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Matchup Analysis·Light Heavyweight Bout
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi2 / 13
←Kape vs HoriguchiOliveira vs Fili→
Red Corner

Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”
20-11-1(1 NC)20 UFCLast3mo ago
Wrestler
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Drops Late
Moderate Wear
6'1"ht·75"reach·Southpawstance·32age
VS
Light Heavyweight205 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Navajo Stirling

9-04 UFCLast3mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Hot Streak
6'4"+3"ht·79"+4"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingStirlingDominant
DecisionStirlingDominant
GrapplingCutelabaClear edge
KO Adv.StirlingClear edge
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
2 signals
CARDIO

Cutelaba's output and strike differential trend downward in later rounds.

SOUTHPAW

Cutelaba is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Cutelaba natural angle advantages at range.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Stirling
Cutelaba
+0.95
Stirling
+3.58
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Cutelaba
Cutelaba
0.68
Stirling
0.24
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Stirling
Cutelaba
58%
Stirling
100%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Cutelaba
66
Average
Stirling
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Cutelaba4.23SLpM
+
SLpM6.25Stirling
10.5
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Stirling
CutelabaOutput Drops Late
StirlingOutput Builds Late+48% R1→R3
Finish History
Cutelaba
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
67%
6/9
Stopped rate (losses)
70%
7/10
Stirling
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Edge & Exposure
Cutelaba
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

ExposureFades Hard

Output drops significantly in later rounds. Extended fights are a structural disadvantage.

Stirling
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Opposition Quality
Cutelaba9–10UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–9
Record (15)
+0.4
Str Diff/Min
80%
Finish (W)
Stirling4–0UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
CutelabaLight HeavyweightStirling
70th
Striking Differential
99th
94th
Grappling Threat
46th
67th
Round Win Rate
99th
63rd
TD Defense
78th
54th
Durability
89th
37th
Finishing Rate
4th
Recent Form
Cutelaba
Stat
Stirling
3.874.23 career
↓0.36
SLpMOutput
↑0.25
6.506.25 career
2.883.28 career
↓0.40
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.07
2.742.67 career
6.747.61 career
↓0.87
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.95
3.452.50 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
CutelabaStirling5 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.23
6.25
Str. Accuracy
43%
52%
Sig. Absorbed / min
3.28
2.67
Str. Defense
47%
58%
CQ KO Power
0.30
0.60
CutelabaStrike DistributionStirling
By Target
70%
Head
46%
18%
Body
35%
12%
Leg
19%
By Position
60%
Distance
82%
20%
Clinch
7%
20%
Ground
11%
Sig Strikes
Cutelaba
34avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
8.0 min
Goes Dist
35%
Stirling
83avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
13.5 min
Goes Dist
75%
Historical Context
Cutelaba — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Oumar SyLHW
SUB
R14:24
Mar '26
14 SS (70%)·5 abs·1/2 td·147s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Modestas BukauskasLHW
S-DEC
R3
May '25
58 SS (45%)·44 abs·0/4 td·141s ctrl
W
Ibo AslanLHW
SUB
R12:51
Feb '25
14 SS (45%)·15 abs·2/4 td·66s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Ivan ErslanLHW
S-DEC
R3
Sep '24
45 SS (38%)·39 abs·3/12 td·1 td taken·119s ctrl
L
Philipe LinsLHW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '24
47 SS (48%)·67 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·16s ctrl
W
Tanner BoserLHW
KO/TKO
R12:05
Apr '23
30 SS (75%)·5 abs·1/1 td·17s ctrl
View full fight log →
Stirling — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·4 fights
W
Bruno LopesLHW
KO/TKO
R24:05
Mar '26
63 SS (53%)·28 abs·91s ctrl·1 kd
W
Rodolfo BellatoLHW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '25
81 SS (51%)·43 abs·1/4 td·2 td taken·233s ctrl
W
Ivan ErslanLHW
U-DEC
R3
May '25
110 SS (49%)·36 abs·3/5 td·181s ctrl·1 kd
W
Tuco TokkosLHW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '24
78 SS (50%)·32 abs·3 td taken·54s ctrl
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WPhillip Latu
DWCSKO/TKOR2Sep 2024
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Ivan ErslanSame result
W
Cutelaba
SD·R3·2024
W
Stirling
UD·R3·2025
Matchup·LHW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
2/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”
20-11-1(1 NC)20 UFC3mo ago
6'1"ht75"reachSouthpaw32 yrs
VS·LHW·3R
Blue Corner

Navajo Stirling

9-04 UFC3mo ago
6'4"+3"ht79"+4"reachOrthodox28 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingStirlingDominant
DecisionStirlingDominant
GrapplingCutelabaClear edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.StirlingClear edge
Sub Adv.No edge
Signals
2
CARDIOCutelaba's output and strike differential trend downward in later rounds.
SOUTHPAWCutelaba is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Stirling
Cutelaba+0.95
Stirling+3.58
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Cutelaba
Cutelaba0.68
Stirling0.24
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Stirling
Cutelaba58%
Stirling100%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Cutelaba
66Average
Stirling
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Cutelaba
Stirling
Striking
4.23SS Landed / min6.25
43%Str Acc52%
3.28SS Absorbed / min2.67
47%Str Def58%
0.10KD / fight0.50
Grappling
3.76TD / min0.98
75%TD Def82%
0.20Sub Att · /15m0.00
33%Sub Def—
Finish History
Cutelaba
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
67%
6/9
Stopped Rate (Losses)
70%
7/10
Stirling
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
25%
1/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Cutelaba35% distance
Finish 65%Decision 35%
Stirling75% distance
Finish 25%Decision 75%
Cutelaba 20 UFC fights·Stirling 4 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Cutelaba
8.0min
Stirling
13.5min
Combined Distance Rate
42%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
CutelabaWinStirling
44%
KO
25%
22%
Sub
0%
33%
Dec
75%
9 wins4 KO2 Sub3 Dec
3 Dec1 KO4 wins
CutelabaLossStirling
30%
KO
—
40%
Sub
—
30%
Dec
—
10 losses3 KO4 Sub3 Dec
—
CQ Finish Risk
Cutelaba
to knock out
Stirling
32Elevated
Stirling
to knock out
Cutelaba
45High
Cutelaba
to submit
Stirling
23Low
Stirling
to submit
Cutelaba
26Elevated
Recent Form
Cutelaba
Stat
Stirling
3.87
4.23 career
↓0.36
SLpMOutput
↑0.25
6.50
6.25 career
2.88
3.28 career
↓0.40
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.07
2.74
2.67 career
6.74
7.61 career
↓0.87
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.95
3.45
2.50 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Cutelaba—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Oumar SyLHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:24 · Mar '26
14 SS (70%)·5 abs·1/2 td·147s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Modestas BukauskasLHW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · May '25
58 SS (45%)·44 abs·0/4 td·141s ctrl
W
Ibo AslanLHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:51 · Feb '25
14 SS (45%)·15 abs·2/4 td·66s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Ivan ErslanLHW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Sep '24
45 SS (38%)·39 abs·3/12 td·1 td taken·119s ctrl
L
Philipe LinsLHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '24
47 SS (48%)·67 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·16s ctrl
W
Tanner BoserLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:05 · Apr '23
30 SS (75%)·5 abs·1/1 td·17s ctrl
View full fight log →
Stirling—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·4 fights
W
Bruno LopesLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:05 · Mar '26
63 SS (53%)·28 abs·91s ctrl·1 kd
W
Rodolfo BellatoLHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '25
81 SS (51%)·43 abs·1/4 td·2 td taken·233s ctrl
W
Ivan ErslanLHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '25
110 SS (49%)·36 abs·3/5 td·181s ctrl·1 kd
W
Tuco TokkosLHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '24
78 SS (50%)·32 abs·3 td taken·54s ctrl
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WPhillip Latu
DWCSKO/TKOR2Sep 2024
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Ivan ErslanSame result
W
Cutelaba
SD·R3·2024
W
Stirling
UD·R3·2025
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X