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Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov2 / 12
←Ankalaev vs GuskovDulatov vs Turman→
Red Corner

Steve Erceg

“Astroboy”
14-48 UFCLast3mo ago
Boxer
2× Title
2× 5R
Goes Long
Moderate Wear
5'8"+4"ht·68"+5"reach·Orthodoxstance·30age
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Ramazan Temirov

“Temurlan”
19-32 UFCLast1.4yr ago
5'4"ht·63"reach·Orthodoxstance·29age
◈
Uneven DataTemirov has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
EdgesDecision Likely
Uneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
KO Adv.TemirovDominant
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
2 signals
RING RUST

Temirov is returning after 17 months out.

REACH CLIFF

Erceg has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Erceg's reach is a structural advantage.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Erceg
+0.21
Temirov
+0.44
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No data
Erceg
Opponent data thin
Temirov
Too few fights
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Erceg
64%
Temirov
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Erceg
68
Average
Temirov
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Erceg4.00SLpM
+
SLpM4.37Temirov
8.4
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Erceg
ErcegOutput Builds Late+26% R1→R3
TemirovToo few fights
Finish History
Erceg
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
20%
1/5
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Temirov
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Fighter Context
Erceg·UFC 5-3·1 KO · 4 Dec·1 KO loss · 2 Dec loss
Temirov·UFC 2-0·1 KO · 1 Dec

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Pre-UFC17-2
Win method
10 KO/TKO1 Sub6 Dec
Loss method
1 Sub1 Dec
Avg opponent wins5.4
Wins finished11 of 17
Opposition Quality
Erceg5–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–3
Record (6)
+0.3
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+59% step-up
1–2
Record (3)
+1.2
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Temirov2–0UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
ErcegFlyweightTemirov
52nd
Striking Differential
68th
34th
Grappling Threat
39th
79th
Round Win Rate
—
47th
TD Defense
—
34th
Durability
49th
2nd
Finishing Rate
45th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Erceg
Stat
Temirov
4.954.00 career
↑0.95
SLpMOutput
—
3.893.79 career
↑0.10
SApMAbsorbed
—
3.554.02 career
↓0.47
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
ErcegTemirov2 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.00
4.37
Str. Accuracy
45%
40%
Sig. Absorbed / min
3.79
3.93
Str. Defense
52%
59%
CQ KO Power
0.18
3.85
ErcegStrike DistributionTemirov
By Target
74%
Head
77%
18%
Body
22%
8%
Leg
1%
By Position
89%
Distance
85%
10%
Clinch
12%
2%
Ground
4%
Sig Strikes
Erceg
69avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
14.9 min
Goes Dist
75%
Temirov
39avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
8.9 min
Goes Dist
50%
Historical Context
Erceg — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Tim ElliottVeteranFLY
U-DEC
R3
May '26
136 SS (54%)·90 abs·1/3 td·2 td taken·29s ctrl
W
Ode OsbourneBW
U-DEC
R3
Aug '25
20 SS (38%)·35 abs·3/10 td·1 td taken·287s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Brandon MorenoVeteranTITLEFLY
U-DEC
R5
Mar '25
116 SS (42%)·89 abs·1 td taken
L
Kai Kara-FranceFLY
KO/TKO
R14:04
Aug '24
9 SS (31%)·18 abs·2 kd taken
L
Alexandre PantojaVeteranTITLEFLY
U-DEC
R5
May '24
111 SS (52%)·125 abs·1/6 td·9 td taken·32s ctrl
W
Matt SchnellFLY
KO/TKO
R20:26
Mar '24
34 SS (47%)·22 abs·0/1 td·5s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Temirov — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Charles JohnsonFLY
U-DEC
R3
Mar '25
55 SS (40%)·66 abs·1/2 td·23s ctrl
W
CJ VergaraFLY
KO/TKO
R12:50
Oct '24
23 SS (42%)·4 abs·5s ctrl·3 kd
Pre-UFC Fights·19 fights
W
Takaki Soya12-5
KO/TKOR1Sep 2023
W
Yuta Hamamoto5-2
KO/TKOR1May 2023
W
Kayck Alencar10-3
KO/TKOR1Nov 2022
W
Argen Maratbek Uulu16-9
KO/TKOR1May 2022
View full fight log →
Matchup·FLY·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
2/12←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Steve Erceg

“Astroboy”
14-48 UFC3mo ago
5'8"+4"ht68"+5"reachOrthodox30 yrs
VS·FLY·3R
Blue Corner

Ramazan Temirov

“Temurlan”
19-32 UFC1.4yr ago
5'4"ht63"reachOrthodox29 yrs
◈
Uneven Data Temirov has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Edges
Decision LikelyUneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.TemirovDominant
Sub Adv.No edge
Signals
2
RING RUSTTemirov is returning after 17 months out.
REACH CLIFFErceg has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Erceg's reach is a structural advantage.
Fighter Context
Erceg·UFC 5-3·1 KO · 4 Dec·1 KO loss · 2 Dec loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Temirov·UFC 2-0·1 KO · 1 Dec
Pre-UFC17-2
Win method
10 KO/TKO1 Sub6 Dec
Loss method
1 Sub1 Dec
Avg opponent wins5.4
Wins finished11 of 17
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Erceg+0.21
Temirov+0.44
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No data
ErcegOpponent data thin
TemirovToo few fights
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Erceg64%
TemirovToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Erceg
68Average
Temirov
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Erceg
Temirov
Striking
4.00SS Landed / min4.37
45%Str Acc40%
3.79SS Absorbed / min3.93
52%Str Def59%
0.13KD / fight1.50
Grappling
1.15TD / min0.84
62%TD Def100%
0.40Sub Att · /15m0.00
—Sub Def—
Finish History
Erceg
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
20%
1/5
Stopped Rate (Losses)
33%
1/3
Temirov
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Erceg75% distance
Finish 25%Decision 75%
Temirov50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Erceg 8 UFC fights·Temirov 2 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Erceg
14.9min
Temirov
8.9min
Combined Distance Rate
70%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
ErcegWinTemirov
20%
KO
50%
0%
Sub
0%
80%
Dec
50%
5 wins1 KO4 Dec
1 Dec1 KO2 wins
ErcegLossTemirov
33%
KO
—
0%
Sub
—
67%
Dec
—
3 losses1 KO2 Dec
—
CQ Finish Risk
Erceg
to knock out
Temirov
28Elevated
Temirov
to knock out
Erceg
52High
Erceg
to submit
Temirov
11Minimal
Temirov
to submit
Erceg
8Minimal
Recent Form
Erceg
Stat
Temirov
4.95
4.00 career
↑0.95
SLpMOutput
—
3.89
3.79 career
↑0.10
SApMAbsorbed
—
3.55
4.02 career
↓0.47
TD AttAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Erceg—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Tim ElliottVeteranFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '26
136 SS (54%)·90 abs·1/3 td·2 td taken·29s ctrl
W
Ode OsbourneBW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '25
20 SS (38%)·35 abs·3/10 td·1 td taken·287s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Brandon MorenoVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Mar '25
116 SS (42%)·89 abs·1 td taken
L
Kai Kara-FranceFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:04 · Aug '24
9 SS (31%)·18 abs·2 kd taken
L
Alexandre PantojaVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
U-DEC · R5 · May '24
111 SS (52%)·125 abs·1/6 td·9 td taken·32s ctrl
W
Matt SchnellFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:26 · Mar '24
34 SS (47%)·22 abs·0/1 td·5s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Temirov—Fight History
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Charles JohnsonFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
55 SS (40%)·66 abs·1/2 td·23s ctrl
W
CJ VergaraFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:50 · Oct '24
23 SS (42%)·4 abs·5s ctrl·3 kd
Pre-UFC Fights·19 fights
W
Takaki Soya12-5
KO/TKOR1Sep 2023
W
Yuta Hamamoto5-2
KO/TKOR1May 2023
W
Kayck Alencar10-3
KO/TKOR1Nov 2022
W
Argen Maratbek Uulu16-9
KO/TKOR1May 2022
View full fight log →
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Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X