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Matchup Analysis·Heavyweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov7 / 12
←Vagaev vs IzagakhmaevSatybaldiev vs Jacoby→
Red Corner

Valter Walker

“The Clean Monster”
15-15 UFCLast9mo ago
Submission Specialist
Hot Streak
High Variance
Early Chaos
6'6"+5"ht·78"+4"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
VS
Heavyweight265 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Thomas Petersen

“The Train”
11-46 UFCLast4mo ago
Wrestler
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
6'1"ht·74"reach·Southpawstance·31age
CQ
Edges—
Walker · Takedown Exposure
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingPetersenClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingPetersenDominant
KO Adv.WalkerClear edge
Sub Adv.WalkerClear edge
DurabilityNo data
CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Petersen
Walker
-0.85
Petersen
+0.49
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Petersen
Walker
0.75
Petersen
3.01
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Walker
Too few rounds
Petersen
75%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Walker
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Petersen
35
Low
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Walker2.00SLpM
+
SLpM3.10Petersen
5.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Contextual
WalkerEarly Finisher
PetersenOutput Builds Late+136% R1→R3
Finish History
Walker
Sub ×4
Finish rate (wins)
100%
4/4
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Petersen
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/3
Stopped rate (losses)
67%
2/3
Edge & Exposure
Walker
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

ExposureTakedown Vulnerable

Division-low TD defense rate. Opponents with an active takedown game have a clear structural path.

Petersen
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgePressure Fighter

Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.

Opposition Quality
Walker4–1UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Petersen3–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3
Record (5)
+0.3
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
WalkerHeavyweightPetersen
18th
Striking Differential
54th
99th
Grappling Threat
86th
—
Round Win Rate
87th
2nd
TD Defense
88th
87th
Durability
24th
90th
Finishing Rate
—

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Walker
Stat
Petersen
—
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.32
1.783.10 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.35
1.262.61 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑1.23
8.166.93 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Walker20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Petersen67% distance
Finish 33%Decision 67%
Walker 5 UFC fights·Petersen 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Walker
4.7min
Petersen
12.3min
Combined Distance Rate
45%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
WalkerTO KNOCK OUTPetersen
31
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins4
Petersen's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses3
PetersenTO KNOCK OUTWalker
18
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins3
Walker's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
WalkerTO SUBMITPetersen
32
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins4
Total UFC wins4
Petersen's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses3
PetersenTO SUBMITWalker
10
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins3
Walker's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
WalkerWin MethodPetersen
0%
KO / TKO
0%
100%
Submission
0%
0%
Decision
100%
4 UFC wins · 4 Sub3 UFC wins · 3 Dec
Walker
Loss Method
Petersen
0%
KO / TKO
67%
0%
Submission
0%
100%
Decision
33%
1 UFC loss · 1 Dec3 UFC losses · 2 KO · 1 Dec
Walker4 stoppages · 4 Sub
R1
4
R2
0
R3
0
R1R2R3
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubLouie SutherlandR1 · 1:24
WSubKennedy NzechukwuR1 · 0:54
WSubDon'Tale MayesR1 · 1:17
WSubJunior TafaR1 · 4:56
Petersen2 stoppages · 2 KO
R1
1
R2
0
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Loss
All stoppages
LKOVitor PetrinoR3 · 0:26
LKOShamil GazievR1 · 3:12
Historical Context
Walker — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Louie SutherlandHW
SUB
R11:24
Oct '25
5 SS (100%)·3 abs·1/1 td·31s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Kennedy NzechukwuVeteranHW
SUB
R10:54
Jul '25
4 SS (36%)·0 abs·1/2 td·28s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Don'Tale MayesHW
SUB
R11:17
Feb '25
1 SS (33%)·1 abs·1/2 td·58s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Junior TafaHW
SUB
R14:56
Aug '24
4 SS (100%)·5 abs·2/3 td·234s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Lukasz BrzeskiHW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '24
33 SS (49%)·58 abs·4/5 td·439s ctrl
View full fight log →
Petersen — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
W
Guilherme PatHW
M-DEC
R3
Apr '26
28 SS (68%)·17 abs·0/5 td·516s ctrl·1 kd
L
Vitor PetrinoHW
KO/TKO
R30:26
Oct '25
16 SS (46%)·31 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·126s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Don'Tale MayesHW
U-DEC
R3
May '25
28 SS (55%)·3 abs·9/9 td·829s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Shamil GazievHW
KO/TKO
R13:12
Feb '25
19 SS (56%)·14 abs·1/1 td·8s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Mohammed UsmanHW
U-DEC
R3
Jul '24
76 SS (55%)·63 abs·2/5 td·61s ctrl
L
Jamal PoguesHW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '24
58 SS (67%)·65 abs·1/6 td·167s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Don'Tale MayesSame result
W
Walker
Sub·R1·2025
W
Petersen
UD·R3·2025
Matchup·HW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
7/12←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Valter Walker

“The Clean Monster”
15-15 UFC9mo ago
6'6"+5"ht78"+4"reachOrthodox28 yrs
VS·HW·3R
Blue Corner

Thomas Petersen

“The Train”
11-46 UFC4mo ago
6'1"ht74"reachSouthpaw31 yrs
CQ
Edges
Walker · Takedown Exposure
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingPetersenClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingPetersenDominant
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.WalkerClear edge
Sub Adv.WalkerClear edge
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Petersen
Walker-0.85
Petersen+0.49
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Petersen
Walker0.75
Petersen3.01
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
WalkerToo few rounds
Petersen75%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Walker
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Petersen
35Low
Stats
Walker
Petersen
Striking
2.00SS Landed / min3.10
52%Str Acc59%
2.85SS Absorbed / min2.61
42%Str Def54%
0.00KD / fight0.17
Grappling
5.74TD / min3.01
0%TD Def87%
2.50Sub Att · /15m0.40
—Sub Def—
Finish History
Walker
Sub ×4
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
4/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Petersen
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/3
Stopped Rate (Losses)
67%
2/3
Walker20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Petersen67% distance
Finish 33%Decision 67%
Walker 5 UFC fights·Petersen 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Walker
4.7min
Petersen
12.3min
Combined Distance Rate
45%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
WalkerWinPetersen
0%
KO
0%
100%
Sub
0%
0%
Dec
100%
4 wins4 Sub
3 Dec3 wins
WalkerLossPetersen
0%
KO
67%
0%
Sub
0%
100%
Dec
33%
1 loss1 Dec
1 Dec2 KO3 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Walker
to knock out
Petersen
31Elevated
Petersen
to knock out
Walker
18Low
Walker
to submit
Petersen
32Elevated
Petersen
to submit
Walker
10Minimal
Recent Form
Walker
Stat
Petersen
—
SLpMOutput
↓1.32
1.78
3.10 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.35
1.26
2.61 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↑1.23
8.16
6.93 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Walker—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Louie SutherlandHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 1:24 · Oct '25
5 SS (100%)·3 abs·1/1 td·31s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Kennedy NzechukwuVeteranHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 0:54 · Jul '25
4 SS (36%)·0 abs·1/2 td·28s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Don'Tale MayesHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 1:17 · Feb '25
1 SS (33%)·1 abs·1/2 td·58s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Junior TafaHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:56 · Aug '24
4 SS (100%)·5 abs·2/3 td·234s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Lukasz BrzeskiHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '24
33 SS (49%)·58 abs·4/5 td·439s ctrl
View full fight log →
Petersen—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
W
Guilherme PatHW Bout
M-DEC · R3 · Apr '26
28 SS (68%)·17 abs·0/5 td·516s ctrl·1 kd
L
Vitor PetrinoHW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 0:26 · Oct '25
16 SS (46%)·31 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·126s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Don'Tale MayesHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '25
28 SS (55%)·3 abs·9/9 td·829s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Shamil GazievHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 3:12 · Feb '25
19 SS (56%)·14 abs·1/1 td·8s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Mohammed UsmanHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jul '24
76 SS (55%)·63 abs·2/5 td·61s ctrl
L
Jamal PoguesHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '24
58 SS (67%)·65 abs·1/6 td·167s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Don'Tale MayesSame result
W
Walker
Sub·R1·2025
W
Petersen
UD·R3·2025
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Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X