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Daniel Kelly absorbs 4.6 and lands 3.6 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Daniel Kelly's striking output climbs from round 1 to round 3.

Daniel Kelly's takedown attempts are present but not a primary factor.

Daniel Kelly wins 46% of rounds across 22 scored. Round splits are close.

Daniel Kelly has 3 KO/TKO losses in 4 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.30 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 35 out of 99, average for the division.

Daniel Kelly's last fight was over 97 months ago.

Daniel Kelly is 48 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Middleweight

Daniel Kelly

13-410 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 3L
Inactive
Output Builds Late
High Wear
6'0"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·48age
Last fightLTom Breese·KO/TKO·R1·8yr ago
Fighter Context
6–4UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
4Dec
·
9.7min/fight
·
97UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–4(8 fights)
·
25%finish rate
·
-2.7str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.02
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.253
Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
35
Low

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
46%
Average

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Daniel Kelly — 3.62 significant strikes per minute, 38% striking accuracy, absorbs 4.64 strikes per minute.

Kelly
Head Hunter
Middleweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.62
Str. Accuracy38%
350UFC landed/902attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+1.1 vs avg4.64
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fight0.30
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
87%
Body
6%
Leg
7%
By Position
Distance69%
/
Clinch15%
/
Ground16%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 110 rounds
Round 26 rounds
Round 36 rounds
Avg. Landed121623
Avg. Absorbed172523
Avg. Net-5-80
Grappling

Daniel Kelly — 1.9 takedowns per 15 minutes, 34% takedown accuracy, 0.3 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 78% takedown defense.

Kelly
G&P Threat
·107s ctrlActive Control
Middleweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.86
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.43
TD Accuracy34%
12UFC landed/35attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
1UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense78%
15UFC defended/19opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Not Sub Tested
Finishing

Daniel Kelly — 6 UFC wins (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 4 decision), 33% finish rate.

Finish Rate
33%
Decision Fighter
div avg 61%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision4 / 6
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 4
Submission0 / 4
Decision1 / 4
Loss Pattern
3 of 4 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
1.2pts
W3 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
20%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 32 vs 38 first half
0+21+43+64+85avg20142015201620172018

10 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.83.6R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=6
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.9
3.2
5.2
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.1
4.9
5.1
Diff
-1.3
-1.7
+0.1

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Str. Diff-0.43 idxL3
-83%11%106%LWWWWLLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Kelly — 10 UFC Fights

Daniel Kelly — UFC fight record: 6 wins, 4 losses.

Result
Method
10 fights
L
Tom Breese
MW
KO/TKO R1 · 3:33May '18
-17
·6 SS (21%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Elias Theodorou
MW
U-DEC R3Nov '17
-76
·42 SS (35%)·118 abs·2/7 td·59s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Derek Brunson
MW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:16Jun '17
-7
·1 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Rashad EvansVeteran
MW
S-DEC R3Mar '17
+21
·74 SS (38%)·53 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·10s ctrl
W
Chris CamozziVeteran
MW
U-DEC R3Nov '16
-17
·39 SS (38%)·56 abs·4/4 td·404s ctrl
W
Antonio Carlos Junior
MW
KO/TKO R3 · 1:36Mar '16
+4
·37 SS (42%)·33 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·74s ctrl
W
Steve Montgomery
MW
U-DEC R3Nov '15
-14
·63 SS (52%)·77 abs·5/13 td·475s ctrl
L
Sam Alvey
MW
KO/TKO R1 · 0:49May '15
-6
·2 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Patrick Walsh
MW
U-DEC R3Feb '15
+11
·61 SS (32%)·50 abs·1 td taken
W
Luke Zachrich
MW
SUB R1 · 4:27Nov '14
+2
·25 SS (52%)·23 abs·1/2 td·50s ctrl·1 sub att
All Fighters
Middleweight

Daniel Kelly

13-410 UFC
Form
3L
6'0"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·48age
Last fightLTom Breese·KO/TKO·8yr ago
Fighter Context
6–4UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
4Dec
·
9.7min/fight
·
97UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–4
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.02

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.253

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
35

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
46%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Kelly
Middleweight avg
Head Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min3.62
Str. Accuracy38%
350UFC landed/902attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+1.1 vs avg4.64
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / Fight0.30
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
87%
Body
6%
Leg
7%
By Position
Dist69%
Clinch15%
Ground16%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=10
R2
n=6
R3
n=6
Landed121623
Absorbed172523
Net-5-80
Grappling
Kelly
Middleweight avg
G&P Threat
107s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.86
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.43
TD Accuracy34%
12UFC landed/35attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
1UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense78%
15UFC defended/19opp. attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
33%
Decision Fighter
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
1Sub
4Dec
Loss Methods
3KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.2pts
W3 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
20%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.83.6R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=6
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.9
3.2
5.2
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.1
4.9
5.1
Diff
-1.3
-1.7
+0.1

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Kelly — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Tom BreeseMW
KO/TKO·R1·May '18
6 SS (21%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Elias TheodorouMW
U-DEC·R3·Nov '17
42 SS (35%)·118 abs·2/7 td·59s ctrl·1 sub
L
Derek BrunsonMW
KO/TKO·R1·Jun '17
1 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Rashad EvansVeteranMW
S-DEC·R3·Mar '17
74 SS (38%)·53 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·10s ctrl
W
Chris CamozziVeteranMW
U-DEC·R3·Nov '16
39 SS (38%)·56 abs·4/4 td·404s ctrl
W
Antonio Carlos JuniorMW
KO/TKO·R3·Mar '16
37 SS (42%)·33 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·74s ctrl
W
Steve MontgomeryMW
U-DEC·R3·Nov '15
63 SS (52%)·77 abs·5/13 td·475s ctrl
L
Sam AlveyMW
KO/TKO·R1·May '15
2 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X