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Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov10 / 12
←Ponzinibbio vs PattersonTuchalov vs Ribeiro→
Red Corner

Ismael Bonfim

“Marreta”
20-65 UFCLast8mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Moderate Wear
5'8"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·30age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Axel Sola

11-1-12 UFCLast4mo ago
6'0"+4"ht·74"+3"reach·Southpawstance·28age
◈
Uneven DataSola has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
Uneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingBonfimDominant
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.SolaSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
SOUTHPAW

Sola is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Sola natural angle advantages at range.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Bonfim
Bonfim
+1.80
Sola
-1.22
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No data
Bonfim
Opponent data thin
Sola
Too few fights
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Bonfim
67%
Sola
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Bonfim
33
Low
Sola
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Bonfim5.51SLpM
+
SLpM4.07Sola
9.6
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
BonfimOutput Holds Steady
SolaToo few fights
Finish History
Bonfim
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
3/3
Sola
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Fighter Context
Bonfim·UFC 2-3·1 KO · 1 Dec·2 KO loss · 1 Sub loss
Sola·UFC 1-1·1 KO·1 Dec loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Pre-UFC10-0-1
Win method
5 KO/TKO1 Sub4 Dec
Avg opponent wins7
Wins finished6 of 10
Edge & Exposure
Bonfim
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

ExposureChin Question

KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.

Sola

Insufficient UFC sample for a fighter read.

Opposition Quality
Bonfim2–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3
Record (5)
+1.3
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Sola1–1UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
BonfimLightweightSola
93rd
Striking Differential
—
46th
Grappling Threat
—
87th
Round Win Rate
—
76th
TD Defense
—
14th
Durability
—
41st
Finishing Rate
—

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Bonfim
Stat
Sola
6.075.51 career
↑0.56
SLpMOutput
—
4.683.71 career
⚠↑0.97
SApMAbsorbed
—
2.543.25 career
↓0.71
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Bonfim6 fightsSola2 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.51
4.07
Str. Accuracy
54%
45%
Sig. Absorbed / min
3.71
5.29
Str. Defense
65%
61%
CQ KO Power
0.44
0.91
BonfimStrike DistributionSola
By Target
67%
Head
81%
22%
Body
19%
12%
Leg
0%
By Position
90%
Distance
88%
8%
Clinch
8%
2%
Ground
4%
Sig Strikes
Bonfim
45avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
8.3 min
Goes Dist
20%
Sola
55avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
13.5 min
Goes Dist
50%
Historical Context
Bonfim — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·5 fights
L
Chris PadillaLW
KO/TKO
R24:30
Nov '25
42 SS (50%)·64 abs·1/3 td·15s ctrl
L
Nazim SadykhovLW
KO/TKO
R15:00
Feb '25
26 SS (62%)·13 abs
W
Vinc PichelLW
U-DEC
R3
May '24
111 SS (51%)·61 abs·1/2 td·1 td taken·30s ctrl
L
Benoit Saint DenisLW
SUB
R14:48
Jul '23
14 SS (58%)·13 abs·2 td taken·10s ctrl
W
Terrance McKinneyLW
KO/TKO
R22:17
Jan '23
34 SS (69%)·14 abs·1/4 td·48s ctrl·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WNariman Abbasov
DWCSU-DECR3Sep 2022
View full fight log →
Sola — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
L
Mason JonesLW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
65 SS (48%)·110 abs·3/7 td·139s ctrl
W
Rhys McKeeWW
KO/TKO
R32:02
Sep '25
45 SS (43%)·33 abs·1/4 td·185s ctrl·1 kd
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Ghiles Oudelha16-7
DECJun 2025
W
Lucas Caio12-5
KO/TKOR2Jan 2025
W
Soslan Gagloev5-0
KO/TKOR2Sep 2024
D
Daguir Imavov15-3
DECJun 2024
View full fight log →
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
10/12←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Ismael Bonfim

“Marreta”
20-65 UFC8mo ago
5'8"ht71"reachOrthodox30 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Axel Sola

11-1-12 UFC4mo ago
6'0"+4"ht74"+3"reachSouthpaw28 yrs
◈
Uneven Data Sola has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish RiskUneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingBonfimDominant
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.SolaSlight edge
Signals
1
SOUTHPAWSola is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
Fighter Context
Bonfim·UFC 2-3·1 KO · 1 Dec·2 KO loss · 1 Sub loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Sola·UFC 1-1·1 KO·1 Dec loss
Pre-UFC10-0-1
Win method
5 KO/TKO1 Sub4 Dec
Avg opponent wins7
Wins finished6 of 10
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Bonfim
Bonfim+1.80
Sola-1.22
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No data
BonfimOpponent data thin
SolaToo few fights
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Bonfim67%
SolaToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Bonfim
33Low
Sola
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Bonfim
Sola
Striking
5.51SS Landed / min4.07
54%Str Acc45%
3.71SS Absorbed / min5.29
65%Str Def61%
0.20KD / fight0.50
Grappling
1.06TD / min2.22
76%TD Def0%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.00
50%Sub Def—
Finish History
Bonfim
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
3/3
Sola
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Bonfim20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Sola50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Bonfim 5 UFC fights·Sola 2 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Bonfim
8.3min
Sola
13.5min
Combined Distance Rate
29%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
BonfimWinSola
50%
KO
100%
0%
Sub
0%
50%
Dec
0%
2 wins1 KO1 Dec
1 KO1 wins
BonfimLossSola
67%
KO
0%
33%
Sub
0%
0%
Dec
100%
3 losses2 KO1 Sub
1 Dec1 loss
CQ Finish Risk
Bonfim
to knock out
Sola
40High
Sola
to knock out
Bonfim
51High
Bonfim
to submit
Sola
10Minimal
Sola
to submit
Bonfim
26Elevated
Recent Form
Bonfim
Stat
Sola
6.07
5.51 career
↑0.56
SLpMOutput
—
4.68
3.71 career
↑0.97
SApMAbsorbed
—
2.54
3.25 career
↓0.71
TD AttAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Bonfim—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·5 fights
L
Chris PadillaLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Nov '25
42 SS (50%)·64 abs·1/3 td·15s ctrl
L
Nazim SadykhovLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Feb '25
26 SS (62%)·13 abs
W
Vinc PichelLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '24
111 SS (51%)·61 abs·1/2 td·1 td taken·30s ctrl
L
Benoit Saint DenisLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:48 · Jul '23
14 SS (58%)·13 abs·2 td taken·10s ctrl
W
Terrance McKinneyLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:17 · Jan '23
34 SS (69%)·14 abs·1/4 td·48s ctrl·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WNariman Abbasov
DWCSU-DECR3Sep 2022
View full fight log →
Sola—Fight History
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
L
Mason JonesLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
65 SS (48%)·110 abs·3/7 td·139s ctrl
W
Rhys McKeeWW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:02 · Sep '25
45 SS (43%)·33 abs·1/4 td·185s ctrl·1 kd
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Ghiles Oudelha16-7
DECJun 2025
W
Lucas Caio12-5
KO/TKOR2Jan 2025
W
Soslan Gagloev5-0
KO/TKOR2Sep 2024
D
Daguir Imavov15-3
DECJun 2024
View full fight log →
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Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X