Matchup Analysis·Light Heavyweight
VS
Light Heavyweight205 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Modestas Bukauskas
“The Baltic Gladiator”
20-713 UFCLast4mo ago
Balanced
Early Chaos
High Wear
6'3"ht·76"reach·Switchstance·32age
Signals1 signal
REACH CLIFF
Sy has a 7" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Sy's reach is a structural advantage.
CQ Core Edges
Sy
+1.54
Bukauskas
-0.72
Sy
0.44
Bukauskas
0.08
Sy
78%
Bukauskas
24%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Sy
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Bukauskas
31
LowCQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Sy3.41SLpM
+SLpM3.14Bukauskas
6.5
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
SyEarly Finisher
BukauskasOutput Holds Steady+6% R1→R3
Finish History
Sy
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Bukauskas
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
4/8
Stopped rate (losses)
80%
4/5
Edge & Exposure
Sy
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
Bukauskas
ExposureWear Concern
High accumulated UFC fight volume. Susceptible to opponents who apply pressure in later rounds.
Opposition Quality
Sy3–2UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Bukauskas8–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–3
Record (4)
-1.8
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)-5% step-up
2–1
Record (3)
+0.0
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
SyLight HeavyweightBukauskas
82nd
Striking Differential
28th78th
Grappling Threat
36th94th
Round Win Rate
4th48th
TD Defense
78th97th
Durability
21st39th
Finishing Rate
17thRecent Form
Sy
Stat
Bukauskas
2.323.41 career
⚠↓1.09
SLpMOutput
↓0.34
2.803.14 career
1.991.87 career
↑0.12
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.60
3.263.86 career
6.227.01 career
↓0.79
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Sy40% distance
Finish 60%Decision 40%
Bukauskas39% distance
Finish 61%Decision 39%
Sy 5 UFC fights·Bukauskas 13 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Sy
8.6min
Bukauskas
10.1min
Combined Distance Rate
39%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
SyTO KNOCK OUTBukauskas
50
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins3
Bukauskas's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses4
Total UFC losses5
BukauskasTO KNOCK OUTSy
27
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins8
Sy's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses2
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
SyTO SUBMITBukauskas
17
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins3
Bukauskas's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses5
BukauskasTO SUBMITSy
39
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins8
Sy's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses2
SyWin MethodBukauskas
33%
KO / TKO
38%
33%
Submission
13%
33%
Decision
50%
3 UFC wins · 1 KO · 1 Sub · 1 Dec8 UFC wins · 3 KO · 1 Sub · 4 Dec
Sy
Loss Method
Bukauskas0%
KO / TKO
80%
50%
Submission
0%
50%
Decision
20%
2 UFC losses · 1 Sub · 1 Dec5 UFC losses · 4 KO · 1 Dec
Sy3 stoppages · 1 KO · 2 Sub
R1
3
R20
R30
KO Win
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LSubIon CutelabaR1 · 4:24
WKOBrendson RibeiroR1 · 4:42
WSubTuco TokkosR1 · 3:43
Bukauskas8 stoppages · 7 KO · 1 Sub
R1
4
R2
2
R3
2
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
LKONikita KrylovR3 · 4:57
WKOPaul CraigR1 · 5:00
WKORafael CerqueiraR1 · 2:12
WSubMarcin PrachnioR3 · 3:12
LKOVitor PetrinoR2 · 1:03
Historical Context
Sy — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
5 SS (45%)·14 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·18s ctrl
17 SS (40%)·5 abs·2/4 td·208s ctrl
34 SS (35%)·29 abs·1/5 td·253s ctrl
90 SS (60%)·29 abs·2/7 td·182s ctrl
0 SS (0%)·3 abs·2/3 td·210s ctrl·1 sub att
Bukauskas — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
36 SS (45%)·36 abs·135s ctrl
40 SS (37%)·72 abs·1 td taken·56s ctrl·1 kd taken
22 SS (61%)·6 abs·110s ctrl
44 SS (48%)·58 abs·86s ctrl
16 SS (39%)·9 abs·1 kd
38 SS (50%)·70 abs·2/2 td·331s ctrl·1 sub att
Common Opponents
Ion CutelabaSplit result
L
Sy
Sub·R1·2026
W
Bukauskas
SD·R3·2025