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Antonio Carlos Junior lands 1.9 and absorbs 2.1 significant strikes per minute. Output and absorption are close.

Antonio Carlos Junior's striking output and strike differential both decline in later rounds.

Antonio Carlos Junior's takedown attempts are present but not a primary factor.

Antonio Carlos Junior wins 69% of rounds across 32 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Antonio Carlos Junior has 1 KO/TKO loss in 5 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.08 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 83 out of 99, average for the division.

Antonio Carlos Junior finishes 71% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Antonio Carlos Junior's last fight was over 65 months ago.

Antonio Carlos Junior is 36 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Middleweight
“Cara de Sapato”

Antonio Carlos Junior

11-5 (1 NC)13 UFC
Wrestler
Form
· 3L
Inactive
High Variance
Output Drops Late
Moderate Wear
6'2"ht·79"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age
Last fightLBrad Tavares·U-DEC·R3·5yr ago
Fighter Context
7–5UFC1 NC·
0KO
·
5Sub
·
2Dec
·
11.5min/fight
·
149UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–4(8 fights)
·
75%finish rate
·
+0.0str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.19
Neutral

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.534
Strong

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
83
Durable

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
69%
Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Antonio Carlos Junior — 1.95 significant strikes per minute, 42% striking accuracy, absorbs 2.14 strikes per minute.

Junior
Ground & Pound
Middleweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.95
Str. Accuracy42%
290UFC landed/681attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.4 vs avg2.14
Str. Defense52%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fight0.08
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
68%
Body
18%
Leg
14%
By Position
Distance65%
/
Clinch10%
/
Ground26%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 113 rounds
Round 210 rounds
Round 39 rounds
Avg. Landed11105
Avg. Absorbed61411
Avg. Net+5-4-6
Grappling

Antonio Carlos Junior — 3.4 takedowns per 15 minutes, 39% takedown accuracy, 0.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 53% takedown defense.

Junior
Sub Hunter
·324s ctrlElite Control
Middleweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.42
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.76
TD Accuracy39%
34UFC landed/87attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
5UFC wins/8attempted
Defense
TD Defense53%
8UFC defended/15opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing

Antonio Carlos Junior — 7 UFC wins (5 submission, 2 decision), 71% finish rate.

Finish Rate
71%
Strong Finisher
div avg 61%
How They Lose
5UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 7
Submission5 / 7
Decision2 / 7
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 5
Submission0 / 5
Decision4 / 5
Loss Pattern
Outscored
4 of 5 losses by decision
Submission finisher. 5 career subs spread across multiple rounds
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
SUB W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
38%
3 of 8 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.7pts
W2 dec
1.7pts
L4 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
17%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 22 vs 23 first half
0+12+23+35+46avg↗↵NC2014201520162017201820192021

13 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.21.22.6R1R2R3
R1n=13
R2n=10
R3n=9
Outputsig strikes / min
2.4
2.1
1.1
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.3
2.9
2.5
Diff
+1.1
-0.7
-1.4

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Absorbed+81%L3
-29%47%124%WWWWWLLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Junior — 13 UFC Fights

Antonio Carlos Junior — UFC fight record: 7 wins, 5 losses.

Result
Method
13 fights
L
Brad TavaresVeteran
MW
U-DEC R3Jan '21
-20
·34 SS (33%)·54 abs·1/12 td·388s ctrl
↵ 16mo layoff
L
Uriah Hall
MW
S-DEC R3Sep '19
-12
·22 SS (32%)·34 abs·3/8 td·642s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Ian Heinisch
MW
U-DEC R3May '19
-24
·15 SS (45%)·39 abs·4/11 td·1 td taken·383s ctrl
W
Tim BoetschVeteran
MW
SUB R1 · 4:28Apr '18
+24
·31 SS (65%)·7 abs·1/2 td·92s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jack Marshman
MW
SUB R1 · 4:30Oct '17
+10
·11 SS (41%)·1 abs·1/1 td·189s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Eric Spicely
MW
SUB R2 · 3:49Jun '17
-5
·12 SS (52%)·17 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·289s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Marvin Vettori
MW
U-DEC R3Dec '16
-1
·28 SS (37%)·29 abs·4/13 td·1 td taken·333s ctrl
W
Leonardo Guimaraes
MW
SUB R3 · 4:46Sep '16
+26
·32 SS (53%)·6 abs·7/14 td·613s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Daniel Kelly
MW
KO/TKO R3 · 1:36Mar '16
-4
·33 SS (53%)·37 abs·2/9 td·299s ctrl
NC
Kevin Casey
MW
Could Not Co… R1 · 0:11Dec '15
+1
·1 SS (25%)
⚠ Eye poke stoppage
All Fighters
Middleweight
“Cara de Sapato”

Antonio Carlos Junior

11-5 (1 NC)13 UFC
Form
3L
6'2"ht·79"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age
Last fightLBrad Tavares·U-DEC·5yr ago
Fighter Context
7–5UFC1 NC·
0KO
·
5Sub
·
2Dec
·
11.5min/fight
·
149UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–4
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.19

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.534

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
83

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
69%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Junior
Middleweight avg
Ground & Pound
Sig. Strikes / Min1.95
Str. Accuracy42%
290UFC landed/681attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.4 vs avg2.14
Str. Defense52%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / Fight0.08
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
68%
Body
18%
Leg
14%
By Position
Dist65%
Clinch10%
Ground26%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=13
R2
n=10
R3
n=9
Landed11105
Absorbed61411
Net+5-4-6
Grappling
Junior
Middleweight avg
Sub Hunter
324s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.42
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.76
TD Accuracy39%
34UFC landed/87attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
5UFC wins/8attempted
Defense
TD Defense53%
8UFC defended/15opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 3 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
71%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
0KO/TKO
5Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
4Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
38%3 of 8 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.7pts
W2 dec
1.7pts
L4 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
17%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.21.22.6R1R2R3
R1n=13
R2n=10
R3n=9
Outputsig strikes / min
2.4
2.1
1.1
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.3
2.9
2.5
Diff
+1.1
-0.7
-1.4

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Junior — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Brad TavaresVeteranMW
U-DEC·R3·Jan '21
34 SS (33%)·54 abs·1/12 td·388s ctrl
L
Uriah HallMW
S-DEC·R3·Sep '19
22 SS (32%)·34 abs·3/8 td·642s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Ian HeinischMW
U-DEC·R3·May '19
15 SS (45%)·39 abs·4/11 td·1 td taken·383s ctrl
W
Tim BoetschVeteranMW
SUB·R1·Apr '18
31 SS (65%)·7 abs·1/2 td·92s ctrl·1 sub
W
Jack MarshmanMW
SUB·R1·Oct '17
11 SS (41%)·1 abs·1/1 td·189s ctrl·1 sub
W
Eric SpicelyMW
SUB·R2·Jun '17
12 SS (52%)·17 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·289s ctrl·2 sub
W
Marvin VettoriMW
U-DEC·R3·Dec '16
28 SS (37%)·29 abs·4/13 td·1 td taken·333s ctrl
W
Leonardo GuimaraesMW
SUB·R3·Sep '16
32 SS (53%)·6 abs·7/14 td·613s ctrl·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X