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Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse2 / 14
←Hooker vs ParnassePage vs Ruziboev→
Red Corner

Fares Ziam

“The Smile Killer”
18-511 UFCLast3mo ago
Counter Striker
Goes Long
6'1"ht·75"reach·Orthodoxstance·29age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Axel Sola

12-1-13 UFCLastthis month
Complete Fighter
6'0"ht·74"reach·Southpawstance·28age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingZiamSlight edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.SolaDominant
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
SOUTHPAW

Sola is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Sola natural angle advantages at range.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Ziam
Ziam
+1.10
Sola
-0.03
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No edge
Ziam
0.63
Sola
0.57
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Ziam
62%
Sola
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Ziam
99
Ironclad
Sola
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Ziam2.68SLpM
+
SLpM4.50Sola
7.2
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Sola
ZiamOutput Drops Late-27% R1→R3
SolaEarly Finisher
Finish History
Ziam
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
25%
2/8
Stopped rate (losses)
33%
1/3
Sola
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Edge & Exposure
Ziam
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

Sola
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

Opposition Quality
Ziam8–3UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–2
Record (6)
+1.2
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Sola2–1UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
ZiamLightweightSola
78th
Striking Differential
47th
66th
Grappling Threat
63rd
74th
Round Win Rate
—
61st
TD Defense
49th
97th
Durability
74th
8th
Finishing Rate
92nd

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Ziam
Stat
Sola
2.052.68 career
↓0.63
SLpMOutput
↑0.00
4.504.50 career
1.381.58 career
↓0.20
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.00
4.534.53 career
6.384.34 career
↑2.04
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.00
5.195.19 career
1.130.50 career
↑0.63
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.03
0.470.50 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Ziam73% distance
Finish 27%Decision 73%
Sola33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Ziam 11 UFC fights·Sola 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Ziam
13.2min
Sola
10.6min
Combined Distance Rate
64%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ZiamTO KNOCK OUTSola
27
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins8
Sola's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
SolaTO KNOCK OUTZiam
26
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins2
Ziam's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses3
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ZiamTO SUBMITSola
13
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins8
Sola's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
SolaTO SUBMITZiam
64
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins2
Ziam's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses3
ZiamWin MethodSola
25%
KO / TKO
50%
0%
Submission
50%
75%
Decision
0%
8 UFC wins · 2 KO · 6 Dec2 UFC wins · 1 KO · 1 Sub
Ziam
Loss Method
Sola
0%
KO / TKO
0%
33%
Submission
0%
67%
Decision
100%
3 UFC losses · 1 Sub · 2 Dec1 UFC loss · 1 Dec
Ziam3 stoppages · 2 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
1
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKONazim SadykhovR2 · 4:59
WKOMatt FrevolaR3 · 2:59
LSubTerrance McKinneyR1 · 2:11
Sola2 stoppages · 1 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
0
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubIsmael BonfimR1 · 4:44
WKORhys McKeeR3 · 2:02
Historical Context
Ziam — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Tom NolanLW
U-DEC
R3
Jun '26
16 SS (50%)·31 abs·3/5 td·2 td taken·307s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Nazim SadykhovLW
KO/TKO
R24:59
Dec '25
31 SS (63%)·4 abs·2/5 td·358s ctrl·1 kd·2 sub att
W
Mike DavisLW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '25
35 SS (63%)·20 abs·4/7 td·1 td taken·431s ctrl
W
Matt FrevolaLW
KO/TKO
R32:59
Sep '24
58 SS (62%)·16 abs·4/4 td·1 td taken·283s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
W
Claudio PuellesLW
S-DEC
R3
Feb '24
31 SS (65%)·4 abs·7 td taken·270s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jai HerbertLW
U-DEC
R3
Jul '23
61 SS (54%)·49 abs·1/5 td·90s ctrl
View full fight log →
Sola — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Ismael BonfimLW
SUB
R14:44
Jul '26
33 SS (75%)·1 abs·1 td taken·123s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
L
Mason JonesLW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
65 SS (48%)·110 abs·3/7 td·139s ctrl
W
Rhys McKeeWW
KO/TKO
R32:02
Sep '25
45 SS (43%)·33 abs·1/4 td·185s ctrl·1 kd
W
Ghiles Oudelha16-7
DECJun 2025
W
Lucas Caio12-5
KO/TKOR2Jan 2025
W
Soslan Gagloev5-0
KO/TKOR2Sep 2024
View full fight log →
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
2/14←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Fares Ziam

“The Smile Killer”
18-511 UFC3mo ago
6'1"ht75"reachOrthodox29 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Axel Sola

12-1-13 UFCthis month
6'0"ht74"reachSouthpaw28 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingZiamSlight edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.SolaDominant
Signals
1
SOUTHPAWSola is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Ziam
Ziam+1.10
Sola-0.03
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No edge
Ziam0.63
Sola0.57
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Ziam62%
SolaToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Ziam
99Ironclad
Sola
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Ziam
Sola
Striking
2.68SS Landed / min4.50
52%Str Acc50%
1.58SS Absorbed / min4.53
63%Str Def61%
0.18KD / fight0.67
Grappling
1.86TD / min1.89
70%TD Def66%
0.50Sub Att · /15m0.50
67%Sub Def—
Finish History
Ziam
KO/TKO ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
25%
2/8
Stopped Rate (Losses)
33%
1/3
Sola
KO/TKO ×1Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Ziam73% distance
Finish 27%Decision 73%
Sola33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Ziam 11 UFC fights·Sola 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Ziam
13.2min
Sola
10.6min
Combined Distance Rate
64%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
ZiamWinSola
25%
KO
50%
0%
Sub
50%
75%
Dec
0%
8 wins2 KO6 Dec
1 Sub1 KO2 wins
ZiamLossSola
0%
KO
0%
33%
Sub
0%
67%
Dec
100%
3 losses1 Sub2 Dec
1 Dec1 loss
CQ Finish Risk
Ziam
to knock out
Sola
27Elevated
Sola
to knock out
Ziam
26Elevated
Ziam
to submit
Sola
13Low
Sola
to submit
Ziam
64Elite
Recent Form
Ziam
Stat
Sola
2.05
2.68 career
↓0.63
SLpMOutput
↑0.00
4.50
4.50 career
1.38
1.58 career
↓0.20
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.00
4.53
4.53 career
6.38
4.34 career
↑2.04
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.00
5.19
5.19 career
1.13
0.50 career
↑0.63
SubAtt/15m
↓0.03
0.47
0.50 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Ziam—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Tom NolanLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '26
16 SS (50%)·31 abs·3/5 td·2 td taken·307s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Nazim SadykhovLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:59 · Dec '25
31 SS (63%)·4 abs·2/5 td·358s ctrl·1 kd·2 sub att
W
Mike DavisLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '25
35 SS (63%)·20 abs·4/7 td·1 td taken·431s ctrl
W
Matt FrevolaLW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:59 · Sep '24
58 SS (62%)·16 abs·4/4 td·1 td taken·283s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
W
Claudio PuellesLW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Feb '24
31 SS (65%)·4 abs·7 td taken·270s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Jai HerbertLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jul '23
61 SS (54%)·49 abs·1/5 td·90s ctrl
View full fight log →
Sola—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Ismael BonfimLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:44 · Jul '26
33 SS (75%)·1 abs·1 td taken·123s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
L
Mason JonesLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
65 SS (48%)·110 abs·3/7 td·139s ctrl
W
Rhys McKeeWW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:02 · Sep '25
45 SS (43%)·33 abs·1/4 td·185s ctrl·1 kd
W
Ghiles Oudelha16-7
DECJun 2025
W
Lucas Caio12-5
KO/TKOR2Jan 2025
W
Soslan Gagloev5-0
KO/TKOR2Sep 2024
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X