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Tom Nolan lands 4.8 and absorbs 3.7 significant strikes per minute. Positive striking margin. Outputs more than concedes on the feet.

Tom Nolan's takedown attempts are present but not a primary weapon.

Tom Nolan wins 60% of rounds across 15 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Tom Nolan has 1 KO/TKO loss in 1 total UFC loss. Absorbs 0.29 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 65 out of 99, average for the division.

Tom Nolan finishes 50% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Tom Nolan is on a 6-fight win streak.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“Big Train”

Tom Nolan

12-17 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 6W
Hot Streak
Title Fight
Early Chaos
6'3"ht·73"reach·Southpawstance·26age
Last fightWRenato Moicano·KO/TKO·R3·this month
Fighter Context
6–1UFC·
2KO
·
1Sub
·
3Dec
·
9.3min/fight
·
67UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–0(4 fights)
·
50%finish rate
·
+2.3str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+1.10
Positive
79%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.094
Average
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average
43%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
60%
Strong
74%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Tom Nolan — 4.84 significant strikes per minute, 45% striking accuracy, absorbs 3.74 strikes per minute.

Nolan
Body Attacker
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min4.84
Str. Accuracy45%
324UFC landed/654attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.5 vs avg3.74
Str. Defense48%
KD Rate / fight0.14
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.29
CQ KO Power
Below Avg18%ile0.31
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
57%
Body
28%
Leg
15%
By Position
Distance69%
/
Clinch13%
/
Ground17%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 17 rounds
Round 24 rounds
Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed202423
Avg. Absorbed15199
Avg. Net+5+5+14
Grappling

Tom Nolan — 1.1 takedowns per 15 minutes, 26% takedown accuracy, 1.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 58% takedown defense.

Nolan
Sub Hunter
·89s ctrlAverage Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.08
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.67
TD Accuracy26%
5UFC landed/16attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.40
1UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense58%
9UFC defended/17opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing

Tom Nolan — 6 UFC wins (2 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 3 decision), 50% finish rate.

Finish Rate
50%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
1UFC loss
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision3 / 6
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 1
Submission0 / 1
Decision0 / 1
Loss Pattern
Stopped by KO/TKO in R1
Versatile finisher. 2 KOs and 1 sub across multiple rounds
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
1.7pts
W3 dec
—
L0 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 49 vs 43 first half
0+24+48+72+97avg202420252026

7 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.32.84.3R1R2R3
R1n=7
R2n=4
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
4.8
4.8
5.5
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.6
3.7
2.2
Diff
+1.2
+1.1
+3.3

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 7 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Absorbed-56%L3
22%81%141%LWWWWWW

Last 7 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Nolan — 7 UFC Fights

Tom Nolan — UFC fight record: 6 wins, 1 loss.

Result
Method
7 fights
W
Renato MoicanoVeteran
TITLELW
KO/TKO R3 · 1:28Oct '26
+60
·69 SS (75%)·9 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·70s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Fares ZiamVeteran
LW
U-DEC R3Jun '26
+15
·31 SS (47%)·16 abs·2/6 td·3 td taken·407s ctrl
W
Charlie Campbell
LW
SUB R1 · 4:08Sep '25
+11
·26 SS (43%)·15 abs·1/1 td·34s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Viacheslav Borshchev
LW
U-DEC R3Feb '25
+3
·69 SS (39%)·66 abs·1/8 td·121s ctrl·3 sub att
W
Alex Reyes
LW
U-DEC R3Aug '24
+15
·84 SS (48%)·69 abs·2 td taken·22s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Victor Martinez
LW
KO/TKO R1 · 3:50May '24
+15
·33 SS (52%)·18 abs·1 kd taken
L
Nikolas Motta
LW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:03Jan '24
-9
·12 SS (60%)·21 abs·1 kd taken
Nolan — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
WBogdan GradDWCSKO/TKOR1Aug 2023
All Fighters
Lightweight
“Big Train”

Tom Nolan

12-17 UFC
Form
6W
6'3"ht·73"reach·Southpawstance·26age
Last fightWRenato Moicano·KO/TKO·this month
Fighter Context
6–1UFC·
2KO
·
1Sub
·
3Dec
·
9.3min/fight
·
67UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–0
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+1.10
79%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.094
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
43%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
60%
74%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Nolan
Lightweight avg
Body Attacker
Sig. Strikes / Min4.84
Str. Accuracy45%
324UFC landed/654attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.5 vs avg3.74
Str. Defense48%
KD Rate / Fight0.14
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.29
CQ KO Power
Below Avg18%ile0.31
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
57%
Body
28%
Leg
15%
By Position
Dist69%
Clinch13%
Ground17%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=7
R2
n=4
R3
n=4
Landed202423
Absorbed15199
Net+5+5+14
Grappling
Nolan
Lightweight avg
Sub Hunter
89s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.08
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.67
TD Accuracy26%
5UFC landed/16attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.40
1UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense58%
9UFC defended/17opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 3 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
50%
Average
Win Methods
2KO/TKO
1Sub
3Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
0Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.7pts
W3 dec
—
L0 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.32.84.3R1R2R3
R1n=7
R2n=4
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
4.8
4.8
5.5
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.6
3.7
2.2
Diff
+1.2
+1.1
+3.3

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Nolan — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Renato MoicanoVeteranTITLELW
KO/TKO·R3·Oct '26
69 SS (75%)·9 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·70s ctrl·1 kd
W
Fares ZiamVeteranLW
U-DEC·R3·Jun '26
31 SS (47%)·16 abs·2/6 td·3 td taken·407s ctrl
W
Charlie CampbellLW
SUB·R1·Sep '25
26 SS (43%)·15 abs·1/1 td·34s ctrl·1 sub
W
Viacheslav BorshchevLW
U-DEC·R3·Feb '25
69 SS (39%)·66 abs·1/8 td·121s ctrl·3 sub
W
Alex ReyesLW
U-DEC·R3·Aug '24
84 SS (48%)·69 abs·2 td taken·22s ctrl·1 sub
W
Victor MartinezLW
KO/TKO·R1·May '24
33 SS (52%)·18 abs·1 kd taken
L
Nikolas MottaLW
KO/TKO·R1·Jan '24
12 SS (60%)·21 abs·1 kd taken
Nolan — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
WBogdan GradDWCSKO/TKOR1Aug 2023
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X