CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA
Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld2 / 11
←Gamrot vs SalkilldElkins vs Valle→
Red Corner

Diego Ferreira

19-717 UFCLast11mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Declining
High Variance
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'9"ht·74"+4"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Billy Quarantillo

18-711 UFCLast1.6yr ago
Pressure Fighter
Layoff Risk
High Variance
Moderate Wear
5'10"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingQuarantilloSlight edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.FerreiraDominant
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
2 signals
RING RUST

Quarantillo is returning after 20 months out.

WC DEBUT

Quarantillo is making their UFC debut at Lightweight, moving up from Featherweight.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Ferreira
+1.24
Quarantillo
+1.61
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Quarantillo
Ferreira
0.32
Quarantillo
0.63
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Ferreira
55%
Quarantillo
46%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Ferreira
45
Average
Quarantillo
58
Average
4 KO lossesKO losses2 KO losses
0.23KD / fight0.27
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Ferreira4.70SLpM
+
SLpM7.44Quarantillo
12.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
FerreiraOutput Builds Late+44% R1→R3
QuarantilloOutput Builds Late+26% R1→R3
Finish History
Ferreira
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
70%
7/10
Stopped rate (losses)
57%
4/7
Quarantillo
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
67%
4/6
Stopped rate (losses)
60%
3/5
Edge & Exposure
Ferreira
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Quarantillo
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Opposition Quality
Ferreira10–7UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
7–7
Record (14)
+1.4
Str Diff/Min
57%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-27% step-up
3–4
Record (7)
-0.1
Str Diff/Min
67%
Finish (W)
Quarantillo6–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–4
Record (8)
+0.7
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
FerreiraLightweightQuarantillo
84th
Striking Differential
83rd
38th
Grappling Threat
46th
56th
Round Win Rate
43rd
30th
TD Defense
45th
25th
Durability
28th
70th
Finishing Rate
59th
Recent Form
Ferreira
Stat
Quarantillo
4.844.70 career
↑0.14
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.25
6.197.44 career
3.573.46 career
↑0.11
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.12
5.955.83 career
1.172.73 career
⚠↓1.56
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓1.30
4.946.24 career
0.000.60 career
↓0.60
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.55
0.451.00 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Ferreira35% distance
Finish 65%Decision 35%
Quarantillo36% distance
Finish 64%Decision 36%
Ferreira 17 UFC fights·Quarantillo 11 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Ferreira
9.7min
Quarantillo
11.2min
Combined Distance Rate
36%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
FerreiraTO KNOCK OUTQuarantillo
52
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins5
Total UFC wins10
Quarantillo's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses5
QuarantilloTO KNOCK OUTFerreira
59
Elite
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins6
Ferreira's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses4
Total UFC losses7
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
FerreiraTO SUBMITQuarantillo
48
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins10
Quarantillo's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses5
QuarantilloTO SUBMITFerreira
15
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins6
Ferreira's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses7
FerreiraWin MethodQuarantillo
50%
KO / TKO
50%
20%
Submission
17%
30%
Decision
33%
10 UFC wins · 5 KO · 2 Sub · 3 Dec6 UFC wins · 3 KO · 1 Sub · 2 Dec
Ferreira
Loss Method
Quarantillo
57%
KO / TKO
40%
0%
Submission
20%
43%
Decision
40%
7 UFC losses · 4 KO · 3 Dec5 UFC losses · 2 KO · 1 Sub · 2 Dec
Ferreira11 stoppages · 9 KO · 2 Sub
R1
3
R2
7
R3
1
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
LKOAlexander HernandezR2 · 3:46
WKOMateusz RebeckiR3 · 4:51
WKOMichael JohnsonR2 · 1:50
LKOMateusz GamrotR2 · 3:26
LKOGregor GillespieR2 · 4:51
Quarantillo7 stoppages · 5 KO · 2 Sub
R1
1
R2
3
R3
3
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOCub SwansonR3 · 1:36
LSubYoussef ZalalR2 · 1:50
LKOEdson BarbozaR1 · 2:37
WKOAlexander HernandezR2 · 4:30
WKOGabriel BenitezR3 · 3:40
Historical Context
Ferreira — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Alexander HernandezVeteranLW
KO/TKO
R23:46
Sep '25
23 SS (23%)·30 abs·1 kd taken
L
Grant DawsonVeteranLW
U-DEC
R3
Jan '25
41 SS (67%)·56 abs·6 td taken·20s ctrl
W
Mateusz RebeckiLW
KO/TKO
R34:51
May '24
123 SS (51%)·52 abs·3/3 td·4 td taken·132s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Michael JohnsonVeteranLW
KO/TKO
R21:50
May '23
30 SS (42%)·32 abs·0/2 td·1 kd
L
Mateusz GamrotLW
KO/TKO
R23:26
Dec '21
36 SS (36%)·25 abs·4 td taken
L
Gregor GillespieLW
KO/TKO
R24:51
May '21
31 SS (52%)·45 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·66s ctrl
View full fight log →
Quarantillo — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·11 fights
L
Cub SwansonVeteranFW
KO/TKO
R31:36
Dec '24
97 SS (41%)·99 abs·3/11 td·127s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Youssef ZalalFW
SUB
R21:50
Mar '24
10 SS (20%)·33 abs·2 td taken·21s ctrl
W
Damon JacksonFW
U-DEC
R3
Aug '23
100 SS (53%)·67 abs·3 td taken·111s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Edson BarbozaEliteFW
KO/TKO
R12:37
Apr '23
19 SS (45%)·21 abs·0/2 td·39s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Alexander HernandezFW
KO/TKO
R24:30
Dec '22
87 SS (58%)·48 abs·2/4 td·2 td taken·80s ctrl
L
Shane BurgosFW
U-DEC
R3
Nov '21
164 SS (47%)·193 abs·0/14 td·129s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Kyle NelsonSame result
W
Ferreira
KO/TKO·R2·2018
W
Quarantillo
KO/TKO·R3·2020
Alexander HernandezSplit result
L
Ferreira
KO/TKO·R2·2025
W
Quarantillo
KO/TKO·R2·2022
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
2/11←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Diego Ferreira

19-717 UFC11mo ago
5'9"ht74"+4"reachOrthodox41 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Billy Quarantillo

18-711 UFC1.6yr ago
5'10"ht70"reachOrthodox37 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingQuarantilloSlight edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.FerreiraDominant
Signals
2
RING RUSTQuarantillo is returning after 20 months out.
WC DEBUTQuarantillo is making their UFC debut at Lightweight, moving up from Featherweight.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Ferreira+1.24
Quarantillo+1.61
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Quarantillo
Ferreira0.32
Quarantillo0.63
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Ferreira55%
Quarantillo46%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Ferreira
45Average
Quarantillo
58Average
Stats
Ferreira
Quarantillo
Striking
4.70SS Landed / min7.44
39%Str Acc54%
3.46SS Absorbed / min5.83
55%Str Def42%
0.18KD / fight0.18
Grappling
0.82TD / min1.47
57%TD Def61%
0.60Sub Att · /15m1.00
—Sub Def75%
Finish History
Ferreira
KO/TKO ×5Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
70%
7/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
57%
4/7
Quarantillo
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
67%
4/6
Stopped Rate (Losses)
60%
3/5
Ferreira35% distance
Finish 65%Decision 35%
Quarantillo36% distance
Finish 64%Decision 36%
Ferreira 17 UFC fights·Quarantillo 11 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Ferreira
9.7min
Quarantillo
11.2min
Combined Distance Rate
36%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
FerreiraWinQuarantillo
50%
KO
50%
20%
Sub
17%
30%
Dec
33%
10 wins5 KO2 Sub3 Dec
2 Dec1 Sub3 KO6 wins
FerreiraLossQuarantillo
57%
KO
40%
0%
Sub
20%
43%
Dec
40%
7 losses4 KO3 Dec
2 Dec1 Sub2 KO5 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Ferreira
to knock out
Quarantillo
52High
Quarantillo
to knock out
Ferreira
59Elite
Ferreira
to submit
Quarantillo
48High
Quarantillo
to submit
Ferreira
15Low
Recent Form
Ferreira
Stat
Quarantillo
4.84
4.70 career
↑0.14
SLpMOutput
↓1.25
6.19
7.44 career
3.57
3.46 career
↑0.11
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.12
5.95
5.83 career
1.17
2.73 career
↓1.56
TD AttAtt/15m
↓1.30
4.94
6.24 career
0.00
0.60 career
↓0.60
SubAtt/15m
↓0.55
0.45
1.00 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Ferreira—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Alexander HernandezVeteranLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:46 · Sep '25
23 SS (23%)·30 abs·1 kd taken
L
Grant DawsonVeteranLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jan '25
41 SS (67%)·56 abs·6 td taken·20s ctrl
W
Mateusz RebeckiLW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 4:51 · May '24
123 SS (51%)·52 abs·3/3 td·4 td taken·132s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Michael JohnsonVeteranLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 1:50 · May '23
30 SS (42%)·32 abs·0/2 td·1 kd
L
Mateusz GamrotLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:26 · Dec '21
36 SS (36%)·25 abs·4 td taken
L
Gregor GillespieLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:51 · May '21
31 SS (52%)·45 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·66s ctrl
View full fight log →
Quarantillo—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·11 fights
L
Cub SwansonVeteranFW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 1:36 · Dec '24
97 SS (41%)·99 abs·3/11 td·127s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Youssef ZalalFW Bout
SUB · R2 · 1:50 · Mar '24
10 SS (20%)·33 abs·2 td taken·21s ctrl
W
Damon JacksonFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '23
100 SS (53%)·67 abs·3 td taken·111s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Edson BarbozaEliteFW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:37 · Apr '23
19 SS (45%)·21 abs·0/2 td·39s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Alexander HernandezFW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Dec '22
87 SS (58%)·48 abs·2/4 td·2 td taken·80s ctrl
L
Shane BurgosFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '21
164 SS (47%)·193 abs·0/14 td·129s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Kyle NelsonSame result
W
Ferreira
KO/TKO·R2·2018
W
Quarantillo
KO/TKO·R3·2020
Alexander HernandezSplit result
L
Ferreira
KO/TKO·R2·2025
W
Quarantillo
KO/TKO·R2·2022
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X