Matchup Analysis·Light Heavyweight
VS
Light Heavyweight205 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Bruno Lopes
“The Brazilian Cowboy”
14-33 UFCLast4mo ago
Balanced
Moderate Wear
6'2"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age
Signals1 signal
SOUTHPAW
Nurgozhay is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Nurgozhay natural angle advantages at range.
CQ Core Edges
Nurgozhay
+1.71
Lopes
-1.33
Nurgozhay
0.00
Lopes
0.39
Nurgozhay
Too few rounds
Lopes
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Nurgozhay
Unrated0 KO losses0.67 KD/fight
Lopes
11
LowCQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Nurgozhay4.52SLpM
+SLpM2.88Lopes
7.4
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
NurgozhayOutput Holds Steady
LopesOutput Holds Steady
Finish History
Nurgozhay
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/1
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
2/2
Lopes
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/1
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
2/2
Edge & Exposure
Nurgozhay
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
Lopes
No dominant edges or exposures identified from UFC record.
Opposition Quality
Nurgozhay1–2UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Lopes1–2UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–2
Record (3)
-3.8
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
NurgozhayLight HeavyweightLopes
87th
Striking Differential
18th85th
Grappling Threat
62nd—
Round Win Rate
—74th
TD Defense
95th71st
Durability
3rd—
Finishing Rate
—— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Nurgozhay
Stat
Lopes
4.874.52 career
↑0.35
SLpMOutput
↓0.41
2.472.88 career
2.852.81 career
↑0.04
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.07
4.284.21 career
2.482.48 career
↑0.00
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.00
12.7312.73 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Nurgozhay33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Lopes33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Nurgozhay 3 UFC fights·Lopes 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Nurgozhay
8.1min
Lopes
8.6min
Combined Distance Rate
33%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
NurgozhayTO KNOCK OUTLopes
39
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins1
Lopes's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses2
LopesTO KNOCK OUTNurgozhay
26
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins1
Nurgozhay's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses2
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
NurgozhayTO SUBMITLopes
10
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins1
Lopes's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses2
LopesTO SUBMITNurgozhay
22
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins1
Nurgozhay's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses2
NurgozhayWin MethodLopes
0%
KO / TKO
0%
0%
Submission
0%
100%
Decision
100%
1 UFC win · 1 Dec1 UFC win · 1 Dec
Nurgozhay
Loss Method
Lopes0%
KO / TKO
100%
100%
Submission
0%
0%
Decision
0%
2 UFC losses · 2 Sub2 UFC losses · 2 KO
Nurgozhay2 stoppages · 2 Sub
R1
1
R2
1
R30
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LSubUran SatybaldievR1 · 2:45
LSubBrendson RibeiroR2 · 1:28
Lopes2 stoppages · 2 KO
R1
1
R2
1
R30
KO Loss
All stoppages
LKONavajo StirlingR2 · 4:05
LKODustin JacobyR1 · 1:50
Historical Context
Nurgozhay — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
94 SS (66%)·39 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·88s ctrl
7 SS (64%)·2 abs·1/1 td·18s ctrl·1 kd taken
17 SS (44%)·28 abs·2/2 td·49s ctrl·1 kd taken
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WBartosz Szewczyk
DWCSKO/TKOR2Oct 2024
Lopes — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
28 SS (44%)·63 abs·0/8 td·60s ctrl·1 kd taken
3 SS (33%)·17 abs·1 kd taken
33 SS (47%)·31 abs·5/14 td·559s ctrl
Tracked Fights·2 fights
WMikheil Sazhiniani
DWCSKO/TKOR2Aug 2024
LBrendson Ribeiro
DWCSKO/TKOR1Sep 2023