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Alan Patrick absorbs 3.0 and lands 1.8 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Alan Patrick's striking output and strike differential both decline in later rounds.

Alan Patrick's takedown activity is a consistent part of the output. Takedown threat ranks in the upper third of the division.

Alan Patrick wins 44% of rounds across 25 scored. Concedes more rounds than wins across fights on record.

Alan Patrick has 3 KO/TKO losses in 4 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.30 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 35 out of 99, low for the division.

Alan Patrick's last fight was over 50 months ago.

Alan Patrick is 42 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“Nuguette”

Alan Patrick

15-4 (1 NC)10 UFC
Wrestler
Form
Inactive
Output Drops Late
High Wear
5'11"ht·74"reach·Southpawstance·42age
Last fightLMichael Johnson·KO/TKO·R2·4yr ago
Fighter Context
5–4UFC1 NC·
1KO
·
0Sub
·
4Dec
·
11.5min/fight
·
115UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3(5 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
-1.7str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.13
Deficit
13%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.323
Strong
76%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
35
Low
15%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
44%
Passive
29%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Alan Patrick — 1.82 significant strikes per minute, 40% striking accuracy, absorbs 2.95 strikes per minute.

Patrick
Body Attacker
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.82
Str. Accuracy40%
209UFC landed/513attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.3 vs avg2.95
Str. Defense43%
KD Rate / fight0.10
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.30
CQ KO Power
Below Avg37%ile0.48
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
61%
Body
25%
Leg
14%
By Position
Distance67%
/
Clinch12%
/
Ground22%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 110 rounds
Round 29 rounds
Round 36 rounds
Avg. Landed1078
Avg. Absorbed141116
Avg. Net-3-5-9
Grappling

Alan Patrick — 3.0 takedowns per 15 minutes, 33% takedown accuracy, 0.3 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 43% takedown defense.

Patrick
G&P Threat
·253s ctrlElite Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.01
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY9.02
TD Accuracy33%
23UFC landed/69attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
0UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
TD Defense43%
7UFC defended/16opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing

Alan Patrick — 5 UFC wins (1 KO/TKO, 4 decision), 20% finish rate.

Finish Rate
20%
Decision Fighter
div avg 52%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 5
Submission0 / 5
Decision4 / 5
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 4
Submission0 / 4
Decision1 / 4
Loss Pattern
2 of 4 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
2.4pts
W4 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 21 vs 21 first half
0+12+23+35+46avg↵↵↵NC20132014201520162018202020212022

10 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.41.32.9R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=9
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.1
1.6
1.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.8
2.8
3.4
Diff
-0.7
-1.1
-1.9

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-80%L3
-62%25%113%LWWWLLNCL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Patrick — 10 UFC Fights

Alan Patrick — UFC fight record: 5 wins, 4 losses.

Result
Method
10 fights
L
Michael JohnsonVeteran
LW
KO/TKO R2 · 3:22May '22
-8
·22 SS (47%)·30 abs·0/5 td·1 td taken·12s ctrl·1 kd taken
NC
Mason Jones
LW
Could Not Co… R2 · 2:14Jun '21
-36
·10 SS (31%)·46 abs·0/4 td·2 td taken
⚠ Eye poke stoppage
L
King Green
LW
U-DEC R3Sep '20
-42
·19 SS (28%)·61 abs·1/6 td·4 td taken·103s ctrl
↵ 23mo layoff
L
Scott Holtzman
LW
KO/TKO R3 · 3:42Oct '18
-48
·25 SS (40%)·73 abs·0/4 td·1 td taken·13s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Damir Hadzovic
LW
U-DEC R3Feb '18
+8
·28 SS (62%)·20 abs·9/15 td·749s ctrl
↵ 17mo layoff
W
Stevie Ray
LW
U-DEC R3Sep '16
+5
·7 SS (58%)·2 abs·5/8 td·732s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Damien Brown
LW
U-DEC R3Mar '16
+10
·25 SS (64%)·15 abs·5/7 td·1 td taken·744s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Mairbek Taisumov
LW
KO/TKO R2 · 1:30Jun '15
-6
·17 SS (45%)·23 abs·0/7 td·23s ctrl·1 kd taken
↵ 16mo layoff
W
John Makdessi
LW
U-DEC R3Feb '14
-21
·40 SS (30%)·61 abs·2/11 td·100s ctrl
W
Garett Whiteley
LW
KO/TKO R1 · 3:54Oct '13
+9
·16 SS (46%)·7 abs·1/2 td·53s ctrl·1 kd landed
All Fighters
Lightweight
“Nuguette”

Alan Patrick

15-4 (1 NC)10 UFC
Form
5'11"ht·74"reach·Southpawstance·42age
Last fightLMichael Johnson·KO/TKO·4yr ago
Fighter Context
5–4UFC1 NC·
1KO
·
0Sub
·
4Dec
·
11.5min/fight
·
115UFC min
vs. Winning Record2–3
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.13
13%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.323
76%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
35
15%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
44%
29%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Patrick
Lightweight avg
Body Attacker
Sig. Strikes / Min1.82
Str. Accuracy40%
209UFC landed/513attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.3 vs avg2.95
Str. Defense43%
KD Rate / Fight0.10
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.30
CQ KO Power
Below Avg37%ile0.48
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
61%
Body
25%
Leg
14%
By Position
Dist67%
Clinch12%
Ground22%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=10
R2
n=9
R3
n=6
Landed1078
Absorbed141116
Net-3-5-9
Grappling
Patrick
Lightweight avg
G&P Threat
253s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.01
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY9.02
TD Accuracy33%
23UFC landed/69attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
0UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
TD Defense43%
7UFC defended/16opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 3 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
20%
Decision Fighter
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
4Dec
Loss Methods
3KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.4pts
W4 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.41.32.9R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=9
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.1
1.6
1.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.8
2.8
3.4
Diff
-0.7
-1.1
-1.9

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Patrick — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Michael JohnsonVeteranLW
KO/TKO·R2·May '22
22 SS (47%)·30 abs·0/5 td·1 td taken·12s ctrl·1 kd taken
NC
Mason JonesLW
Could Not Co…·R2·Jun '21
10 SS (31%)·46 abs·0/4 td·2 td taken
L
King GreenLW
U-DEC·R3·Sep '20
19 SS (28%)·61 abs·1/6 td·4 td taken·103s ctrl
L
Scott HoltzmanLW
KO/TKO·R3·Oct '18
25 SS (40%)·73 abs·0/4 td·1 td taken·13s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Damir HadzovicLW
U-DEC·R3·Feb '18
28 SS (62%)·20 abs·9/15 td·749s ctrl
W
Stevie RayLW
U-DEC·R3·Sep '16
7 SS (58%)·2 abs·5/8 td·732s ctrl·1 sub
W
Damien BrownLW
U-DEC·R3·Mar '16
25 SS (64%)·15 abs·5/7 td·1 td taken·744s ctrl·1 sub
L
Mairbek TaisumovLW
KO/TKO·R2·Jun '15
17 SS (45%)·23 abs·0/7 td·23s ctrl·1 kd taken
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X