Matchup Analysis·Middleweight
Red Corner
Dusko Todorovic
“Thunder”
13-610 UFCLast10mo ago
Balanced
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
6'1"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·32age
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Robert Valentin
“Robzilla”
12-6(1 NC)4 UFCLast3mo ago
Submission Specialist
Moderate Wear
6'2"ht·77"+3"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
Signals2 signals
SUBMISSION
Valentin actively hunts submissions on the ground.
STRIKING DEFENSE
Valentin absorbs an unusually high share of incoming strikes. Against a volume striker like Todorovic, that's a structural vulnerability. KO finishes are meaningfully more common in matchups like this.
CQ Core Edges
Todorovic
+0.33
Valentin
-1.42
Todorovic
0.80
Valentin
0.34
Todorovic
38%
Valentin
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Todorovic
15
LowValentin
23
Low4 KO lossesKO losses2 KO losses
0.40KD / fight0.25
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Todorovic4.73SLpM
+SLpM1.30Valentin
6.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
TodorovicEarly Finisher
ValentinEarly Finisher
Finish History
Todorovic
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
100%
4/4
Stopped rate (losses)
67%
4/6
Valentin
Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
100%
1/1
Stopped rate (losses)
67%
2/3
Edge & Exposure
Todorovic
EdgeKO Threat
Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
Valentin
EdgeHigh Finisher
Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.
EdgeSub Threat
Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.
ExposureChin Question
KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.
Opposition Quality
Todorovic4–6UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
0–4
Record (4)
-3.5
Str Diff/Min
—
Finish (W)
Valentin1–3UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Division Percentile Ranks
TodorovicMiddleweightValentin
60th
Striking Differential
9th39th
Grappling Threat
35th21st
Round Win Rate
—17th
TD Defense
34th7th
Durability
14th86th
Finishing Rate
86th— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Todorovic
Stat
Valentin
2.454.73 career
⚠↓2.28
SLpMOutput
↑0.43
1.731.30 career
3.984.40 career
↓0.42
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.26
1.462.72 career
10.197.12 career
↑3.07
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.99
0.811.80 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Finish Likely
Todorovic20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Valentin25% distance
Finish 75%Decision 25%
Todorovic 10 UFC fights·Valentin 4 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Todorovic
7.0min
Valentin
6.3min
Combined Distance Rate
21%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
TodorovicTO KNOCK OUTValentin
49
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins4
Valentin's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses3
ValentinTO KNOCK OUTTodorovic
18
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins1
Todorovic's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses4
Total UFC losses6
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
TodorovicTO SUBMITValentin
24
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins4
Valentin's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses3
ValentinTO SUBMITTodorovic
25
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins1
Todorovic's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses6
TodorovicWin MethodValentin
75%
KO / TKO
0%
25%
Submission
100%
0%
Decision
0%
4 UFC wins · 3 KO · 1 Sub1 UFC win · 1 Sub
Todorovic
Loss Method
Valentin67%
KO / TKO
67%
0%
Submission
0%
33%
Decision
33%
6 UFC losses · 4 KO · 2 Dec3 UFC losses · 2 KO · 1 Dec
Todorovic8 stoppages · 7 KO · 1 Sub
R1
6
R2
2
R30
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubJose Daniel MedinaR1 · 4:21
LKOMansur Abdul-MalikR1 · 2:44
LKOChristian Leroy DuncanR1 · 1:52
WKOJordan WrightR2 · 3:12
LKOChidi NjokuaniR1 · 4:48
Valentin3 stoppages · 2 KO · 1 Sub
R1
2
R2
1
R30
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubJulien LeblancR1 · 2:22
LKOAteba GautierR1 · 1:10
LKORyan LoderR2 · 1:49
Historical Context
Todorovic — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·10 fights
16 SS (67%)·9 abs·2/2 td·136s ctrl·1 sub att
35 SS (54%)·50 abs·4/13 td·2 td taken·330s ctrl·1 sub att
3 SS (60%)·29 abs·1 kd taken
4 SS (67%)·9 abs
61 SS (76%)·25 abs·0/4 td·3 td taken·71s ctrl
5 SS (71%)·14 abs·2/7 td·193s ctrl·1 kd taken
Valentin — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
7 SS (54%)·4 abs·1/1 td·102s ctrl·1 sub att
2 SS (40%)·19 abs·1 kd taken
23 SS (59%)·4 abs·8 td taken·16s ctrl
1 SS (50%)·42 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·98s ctrl·2 sub att