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Clay Guida absorbs 3.0 and lands 2.6 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Clay Guida's takedown activity is a consistent part of the output. Takedown threat ranks in the upper third of the division.

Clay Guida wins 59% of rounds across 93 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Clay Guida has 2 KO/TKO losses in 19 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.16 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 96 out of 99, high for the division.

Clay Guida has not fought in 19 months.

Clay Guida is 44 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“The Carpenter”

Clay Guida

38-2237 UFC
Wrestler
Form
· 3L
Layoff Risk
High Wear
5'7"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·44age
Last fightLChase Hooper·SUB·R1·1.6yr ago
Fighter Context
18–19UFC·
2KO
·
5Sub
·
11Dec
·
11.4min/fight
·
423UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
10–16(26 fights)
·
30%finish rate
·
+0.4str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
3–6(9 fights)
·
33%finish rate
·
+1.8str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.37
Deficit
34%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.353
Strong
80%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
96
Ironclad
93%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
59%
Strong
64%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Clay Guida — 2.63 significant strikes per minute, 33% striking accuracy, absorbs 3.00 strikes per minute.

Guida
Ground & Pound
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.63
Str. Accuracy33%
1,156UFC landed/3,486attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.2 vs avg3.00
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / fight0.16
6UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.16
CQ KO Power
Average40%ile0.52
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
62%
Body
16%
Leg
22%
By Position
Distance61%
/
Clinch13%
/
Ground25%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 137 rounds
Round 230 rounds
Round 324 rounds
Round 41 round
Round 51 round
Avg. Landed1213131011
Avg. Absorbed1415151117
Avg. Net-2-1-2-1-6
Grappling

Clay Guida — 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes, 35% takedown accuracy, 0.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 66% takedown defense.

Guida
Sub Hunter
·254s ctrlElite Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.10
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.22
TD Accuracy35%
78UFC landed/232attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.60
5UFC wins/16attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense66%
50UFC defended/72opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Holds Ground
Finishing

Clay Guida — 18 UFC wins (2 KO/TKO, 5 submission, 11 decision), 39% finish rate.

Finish Rate
39%
Decision Fighter
div avg 52%
How They Lose
19UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 18
Submission5 / 18
Decision11 / 18
KD → Finish
1/5Low
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 19
Submission8 / 19
Decision9 / 19
Loss Pattern
Mixed
7 early · 3 late · 9 dec across 19 losses
Fast and versatile. 6 of 7 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
50%
5 of 10 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
2.0pts
W7 dec
1.6pts
L6 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
12UD
·
8SD
·
0MD
·
40%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 7 more in second half of career
0+23+46+69+92avg↗↗2006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

37 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.61.93.3R1R2R3
R1n=37
R2n=30
R3n=24
Outputsig strikes / min
2.6
2.9
2.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.1
3.1
3.4
Diff
-0.5
-0.3
-0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Str. Diff-0.29 idxL3
-117%-11%94%WLWLWLLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Guida — 37 UFC Fights

Clay Guida — UFC fight record: 18 wins, 19 losses.

Result
Method
37 fights
L
Chase Hooper
LW
SUB R1 · 3:41Dec '24
-2
·5 SS (38%)·7 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken
L
Joaquim Silva
LW
U-DEC R3Dec '23
-3
·43 SS (32%)·46 abs·2/11 td·2 td taken·263s ctrl
L
Rafa Garcia
LW
U-DEC R3Apr '23
-78
·63 SS (25%)·141 abs·0/3 td
W
Scott Holtzman
LW
S-DEC R3Dec '22
+1
·66 SS (36%)·65 abs·4/15 td·335s ctrl
L
Claudio Puelles
LW
SUB R1 · 3:01Apr '22
+2
·3 SS (75%)·1 abs·0/1 td·70s ctrl
W
Leonardo Santos
LW
SUB R2 · 1:21Dec '21
-23
·18 SS (36%)·41 abs·2/7 td·129s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
L
Mark Madsen
LW
S-DEC R3Aug '21
-26
·72 SS (34%)·98 abs
W
Michael JohnsonVeteran
LW
U-DEC R3Feb '21
-9
·49 SS (55%)·58 abs·3/7 td·413s ctrl·1 sub att
L
King Green
LW
U-DEC R3Jun '20
-62
·23 SS (35%)·85 abs·3/12 td·2 td taken·272s ctrl
L
Jim MillerElite
LW
SUB R1 · 0:58Aug '19
0
·2 SS (40%)·2 abs·11s ctrl
Guida — Prior Tracked Fights (3)
LGilbert MelendezStrikeforceS-DECR5—
WJoe MartinWECU-DECR3—
WJosh ThomsonStrikeforceU-DECR5—
All Fighters
Lightweight
“The Carpenter”

Clay Guida

38-2237 UFC
Form
3L
5'7"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·44age
Last fightLChase Hooper·SUB·1.6yr ago
Fighter Context
18–19UFC·
2KO
·
5Sub
·
11Dec
·
11.4min/fight
·
423UFC min
vs. Winning Record10–16
vs. Veterans (8+ W)3–6
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.37
34%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.353
80%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
96
93%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
59%
64%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Guida
Lightweight avg
Ground & Pound
Sig. Strikes / Min2.63
Str. Accuracy33%
1,156UFC landed/3,486attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.2 vs avg3.00
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / Fight0.16
6UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.16
CQ KO Power
Average40%ile0.52
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
62%
Body
16%
Leg
22%
By Position
Dist61%
Clinch13%
Ground25%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=37
R2
n=30
R3
n=24
R4
n=1
R5
n=1
Landed1213131011
Absorbed1415151117
Net-2-1-2-1-6
Grappling
Guida
Lightweight avg
Sub Hunter
254s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.10
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.22
TD Accuracy35%
78UFC landed/232attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.60
5UFC wins/16attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense66%
50UFC defended/72opp. attempts
Sub Defense8 loss / 30 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
39%
Decision Fighter
Win Methods
2KO/TKO
5Sub
11Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
8Sub
9Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
50%5 of 10 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.0pts
W7 dec
1.6pts
L6 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
12UD
·
8SD
·
0MD
·
40%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.61.93.3R1R2R3
R1n=37
R2n=30
R3n=24
Outputsig strikes / min
2.6
2.9
2.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.1
3.1
3.4
Diff
-0.5
-0.3
-0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Guida — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Chase HooperLW
SUB·R1·Dec '24
5 SS (38%)·7 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken
L
Joaquim SilvaLW
U-DEC·R3·Dec '23
43 SS (32%)·46 abs·2/11 td·2 td taken·263s ctrl
L
Rafa GarciaLW
U-DEC·R3·Apr '23
63 SS (25%)·141 abs·0/3 td
W
Scott HoltzmanLW
S-DEC·R3·Dec '22
66 SS (36%)·65 abs·4/15 td·335s ctrl
L
Claudio PuellesLW
SUB·R1·Apr '22
3 SS (75%)·1 abs·0/1 td·70s ctrl
W
Leonardo SantosLW
SUB·R2·Dec '21
18 SS (36%)·41 abs·2/7 td·129s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub
L
Mark MadsenLW
S-DEC·R3·Aug '21
72 SS (34%)·98 abs
W
Michael JohnsonVeteranLW
U-DEC·R3·Feb '21
49 SS (55%)·58 abs·3/7 td·413s ctrl·1 sub
Guida — Prior Tracked Fights (3)
LGilbert MelendezStrikeforceS-DECR5
WJoe MartinWECU-DECR3
WJosh ThomsonStrikeforceU-DECR5
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X