CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA
All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Semi The Jedi”

Matthew Semelsberger

11-811 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 4L
Declining
Moderate Wear
6'1"ht·75"reach·Switchstance·33age
Last fightLCharles Radtke·KO/TKO·R1·1.5yr ago
Fighter Context
5–6UFC·
2KO
·
0Sub
·
3Dec
·
13.2min/fight
·
119UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–5(7 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
-1.6str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.47
Deficit
28%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.192
Average
63%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

⚠ TD accuracy based on a small number of career attempts. May shift with more data.

Durability
60
Average
35%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
44%
Passive
29%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Semelsberger
Distance Striker
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.77
Str. Accuracy42%
449UFC landed/1,045attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+0.5 vs avg4.24
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / fight0.91
10UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.09
CQ KO Power
Elite97%ile2.23
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
65%
Body
17%
Leg
19%
By Position
Distance80%
/
Clinch8%
/
Ground12%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 111 rounds
Round 28 rounds
Round 38 rounds
Avg. Landed142018
Avg. Absorbed142321
Avg. Net0-4-3
Grappling
Semelsberger
Control Wrestler
·112s ctrlActive Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.01
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.77
TD Accuracy57%
8UFC landed/14attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
0UFC wins/3attempted
Defense
TD Defense45%
16UFC defended/35opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing
Finish Rate
40%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
6UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 5
Submission0 / 5
Decision3 / 5
KD → Finish
2/7Low
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 6
Submission0 / 6
Decision4 / 6
Loss Pattern
Outscored
4 of 6 losses by decision
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
40%
4 of 10 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.8pts
W3 dec
2.0pts
L4 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
6UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
14%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 9 less in second half of career
0+34+68+102+136avg20202021202220232024

11 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.62.03.5R1R2R3
R1n=11
R2n=8
R3n=8
Outputsig strikes / min
3.6
4.0
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.7
4.7
4.4
Diff
-0.1
-0.7
-0.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-57%L3
-8%61%131%WWLWLLLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Semelsberger — 11 UFC Fights
Result
Method
11 fights
L
Charles Radtke
KO/TKO R1 · 0:51Nov '24
-5
·
2 SS (25%)·7 abs
L
Preston Parsons
U-DEC R3Jan '24
-19
·
28 SS (41%)·47 abs·1/2 td·7 td taken·188s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Uros Medic
KO/TKO R3 · 2:36Jul '23
-17
·
52 SS (43%)·69 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·73s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 kd taken
L
Jeremiah Wells
S-DEC R3Apr '23
-16
·
20 SS (54%)·36 abs·0/1 td·6 td taken·89s ctrl·2 kd landed
W
Jake MatthewsVeteran
U-DEC R3Dec '22
+13
·
45 SS (39%)·32 abs·3/5 td·1 td taken·256s ctrl·3 kd landed
L
Alex MoronoVeteran
U-DEC R3Jul '22
-32
·
74 SS (32%)·106 abs·1/1 td·158s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
AJ Fletcher
U-DEC R3Mar '22
+6
·
40 SS (49%)·34 abs·1/1 td·4 td taken·295s ctrl
W
Martin Sano
KO/TKO R1 · 0:15Sep '21
+2
·
3 SS (60%)·1 abs·1 kd landed
L
Khaos Williams
U-DEC R3Jun '21
-27
·
64 SS (45%)·91 abs
W
Jason Witt
KO/TKO R1 · 0:16Mar '21
-1
·
3 SS (60%)·4 abs·1 kd landed
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Semi The Jedi”

Matthew Semelsberger

11-811 UFC
Form
4L
6'1"ht·75"reach·Switchstance·33age
Last fightLCharles Radtke·KO/TKO·1.5yr ago
Fighter Context
5–6UFC·
2KO
·
0Sub
·
3Dec
·
13.2min/fight
·
119UFC min
vs. Winning Record2–5
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.47
28%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.192
63%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
60
35%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
44%
29%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Semelsberger
Welterweight avg
Distance Striker
Sig. Strikes / Min3.77
Str. Accuracy42%
449UFC landed/1,045attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+0.5 vs avg4.24
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / Fight0.91
10UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.09
CQ KO Power
Elite97%ile2.23
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
65%
Body
17%
Leg
19%
By Position
Dist80%
Clinch8%
Ground12%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=11
R2
n=8
R3
n=8
Landed142018
Absorbed142321
Net0-4-3
Grappling
Semelsberger
Welterweight avg
Control Wrestler
112s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.01
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.77
TD Accuracy57%
8UFC landed/14attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
0UFC wins/3attempted
Defense
TD Defense45%
16UFC defended/35opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 5 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
40%
Average
Win Methods
2KO/TKO
0Sub
3Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
0Sub
4Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
40%4 of 10 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.8pts
W3 dec
2.0pts
L4 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
6UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
14%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.62.03.5R1R2R3
R1n=11
R2n=8
R3n=8
Outputsig strikes / min
3.6
4.0
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.7
4.7
4.4
Diff
-0.1
-0.7
-0.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Semelsberger — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Charles Radtke
KO/TKO·R1·Nov '24
2 SS (25%)·7 abs
L
Preston Parsons
U-DEC·R3·Jan '24
28 SS (41%)·47 abs·1/2 td·7 td taken·188s ctrl·2 sub
L
Uros Medic
KO/TKO·R3·Jul '23
52 SS (43%)·69 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·73s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken
L
Jeremiah Wells
S-DEC·R3·Apr '23
20 SS (54%)·36 abs·0/1 td·6 td taken·89s ctrl·2 kd
W
Jake MatthewsVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Dec '22
45 SS (39%)·32 abs·3/5 td·1 td taken·256s ctrl·3 kd
L
Alex MoronoVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Jul '22
74 SS (32%)·106 abs·1/1 td·158s ctrl·1 kd
W
AJ Fletcher
U-DEC·R3·Mar '22
40 SS (49%)·34 abs·1/1 td·4 td taken·295s ctrl
W
Martin Sano
KO/TKO·R1·Sep '21
3 SS (60%)·1 abs·1 kd
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X