Str. Accuracy43%

870UFC landed/1,983attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−1.1 vs avg2.62

Str. Defense60%

KD Rate / fight0.22

5UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.17

CQ KO Power

Below Avg35%ile0.57

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

71%

Body

18%

Leg

11%

By Position

Distance71%

Clinch8%

Ground22%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 123 rounds	Round 219 rounds	Round 315 rounds
Avg. Landed	15	17	14
Avg. Absorbed	13	12	11
Avg. Net	+2	+5	+2

Grappling

Matthews

Sub Hunter

·165s ctrlActive Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.44

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.45

TD Accuracy41%

25UFC landed/60attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80

6UFC wins/13attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense64%

25UFC defended/39opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Holds Ground

Finishing

Finish Rate

53%

Average

div avg 53%

How They Lose

8UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 15

Submission6 / 15

Decision7 / 15

KD → Finish

1/4Low

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 8

Submission4 / 8

Decision3 / 8

Loss Pattern

Mixed

2 early · 3 late · 3 dec across 8 losses

Fast and versatile. 6 of 8 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

33%

2 of 6 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

2.2pts

W6 dec

1.2pts

L3 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

8UD

2SD

0MD

20%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

Div. change

sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 14 more in second half of career

23 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=23

R2n=19

R3n=15

Outputsig strikes / min

3.3

3.6

3.1

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.7

2.5

Diff

+0.5

+1.1

+0.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▲TD Acc+26%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Matthews — 23 UFC Fights

Result

Method

23 fights

Neil MagnyElite

SUB R3 · 3:08Sep '25

-13

·18 SS (41%)·31 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken·283s ctrl·3 sub att

Chidi Njokuani

SUB R1 · 1:09Jul '25

-2

·3 SS (43%)·5 abs·1/1 td·29s ctrl·1 sub att

Francisco Prado

U-DEC R3Feb '25

·68 SS (37%)·59 abs·1 td taken·40s ctrl

Phil Rowe

U-DEC R3Jun '24

+32

·66 SS (40%)·34 abs·1/1 td·184s ctrl

Michael Morales

U-DEC R3Nov '23

-27

·57 SS (38%)·84 abs·0/1 td

Darrius Flowers

SUB R2 · 2:37Jul '23

+24

·60 SS (59%)·36 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·75s ctrl·1 sub att

Matthew Semelsberger

U-DEC R3Dec '22

-13

·32 SS (36%)·45 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·102s ctrl·3 kd taken·1 sub att

Andre Fialho

KO/TKO R2 · 2:24Jun '22

+29

·47 SS (53%)·18 abs·1 kd landed

↵ 15mo layoff

Sean Brady

SUB R3 · 3:28Mar '21

-16

·21 SS (25%)·37 abs·1 td taken

Diego SanchezElite

U-DEC R3Sep '20

+47

·72 SS (49%)·25 abs·1/2 td·292s ctrl·1 kd landed

All Fighters

Welterweight

“The Celtic Kid”

Jake Matthews

22-823 UFC

Form

5'11"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age

Last fightLNeil Magny·SUB·7mo ago

Fighter Context

15–8UFC·

2KO

6Sub

7Dec

11.3min/fight

261UFC min

vs. Winning Record8–7

vs. Elite (15+ W)1–1

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+0.72

61%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.197

65%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

97%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

61%

71%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Matthews

Welterweight avg

Distance Striker

Sig. Strikes / Min3.34

Str. Accuracy43%

870UFC landed/1,983attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−1.1 vs avg2.62

Str. Defense60%

KD Rate / Fight0.22

5UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.17

CQ KO Power

Below Avg35%ile0.57

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

71%

Body

18%

Leg

11%

By Position

Dist71%

Clinch8%

Ground22%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=23	R2 n=19	R3 n=15
Landed	15	17	14
Absorbed	13	12	11
Net	+2	+5	+2

Grappling

Matthews

Welterweight avg

Sub Hunter

165s ctrlActive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.44

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.45

TD Accuracy41%

25UFC landed/60attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80

6UFC wins/13attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense64%

25UFC defended/39opp. attempts

Sub Defense4 loss / 9 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

53%

Average

Win Methods

2KO/TKO

6Sub

7Dec

Loss Methods

1KO/TKO

4Sub

3Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

33%2 of 6 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.2pts

W6 dec

1.2pts

L3 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

8UD

2SD

0MD

20%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=23

R2n=19

R3n=15

Outputsig strikes / min

3.3

3.6

3.1

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.7

2.5

Diff

+0.5

+1.1

+0.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Matthews — UFC Fight Log

Neil MagnyElite

SUB·R3·Sep '25

18 SS (41%)·31 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken·283s ctrl·3 sub

Chidi Njokuani

SUB·R1·Jul '25

3 SS (43%)·5 abs·1/1 td·29s ctrl·1 sub

Francisco Prado

U-DEC·R3·Feb '25

68 SS (37%)·59 abs·1 td taken·40s ctrl

Phil Rowe

U-DEC·R3·Jun '24

66 SS (40%)·34 abs·1/1 td·184s ctrl

Michael Morales

U-DEC·R3·Nov '23

57 SS (38%)·84 abs·0/1 td

Darrius Flowers

SUB·R2·Jul '23

60 SS (59%)·36 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·75s ctrl·1 sub

Matthew Semelsberger

U-DEC·R3·Dec '22

32 SS (36%)·45 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·102s ctrl·3 kd taken·1 sub

Andre Fialho

KO/TKO·R2·Jun '22

47 SS (53%)·18 abs·1 kd

Round 123 rounds

Round 219 rounds

Round 315 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

n=23

n=19

n=15

Landed

Absorbed

Net