CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA
Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues4 / 13
←Ridder vs DolidzeJudice vs Chaves→
Red Corner

MarQuel Mederos

11-1-14 UFCLast4mo ago
Kickboxer
Rising
5'10"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·29age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Mason Jones

“The Dragon”
18-2(1 NC)7 UFCLast5mo ago
Wrestler
Goes Long
5'10"ht·74"+5"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
CQ
EdgesDecision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionJonesSlight edge
GrapplingJonesClear edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
REACH CLIFF

Jones has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Jones's reach is a structural advantage.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Mederos
+0.88
Jones
+1.53
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Jones
Mederos
0.06
Jones
0.63
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Jones
Mederos
58%
Jones
74%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Mederos
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Jones
88
Durable
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Mederos5.46SLpM
+
SLpM5.98Jones
11.4
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
MederosOutput Holds Steady+18% R1→R3
JonesOutput Holds Steady-3% R1→R3
Finish History
Mederos
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/3
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Jones
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/2
Edge & Exposure
Mederos
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

Jones
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Opposition Quality
Mederos3–0UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Jones4–2UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–0
Record (3)
+3.4
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
MederosLightweightJones
73rd
Striking Differential
91st
12th
Grappling Threat
94th
65th
Round Win Rate
92nd
87th
TD Defense
68th
81st
Durability
86th
—
Finishing Rate
7th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Mederos
Stat
Jones
5.915.46 career
↑0.45
SLpMOutput
↑0.50
6.485.98 career
5.134.58 career
↑0.55
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.66
3.794.45 career
2.333.00 career
↓0.67
TD AttAttempts/15m
↓0.82
5.486.30 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Mederos5 fightsJones
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.46
5.98
Str. Accuracy
58%
42%
Sig. Absorbed / min
4.58
4.45
Str. Defense
52%
50%
CQ KO Power
0.31
0.18
MederosStrike DistributionJones
By Target
59%
Head
69%
16%
Body
23%
25%
Leg
8%
By Position
84%
Distance
71%
12%
Clinch
16%
4%
Ground
13%
Sig Strikes
Mederos
82avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
15.0 min
Goes Dist
100%
Jones
77avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
12.9 min
Goes Dist
71%
Historical Context
Mederos — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·4 fights
D
Chris PadillaLW
M-DEC
R3
Apr '26
112 SS (62%)·147 abs·1/6 td·1 td taken·16s ctrl
W
Mark ChoinskiLW
U-DEC
R3
Jun '25
110 SS (67%)·58 abs·2 td taken·38s ctrl·1 kd
W
Austin HubbardLW
S-DEC
R3
Mar '25
44 SS (65%)·26 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·93s ctrl
W
Landon QuinonesLW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '24
60 SS (41%)·55 abs·0/5 td·1 td taken·253s ctrl
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WIssa Isakov
DWCSKO/TKOR1Oct 2023
View full fight log →
Jones — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Axel SolaLW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
110 SS (47%)·65 abs·3 td taken·5s ctrl
W
Bolaji OkiLW
KO/TKO
R23:18
Sep '25
57 SS (42%)·38 abs·2/2 td·221s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Jeremy StephensEliteLW
U-DEC
R3
May '25
81 SS (35%)·42 abs·8/12 td·363s ctrl
L
Ludovit KleinLW
U-DEC
R3
Jul '22
43 SS (41%)·50 abs·0/3 td·137s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
David OnamaLW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '21
87 SS (55%)·90 abs·8/14 td·541s ctrl
NC
Alan PatrickLW
Could Not …
R2
Jun '21
46 SS (54%)·10 abs·2/3 td·221s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
4/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

MarQuel Mederos

11-1-14 UFC4mo ago
5'10"ht69"reachOrthodox29 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Mason Jones

“The Dragon”
18-2(1 NC)7 UFC5mo ago
5'10"ht74"+5"reachOrthodox31 yrs
CQ
Edges
Decision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionJonesSlight edge
GrapplingJonesClear edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
Signals
1
REACH CLIFFJones has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Jones's reach is a structural advantage.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Mederos+0.88
Jones+1.53
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Jones
Mederos0.06
Jones0.63
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Jones
Mederos58%
Jones74%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Mederos
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Jones
88Durable
Stats
Mederos
Jones
Striking
5.46SS Landed / min5.98
58%Str Acc42%
4.58SS Absorbed / min4.45
52%Str Def50%
0.25KD / fight0.14
Grappling
0.23TD / min3.48
82%TD Def73%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.20
100%Sub Def—
Finish History
Mederos
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/3
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Jones
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/2
Mederos100% distance
Finish 0%Decision 100%
Jones71% distance
Finish 29%Decision 71%
Mederos 4 UFC fights·Jones 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Mederos
15.0min
Jones
12.9min
Combined Distance Rate
82%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
MederosWinJones
0%
KO
25%
0%
Sub
0%
100%
Dec
75%
3 wins3 Dec
3 Dec1 KO4 wins
MederosLossJones
—
KO
0%
—
Sub
0%
—
Dec
100%
—
2 Dec2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Mederos
to knock out
Jones
27Elevated
Jones
to knock out
Mederos
28Elevated
Mederos
to submit
Jones
8Minimal
Jones
to submit
Mederos
9Minimal
Recent Form
Mederos
Stat
Jones
5.91
5.46 career
↑0.45
SLpMOutput
↑0.50
6.48
5.98 career
5.13
4.58 career
↑0.55
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.66
3.79
4.45 career
2.33
3.00 career
↓0.67
TD AttAtt/15m
↓0.82
5.48
6.30 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Mederos—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·4 fights
D
Chris PadillaLW Bout
M-DEC · R3 · Apr '26
112 SS (62%)·147 abs·1/6 td·1 td taken·16s ctrl
W
Mark ChoinskiLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '25
110 SS (67%)·58 abs·2 td taken·38s ctrl·1 kd
W
Austin HubbardLW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
44 SS (65%)·26 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·93s ctrl
W
Landon QuinonesLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '24
60 SS (41%)·55 abs·0/5 td·1 td taken·253s ctrl
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WIssa Isakov
DWCSKO/TKOR1Oct 2023
View full fight log →
Jones—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Axel SolaLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
110 SS (47%)·65 abs·3 td taken·5s ctrl
W
Bolaji OkiLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:18 · Sep '25
57 SS (42%)·38 abs·2/2 td·221s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Jeremy StephensEliteLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '25
81 SS (35%)·42 abs·8/12 td·363s ctrl
L
Ludovit KleinLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jul '22
43 SS (41%)·50 abs·0/3 td·137s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
David OnamaLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '21
87 SS (55%)·90 abs·8/14 td·541s ctrl
NC
Alan PatrickLW Bout
Could Not … · R2 · Jun '21
46 SS (54%)·10 abs·2/3 td·221s ctrl
View full fight log →
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X