Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
Red Corner
Rafa Garcia
“Gifted”
19-411 UFCLast5mo ago
Wrestler
Goes Long
Output Builds Late
5'7"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·32age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
27-66 UFCLast1.0yr ago
Pressure Fighter
Output Builds Late
5'9"+2"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·266yrage
Signals1 signal
AGE GAP
Garcia is 6 years older than Rongzhu.
CQ Core Edges
Garcia
-0.14
Rongzhu
+0.58
Garcia
0.52
Rongzhu
0.31
Garcia
58%
Rongzhu
47%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Garcia
80
DurableRongzhu
65
Average1 KO lossKO losses1 KO loss
0.00KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Garcia4.28SLpM
+SLpM6.02Rongzhu
10.3
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
GarciaOutput Builds Late+35% R1→R3
RongzhuOutput Builds Late+73% R1→R3
Finish History
Garcia
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
29%
2/7
Stopped rate (losses)
25%
1/4
Rongzhu
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
33%
1/3
Stopped rate (losses)
67%
2/3
Edge & Exposure
Garcia
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
Rongzhu
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
Opposition Quality
Garcia7–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–3
Record (9)
-0.3
Str Diff/Min
17%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)+76% step-up
3–1
Record (4)
+0.5
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
Rongzhu3–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–2
Record (3)
-1.4
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
GarciaLightweightRongzhu
42nd
Striking Differential
64th91st
Grappling Threat
71st64th
Round Win Rate
39th81st
TD Defense
90th72nd
Durability
44th13th
Finishing Rate
17thRecent Form
Garcia
Stat
Rongzhu
5.044.28 career
↑0.76
SLpMOutput
↑0.99
7.016.02 career
4.574.42 career
↑0.15
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.29
5.155.44 career
5.657.05 career
⚠↓1.40
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓2.98
0.002.98 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Decision Likely
Garcia73% distance
Finish 27%Decision 73%
Rongzhu50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Garcia 11 UFC fights·Rongzhu 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Garcia
13.5min
Rongzhu
13.4min
Combined Distance Rate
65%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
GarciaTO KNOCK OUTRongzhu
29
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins7
Rongzhu's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses3
RongzhuTO KNOCK OUTGarcia
39
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins3
Garcia's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses4
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
GarciaTO SUBMITRongzhu
45
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins7
Rongzhu's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses3
RongzhuTO SUBMITGarcia
6
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins3
Garcia's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses4
GarciaWin MethodRongzhu
14%
KO / TKO
33%
14%
Submission
0%
71%
Decision
67%
7 UFC wins · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 5 Dec3 UFC wins · 1 KO · 2 Dec
Garcia
Loss Method
Rongzhu25%
KO / TKO
33%
0%
Submission
33%
75%
Decision
33%
4 UFC losses · 1 KO · 3 Dec3 UFC losses · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 1 Dec
Garcia3 stoppages · 2 KO · 1 Sub
R10
R2
2
R3
1
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WKOJared GordonR3 · 2:27
LKOGrant DawsonR2 · 1:42
WSubJesse RonsonR2 · 4:50
Rongzhu3 stoppages · 2 KO · 1 Sub
R10
R2
1
R3
2
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOChris PadillaR2 · 4:14
LSubIgnacio BahamondesR3 · 1:40
WKOBrandon JenkinsR3 · 4:35
Historical Context
Garcia — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
59 SS (35%)·50 abs·4/7 td·110s ctrl
91 SS (56%)·65 abs·2/3 td·1 td taken·121s ctrl·1 kd·2 sub att
64 SS (53%)·79 abs·2/6 td·135s ctrl
5 SS (42%)·44 abs·2 td taken
141 SS (49%)·63 abs·0/1 td·20s ctrl
49 SS (50%)·25 abs·6/11 td·370s ctrl
Rongzhu — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
101 SS (51%)·75 abs·2 td taken
125 SS (52%)·59 abs·1 td taken·18s ctrl·1 kd
49 SS (56%)·68 abs·12s ctrl
48 SS (37%)·126 abs·1/4 td·20s ctrl
86 SS (64%)·41 abs·6/8 td·567s ctrl·1 kd
42 SS (40%)·96 abs·3/4 td·164s ctrl